Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the analysis of Sunrun (RUN) stock, considering the current market conditions, policy changes, and analyst downgrades, it is recommended to sell or avoid buying the stock at this time. The stock is facing significant headwinds, including declining renewable energy sector performance and regulatory uncertainties, which may impact its near-term performance.

The price prediction for RUN stock in 2025 is $6.50, with potential resistance at $7.20 and support at $5.60. This forecast is based on current technical indicators showing a bearish trend, with RSI below 50 and MACD slightly negative. Additionally, recent downgrades and market uncertainty in the solar industry further support this outlook.

The S1 support level for RUN Stock is $5.74 ,The R1 resistant level for RUN Stock is $6.92.

As of the end of day on 2025-04-01, the price of RUN Stock was $6.5.

The target price for RUN Stock according to analyst rating is 13.02, with the highest price target at 20.00 and the lowest at 7.78. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on RUN Stock overall.

The market cap of RUN is $1.5B.

Analysis and Insights

Valuation Metrics:

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) currently trades at $6.55 with a high EV/EBITDA ratio of 189.47, indicating potential overvaluation. The price-to-sales ratio is 1.05, and the price-to-book ratio is 0.76, suggesting mixed valuation signals.

Market Sentiment and News Impact:

Recent downgrades by Jefferies to Hold with a reduced price target of $8 reflect market uncertainty and slow industry recovery. Additionally, broader policy changes affecting renewable energy stocks have impacted RUN's performance.

Company Strategy and Outlook:

Sunrun's safe harbor strategy provides stability, with secured inventory for tax credit monetization, positioning the company well for potential future growth once policies clarify.

Conclusion:

RUN appears overvalued due to high EV/EBITDA and negative market sentiment. Investors should exercise caution and consider these risks.

Sunrun Inc. is a home solar, battery storage, and energy services company. The Company is engaged in the design, development, installation, sale, ownership and maintenance of residential solar energy systems (Projects) in the United States. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The Company also offers battery storage along with solar energy systems to its customers in select markets and sells its services to certain commercial developers through its multifamily and new homes offerings. The Company installs solar energy systems on its customers’ homes and provides them with the solar power produced by those systems for a 20- or 25-year initial term. In addition, it monitors, maintains, and ensures the system during the term of the contract. The Company also provides electric vehicle (EV) chargers, battery retrofits, re-powered or expanding systems, home energy management services, and other home electrification products.

Based on current market trends and analysis, Sunrun (RUN) stock is predicted to reach $12 by 2030, driven by its strong position in the residential solar market and potential recovery in the clean energy sector despite current challenges. However, this forecast is subject to significant uncertainty due to macroeconomic and policy risks.

RUN has a total of 10833 employees.