Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent price action and available data, QS stock shows a clear downward trend that suggests selling pressure. Here's the analysis:

Technical Analysis:

• The stock has declined significantly from $7.67 on February 14 to $6.04 on February 23, representing a -21.3% drop in just 7 trading days
• Forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish momentum
• Volume has been relatively high during the decline, suggesting strong selling pressure

Recent Developments:

• CFO Kevin Hettrich sold 45,901 shares worth ~$299,335 through option exercise and sales transactions on February 20-21
• Insider selling activity has been notable with 30 sales and 0 purchases over the past 6 months
• Institutional sentiment is mixed - 151 institutions increased positions while 196 reduced holdings in the latest quarter

Fundamental Outlook:

• Still pre-revenue stage with commercialization timeline pushed to 2026
• Cash burn continues with net loss widening to $475 million in 2024
• Key partnership with Volkswagen's PowerCo provides some stability but meaningful revenue still years away

Given the deteriorating technical picture, ongoing insider selling, and lack of near-term catalysts, selling QS stock appears to be the prudent action at current levels. The stock could see further downside as it works through this bearish phase.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a detailed price prediction for QS stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $5.16, showing a bearish trend with key technical indicators:

• RSI (14) at 49.98 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD showing slight bullish divergence (-0.01) with positive histogram (0.04)
• Trading below both 200-day SMA ($5.60) and 250-day SMA ($5.64)

Fundamental Catalysts

According to recent analyst reports, QuantumScape has several key developments that will influence its 2025 price:

1. Transition to Cobra separator process from Raptor process
2. Production of more mature B1 samples for automakers
3. Continued partnership with Volkswagen through PowerCo

Price Target Scenarios

Based on the technical analysis and fundamental catalysts, here are the 2025 price predictions:

• Base Case: $6.50 (25% upside)

• Key drivers: Successful B1 sample deliveries and positive automaker feedback

• Probability: 60%

• Bull Case: $8.00 (55% upside)

• Key drivers: Accelerated commercialization timeline and new major partnerships

• Probability: 25%

• Bear Case: $4.00 (22% downside)

• Key drivers: Production delays or technical challenges with B1 samples

• Probability: 15%

Most Likely Scenario: The base case of $6.50 appears most probable as QS is showing steady progress in its commercialization efforts, though still facing typical early-stage company challenges.

The S1 support level for QS Stock is $4.77 ,The R1 resistant level for QS Stock is $5.5.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of QS Stock was $5.035.

The target price for QS Stock according to analyst rating is 6.20, with the highest price target at 10.00 and the lowest at 4.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on QS Stock overall.

The market cap of QS is $2.6B.

Based on the provided data and market context, here's a concise analysis of QS's valuation:

QuantumScape (QS) appears fairly valued at current levels considering its development stage and market position. The stock trades at 2.56x book value [Relevant Data], which is reasonable for a pre-revenue company developing next-generation solid-state batteries. Technical indicators show neutral momentum with RSI at 49.98 and trading near its 20-day moving average of $5.10. The company's lack of revenue and earnings makes traditional valuation metrics like P/E and EV/EBITDA inapplicable, but its strong intellectual property portfolio and strategic partnerships provide underlying value support. Recent price action shows consolidation between Fibonacci support at $4.77 and resistance at $5.50.

QuantumScape Corporation is developing solid-state lithium-metal battery technology for electric vehicles (EVs) and other applications. The Company's solid-state lithium-metal battery technology is designed to offer greater energy density, faster charging and enhanced safety. Its battery cells have none of the host materials used in conventional anodes. The Company's cells are anode-free in that they are manufactured without anodes in a discharged state. It has demonstrated a solid-state separator for lithium-metal batteries capable of resisting dendrite formation at higher power densities, such as those required for automotive applications and fast charging, for at least 800 cycles at around 25 degrees Celsius. Its solid-state electrolyte-separator is a dense, entirely inorganic ceramic. The Company's solid-state battery technology has applicability in other markets, including stationary storage and consumer electronics, such as smartphones and wearables, among others.

Based on the provided data and references, here is the price prediction for QuantumScape (QS) stock by 2030:

QuantumScape stock is expected to reach $8.44 by the end of 2030, representing a 63% increase from the current price of $5.18. This projection is driven by three key factors:

1. Commercial Production Timeline

• Company plans to begin baseline production of Cobra solid-state battery separator equipment in 2025
• First commercial customer launch expected in 2026 through partnership with Volkswagen's PowerCo
• Mass production ramp-up projected for 2027-2030 period

2. Technology Validation

• QSE-5 batteries demonstrate energy density over 800 Wh/L with 15-minute fast charging capability
• PowerCo partnership validates technology with potential to supply 500,000 vehicles annually
• Licensing model with automotive OEMs expected to drive growth while controlling costs

3. Market Opportunity

• Solid-state batteries could revolutionize EV adoption by solving range and charging limitations
• BYD, world's largest EV maker, plans solid-state battery vehicles by 2027, validating market potential
• Analysts expect $4.28 billion revenue by 2026 if commercialization succeeds

The stock currently trades at $5.18, significantly below its all-time high of $114.77. While there are execution risks in scaling production, successful commercialization could drive substantial upside by 2030 as the EV battery market expands.

QS has a total of 850 employees.