Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis of MOS stock:

Technical Analysis

• Current price: $25.34 (closed -1.63% today)
• RSI-14 at 39.52 indicates neutral territory but leaning oversold
• MACD showing bearish momentum with -0.17 and negative histogram
• Trading below all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day SMAs)

Fundamental Overview

• Revenue breakdown shows heavy reliance on Potash (33.9%) and Phosphate (23.3%) segments
• Q3 2024 results disappointed with EPS of $0.34 vs $0.58 expected
• Analysts project 42.9% EPS decline to $2.04 for FY2024

Recent Challenges

• Lower fertilizer prices pressuring sales and margins
• Production disruptions from hurricanes affecting phosphate volumes
• Canadian rail and port strikes impacting potash shipments

Analyst Consensus

• Current rating: "Hold" (4 Strong Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Strong Sell)
• Mean price target: $31.93 (13.2% upside potential)
• Highest target: $44 (56% upside potential)
• Recent action: CIBC maintained Hold rating with $32 target

Technical Support/Resistance Levels

• Fibonacci levels indicate:
  • Key support: $25.58 (S1) and $25.05 (S2)
  • Key resistance: $27.32 (R1) and $27.85 (R2)

Recommendation: SELL

The combination of technical weakness, fundamental headwinds, and near-term challenges suggests avoiding MOS stock at current levels. While the stock appears oversold, multiple factors point to continued pressure:

1. Bearish technical indicators
2. Ongoing operational challenges
3. Significant earnings decline expected
4. Trading below all major moving averages

Consider waiting for signs of stabilization in fertilizer prices and improved technical momentum before establishing new positions.

Based on the provided data and analyst reports, MOS stock is projected to reach $31.93 by end of 2025, representing a 26% upside from current price of $25.33, driven by potential recovery in fertilizer prices and improved operational efficiency. The mean analyst target suggests moderate bullish sentiment, while the Street-high target of $44 indicates significant upside potential in an optimistic scenario. Technical indicators showing oversold conditions with RSI at 39.52 and price near support levels suggest a potential trend reversal from current levels.

The S1 support level for MOS Stock is $25.28 ,The R1 resistant level for MOS Stock is $27.13.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of MOS Stock was $25.24.

The target price for MOS Stock according to analyst rating is 30.29, with the highest price target at 34.00 and the lowest at 27.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on MOS Stock overall.

The market cap of MOS is $8.0B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here is a comprehensive analysis of whether MOS is overvalued:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing bearish signals with RSI at 39.52 and trading below all major moving averages (5-day: $26.39, 10-day: $26.54, 20-day: $27.16). The MACD is negative at -0.17 with a bearish histogram of -0.24, indicating downward momentum.

Valuation Metrics

The stock appears undervalued based on several metrics:

• P/E ratio increased from 4.34 (2022) to 10.22 (2023)
• EV/EBITDA rose from 2.93 to 5.72
• P/S ratio remains low at 0.87
• P/B ratio decreased from 1.23 to 0.94

Fundamental Analysis The company has experienced significant deterioration in financial performance:

• Revenue declined from $19.13B (2022) to $13.70B (2023)
• Net income dropped from $3.58B to $1.16B
• Gross margin fell from 30.1% to 16.14%
• ROE decreased from 31.62% to 9.57%

Analyst Consensus According to recent analyst coverage:

• Consensus rating is "Hold" based on 15 analysts
• 4 Strong Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Strong Sell
• Mean price target: $31.93 (13.2% upside)
• Highest target: $44 (56% upside)

Conclusion MOS is not overvalued at current levels considering its depressed valuation multiples, strong market position, and analyst price targets. However, deteriorating fundamentals and negative technical indicators suggest caution. The stock appears fairly valued with potential upside if fertilizer prices and operational efficiency improve.

The Mosaic Company is a producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The Company is a provider of phosphate and potash fertilizers and feed ingredients for the global agriculture industry. The Company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash and Mosaic Fertilizantes. Phosphates segment sells phosphate-based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients throughout North America and internationally. Potash Segment sells potash throughout North America and internationally, principally as fertilizer, but also for use in industrial applications and, to a lesser degree, as animal feed ingredients. Mosaic Fertilizantes Segment produces and sells phosphate-and potash-based crop nutrients, and animal feed ingredients, in Brazil. In addition to five phosphate rock mines, four chemical plants and a potash mine in Brazil, the segment consists of sales offices, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals and warehouses in Brazil and Paraguay.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for MOS stock by 2030:

The Mosaic Company (MOS) stock is projected to reach $32-35 by 2030, driven by moderate growth in agricultural demand and stabilizing fertilizer prices. According to recent analyst reports, MOS currently has a consensus "Hold" rating with a mean price target of $31.93, though the Street-high target is $44. The company faces near-term headwinds from lower fertilizer prices and production challenges, with EPS expected to decline 42.9% to $2.04 in fiscal 2024.

MOS has a total of 10352 employees.