ODFL Valuation

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc

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142.390

+0.6(0.423%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ODFL Relative Valuation

ODFL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ODFL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 28.31 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 30.10. The fair price of Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) is between 131.30 to 168.63 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

131.30-168.63

Current Price：141.79

Fair

28.31

Trailing

Forward

17.51

EV/EBITDA

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 17.51. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 18.63. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 13.25, Undervalued between 13.25 and 15.94, Fairly Valued between 21.32 and 15.94, Overvalued between 21.32 and 24.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 24.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 17.51 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

21.96

EV/EBIT

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) has a current EV/EBIT of 21.96. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 22.47. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 15.54, Undervalued between 15.54 and 19.00, Fairly Valued between 25.93 and 19.00, Overvalued between 25.93 and 29.39, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.39. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 21.96 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.40

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) has a current PS of 5.40. The 5-year average PS is 6.10. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.24, Undervalued between 4.24 and 5.17, Fairly Valued between 7.02 and 5.17, Overvalued between 7.02 and 7.95, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.95. The current Forward PS of 5.40 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

20.32

P/OCF

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) has a current P/OCF of 20.32. The 5-year average P/OCF is 23.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 16.99, Undervalued between 16.99 and 20.32, Fairly Valued between 26.98 and 20.32, Overvalued between 26.98 and 30.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 30.32. The current Forward P/OCF of 20.32 falls within the Undervalued range.

30.58

P/FCF

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) has a current P/FCF of 30.58. The 5-year average P/FCF is 42.30. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 26.12, Undervalued between 26.12 and 34.21, Fairly Valued between 50.40 and 34.21, Overvalued between 50.40 and 58.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 58.49. The current Forward P/FCF of 30.58 falls within the Undervalued range.

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 7.06. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 9.70 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -27.22% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 9.41, the current P/B ratio is about -25.02% higher. Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 2.53%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 2.16%, the current FCF yield is approximately 17.21% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.24% , the current FCF yield is about 12.67% lower.

7.06

P/B

Median3y

9.70

Median5y

9.41

2.53

FCF Yield

Median3y

2.16

Median5y

2.24

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ODFL decreased by 28.44% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Revenue Growth from 1.50B to 1.41B.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed -11.16%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ODFL in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

-6.07%

1.50B → 1.41B

Revenue Growth

-11.21%

21.49 → 19.08

Margin Expansion

-11.16%

31.17 → 27.70

P/E Change

-28.44%