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AAP

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
High
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Open
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VWAP
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Vol
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Mkt Cap
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Low
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Total Shares
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EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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P/S(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
1.95B
-2.22%
0.434
-136.74%
2.62B
+1.33%
0.453
-305.7%
2.06B
+2.42%
0.738
+6.95%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.1% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -13.14%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.1%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+4.7%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-13.14%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast AAP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAP is 57.66 USD with a low forecast of 40.00 USD and a high forecast of 65.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
21 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AAP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAP is 57.66 USD with a low forecast of 40.00 USD and a high forecast of 65.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
18 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 52.500
sliders
Low
40.00
Averages
57.66
High
65.00
Current: 52.500
sliders
Low
40.00
Averages
57.66
High
65.00
Truist
Scot Ciccarelli
Hold
maintain
$50 -> $59
2025-11-02
Reason
Truist
Scot Ciccarelli
Price Target
$50 -> $59
2025-11-02
maintain
Hold
Reason
Truist analyst Scot Ciccarelli raised the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $59 from $50 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares after its Q3 earnings beat. The company benefited from tariff-driven same-SKU inflation, and while early Q4 trends have been soft, particularly in DIY as consumers continue to face pressure from rising prices across the board, govt shutdown, the auto parts remain one of the best positioned verticals to navigate today's macro environment, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
DA Davidson
Neutral
downgrade
$63 -> $55
2025-10-31
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$63 -> $55
2025-10-31
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
DA Davidson lowered the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $55 from $63 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after its Q3 results. The company has articulated tangible progress on a number of key operational initiatives which are leading to the 80bps of margin improvement from the bottom on a last-12-months basis and the impact of First Brand bankruptcy seems limited, but on the other hand, like others, comps weakened later in Q3 and into Q4, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Citi
Steven Zaccone
Neutral
downgrade
$60 -> $55
2025-10-31
Reason
Citi
Steven Zaccone
Price Target
$60 -> $55
2025-10-31
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Citi analyst Steven Zaccone lowered the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $55 from $60 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares post the Q3 report. The firm views the company's turnaround as "bumpy."
JPMorgan
Christopher Horvers
Neutral
maintain
$44 -> $62
2025-10-31
Reason
JPMorgan
Christopher Horvers
Price Target
$44 -> $62
2025-10-31
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers raised the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $62 from $44 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares following the earnings report. The company's operational progress continues, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA
Underperform
maintain
$34 -> $40
2025-10-30
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$34 -> $40
2025-10-30
maintain
Underperform
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $40 from $34 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares after the company reported Q3 results. Advance Auto Parts saw moderation in both Pro and DIY into Q4, and the firm remains cautious as low-to-mid end consumers may be deferring their spend in an inflationary environment, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm sees progress in strategic initiatives, including market hubs, new assortment framework, and new store operating model.
Roth Capital
Neutral
maintain
$50 -> $55
2025-10-27
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$50 -> $55
2025-10-27
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $55 from $50 but keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm's 2025 and 2026 forecasts are being revised lower, primarily reflecting higher interest expense and a more modest outlook for operating margin expansion than previously expected, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While Roth remains encouraged by the progress Advance is making on its turnaround efforts, meaningful work still lies ahead to achieve its medium-term objectives, the firm added.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP.N) is 20.11, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 30.01. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Advance Auto Parts Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PE
30.01
Current PE
20.11
Overvalued PE
65.62
Undervalued PE
-5.60

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
12.42
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
15.79
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
9.04

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
0.68
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
1.07
Undervalued PS
0.29
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Financial AI Agent

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
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AAP News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-10-30
08:33:04
Advance Auto Parts reports $28M non-cash expense impacting Q3 cost of sales
select
2025-10-30
06:33:32
Advance Auto Parts revises 2025 adjusted EPS forecast to a range of $1.75-$1.85, down from $1.20-$2.20.
select
2025-10-30
06:31:38
Advance Auto Parts announces Q3 adjusted EPS of 92 cents, surpassing consensus estimate of 75 cents.
select
Sign Up For More Events
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News

[object Object]
Preview
8.5
11-27Yahoo Finance
Implications of Advance Auto Parts' $1.5 Billion Worldpac Sale for Shareholders
  • Sale of Worldpac: Advance Auto Parts has sold its Worldpac wholesale distribution business to Carlyle for $1.5 billion, aiming to simplify operations and focus on core domestic segments, despite ongoing financial challenges like negative free cash flow.

  • Financial Outlook: The company is projected to reach $9 billion in revenue and $295.3 million in earnings by 2028, although it faces a slight annual revenue decline and persistent negative cash flow, which could impact its investment outlook.

  • Investor Considerations: Shareholders need to have confidence in Advance Auto Parts' turnaround strategy, which emphasizes core U.S. operations for growth, while also being aware of the high net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio as a significant risk factor.

  • Market Analysis: The article highlights various fair value estimates for Advance Auto Parts' stock, indicating potential investment opportunities, but also warns of the risks associated with ongoing financial difficulties.

[object Object]
Preview
4.0
11-27MarketWatch
Black Friday May Not Ensure Discounts, as Tariffs Prompt Price Increases at Some Retailers
  • Impact of Tariffs: Tariffs have disrupted the traditional holiday shopping season, affecting pricing strategies for retailers.
  • Retailer Profit Margins: While discounts are being offered, they may significantly reduce retailer profits due to increased costs.
[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-20NASDAQ.COM
Strategy to Increase AAP from 2% to 15.8% Through Options Trading
  • Dividend Predictability: Dividend amounts for companies like Advance Auto Parts Inc are influenced by profitability, making them unpredictable; analyzing historical data can help assess future dividend expectations.

  • Options Trading Insights: The stock's historical volatility and trading history can guide decisions on options strategies, such as selling covered calls at specific strike prices.

  • Current Market Activity: Recent trading data shows a high call volume among S&P 500 components, indicating a preference for call options over puts, with a put:call ratio of 0.51.

  • Volatility Calculation: Advance Auto Parts Inc's trailing twelve month volatility is calculated at 72%, which can inform options trading strategies and risk assessments.

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People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) stock price today?

The current price of AAP is 52.5 USD — it has decreased -1.92 % in the last trading day.

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What is Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)'s business?

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (professional) and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, as well as independently owned operators. The Company's stores and branches offer a range selection of brand names, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and owned brand automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy-duty trucks. The Company operates approximately 4,788 stores primarily within the United States (U.S.), with additional locations in Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The Company also serves approximately 934 independently owned Carquest branded stores across these locations in addition to Mexico and various Caribbean islands. Its stores operate primarily under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest trade names.

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What is the price predicton of AAP Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast AAP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAP is 57.66 USD with a low forecast of 40.00 USD and a high forecast of 65.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Advance Auto Parts Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 2.04B USD, decreased -5.21 % YoY.

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What is Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Advance Auto Parts Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to -0.02 USD, decreased -80.00 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.1% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -13.14%.
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How many employees does Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP). have?

Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) has 33200 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) market cap?

Today AAP has the market capitalization of 3.15B USD.

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