MOS Valuation

Mosaic Co

Add to Watchlist

Advanced Chart

31.960

-0.51(-1.571%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

MOS Relative Valuation

MOS's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MOS is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Mosaic Co (MOS) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 8.39 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 9.32. The fair price of Mosaic Co (MOS) is between 26.06 to 50.99 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

26.06-50.99

Current Price：31.96

Fair

8.39

Trailing

Forward

4.66

EV/EBITDA

Mosaic Co. (MOS) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.66. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.16. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.61, Undervalued between 2.61 and 3.88, Fairly Valued between 6.43 and 3.88, Overvalued between 6.43 and 7.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.71. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.66 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.09

EV/EBIT

Mosaic Co. (MOS) has a current EV/EBIT of 7.09. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 8.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.79, Undervalued between 1.79 and 5.01, Fairly Valued between 11.46 and 5.01, Overvalued between 11.46 and 14.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.68. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 7.09 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.75

Mosaic Co. (MOS) has a current PS of 0.75. The 5-year average PS is 0.91. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.60, Undervalued between 0.60 and 0.75, Fairly Valued between 1.06 and 0.75, Overvalued between 1.06 and 1.22, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.22. The current Forward PS of 0.75 falls within the Undervalued range.

5.10

P/OCF

Mosaic Co. (MOS) has a current P/OCF of 5.10. The 5-year average P/OCF is 5.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.90, Undervalued between 2.90 and 4.01, Fairly Valued between 6.23 and 4.01, Overvalued between 6.23 and 7.34, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.34. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.10 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

12.33

P/FCF

Mosaic Co. (MOS) has a current P/FCF of 12.33. The 5-year average P/FCF is 10.02. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -36.53, Undervalued between -36.53 and -13.25, Fairly Valued between 33.29 and -13.25, Overvalued between 33.29 and 56.57, and Strongly Overvalued above 56.57. The current Forward P/FCF of 12.33 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Mosaic Co (MOS) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.98 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -15.86% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.13, the current P/B ratio is about -26.66% higher. Mosaic Co (MOS) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.04%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 9.12%, the current FCF yield is approximately -99.54% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.71% , the current FCF yield is about -99.46% lower.

0.83

P/B

Median3y

0.98

Median5y

1.13

0.04

FCF Yield

Median3y

9.12

Median5y

7.71

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MOS's competitors is 1.00, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Mosaic Co Corp (MOS) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.75, which is -25.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 6.71%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

CF Industries Holdings Inc

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co

Lithium Americas Corp

Loss

700.82M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of MOS increased by 15.44% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 2.34 to 11.00.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 6.71%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of MOS in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

6.71%

2.82B → 3.01B

Revenue Growth

-360.45%

-5.36 → 13.96

Margin Expansion

369.18%

2.34 → 11.00

P/E Change

15.44%