AAP

Advance Auto Parts Inc

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Advanced Chart

52.590

-4.25(-7.477%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

57.320

Open

57.320

VWAP

53.16

Vol

3.09M

Mkt Cap

3.15B

Low

52.000

Amount

164.29M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

Total Shares

59.62M

3.54B

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

0.39

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (professional) and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, as well as independently owned operators. The Company's stores and branches offer a range selection of brand names, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and owned brand automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy-duty trucks. The Company operates approximately 4,788 stores primarily within the United States (U.S.), with additional locations in Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The Company also serves approximately 934 independently owned Carquest branded stores across these locations in addition to Mexico and various Caribbean islands. Its stores operate primarily under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest trade names.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

2.62B

+1.36%

0.428

-294.69%

1.96B

-1.97%

0.518

-143.93%

2.02B

-6.04%

0.759

-1998.75%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.7% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -5.60%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+0.7%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-7.26%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-5.60%

In Past 3 Month

18 Analyst Rating

10.48% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast AAP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAP is 58.10 USD with a low forecast of 50.00 USD and a high forecast of 65.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

17 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

10.48% Upside

Current: 52.590

Low

50.00

Averages

58.10

High

65.00

10.48% Upside

Current: 52.590

Low

50.00

Averages

58.10

High

65.00

Wolfe Research

initiated

2025-09-17

Reason

Wolfe Research

Price Target

2025-09-17

initiated

Reason

Wolfe Research initiated coverage of Advance Auto Parts with a Peer Perform rating.

Wolfe Research

Shane O'Kelly

Peer Perform

initiated

2025-09-17

Reason

Wolfe Research

Shane O'Kelly

Price Target

2025-09-17

initiated

Peer Perform

Reason

Wolfe Research initiated coverage of Advance Auto Parts with a Peer Perform rating. While the firm agrees with Shane O'Kelly's strategic decisions to divest Worldpac, exit West Coast markets, and restructure the balance sheet, it is still too early to call the turn here, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm added that with such a wide performance gap vs rivals, the skew to the upside is significant with a clear playbook.

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight

maintain

$55 -> $60

2025-09-12

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$55 -> $60

2025-09-12

maintain

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $60 from $55 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm is revising its FY25, FY26 and FY27 estimates to account for updated assumptions on margins and interest income, the analyst tells investors.

Mizuho

Neutral

maintain

$44 -> $54

2025-08-29

Reason

Mizuho

Price Target

$44 -> $54

2025-08-29

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Mizuho raised the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $54 from $44 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted retail models post the Q2 reports. Consumer spending remained on a solid pace in Q2 and has continued throughout the month of August, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Truist

Scot Ciccarelli

Hold

maintain

$51 -> $53

2025-08-15

Reason

Truist

Scot Ciccarelli

Price Target

$51 -> $53

2025-08-15

maintain

Hold

Reason

Truist analyst Scot Ciccarelli raised the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $53 from $51 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company's Q2 results were in-line with upwardly reset expectations following Q1 as Comps grew 10bps, driven by Pro, while DIY remained negative, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The new management team has stabilized the business and should be able to generate higher margins over time, but there is significant risk to their expectation for 400-500bps of gross margin expansion over the next 10 quarters, the firm added.

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight

maintain

$48 -> $55

2025-08-15

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$48 -> $55

2025-08-15

maintain

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Advance Auto Parts to $55 from $48 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Following Q2 results, the firm sees lower visibility to low-single-digit comp growth, arguing that the results "reaffirmed the complexity of this turnaround" and signal Advance "remains in the early stages."

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP.N) is 22.87, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 29.87. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Advance Auto Parts Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

29.87

Current PE

22.87

Overvalued PE

65.53

Undervalued PE

-5.78

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

12.47

Current EV/EBITDA

0.00

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

15.82

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

9.13

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PS

0.70

Current PS

0.00

Overvalued PS

1.09

Undervalued PS

0.32