MOS Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how MOS performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MOS sees a +0.88% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.93% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.64%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
MOS Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
2.81B
-20.78%
-0.20%
Gross Margin
14.83%
28.51%
6.00%
Operating Margin
4.11%
0.00%
-50.36%
Net Margin
4.65%
5066.67%
-186.75%
EPS
0.38
3900.00%
-176.00%
No Data Available
MOS Earnings Analysis
The Mosaic Company Corporation (MOS.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Resilient Revenue Performance: 1. Strong Revenue Generation: Mosaic generated $2.8 billion in revenue for Q3 2024, demonstrating resilience despite challenges faced during the quarter.
Phosphate Segment EBITDA Increase: 2. Positive Phosphate Segment Performance: The Phosphates segment achieved adjusted EBITDA of $265 million, up from $201 million a year ago, driven by solid pre-hurricane production levels and strong stripping margins.
Biosciences Market Expansion: 3. Biosciences Growth: Mosaic's biological products are now utilized on 9 million acres globally, indicating significant market penetration and growth potential in this segment.
Cost Savings Strategy: 4. Cost Management Initiatives: The company is on track to achieve $150 million in annual run rate cost savings by the end of 2025, contributing to improved operational efficiency.
Shareholder Capital Allocation: 5. Shareholder Returns: Mosaic returned $415 million to shareholders in the first nine months of the year, including $210 million in share repurchases, reflecting a strong commitment to capital allocation.
Negative
Potash EBITDA Decline: 1. Declining Potash EBITDA: The Potash segment generated adjusted EBITDA of $180 million for the quarter, down from $267 million a year ago, primarily due to lower prices and approximately 250,000 tons of lost production from electrical issues.
Bad Debt Reserves Effect: 2. Bad Debt Reserves Impact: Mosaic Fertilizantes reported adjusted EBITDA of $83 million, a decrease from $147 million a year ago, largely due to $32 million in bad debt reserves related to a Brazilian customer's bankruptcy filing.
Hurricane Production Impact: 3. Production Losses from Hurricanes: Hurricane Milton resulted in a production loss of about 250,000 tons, which will negatively impact fourth quarter volumes and overall production targets.
Potash Sales Volume Decline: 4. Lowered Potash Sales Volume Outlook: For the fourth quarter, potash sales volumes are expected to be in the range of 2.2 million to 2.4 million tons, indicating a potential decline in sales compared to previous periods.
Phosphate Production Disruptions: 5. Phosphate Production Challenges: The company faced shipping delays and production interruptions due to weather events, which hindered the ability to meet phosphate sales volume expectations of 1.6 million to 1.8 million tons for the fourth quarter.
MOS FAQs
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MOS Earning Call Sentiment
The Mosaic Company (MOS) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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MOS.N
-1.14%Positive
Basic Financial Performance: 3. Mixed results, with lower potash prices impacting revenue, but strong phosphate margins.
Product Development and Business Update: 3. Biosciences expansion is positive, but electrical issues and labor strikes are concerning.
Market Strategy: 3. Solid long-term outlook, but current challenges persist.
Expenses and Financial Health: 3. Cost reduction efforts are positive, but bad debt reserves and operational issues are negatives.
Shareholder Return Plan: 4. Strong share repurchases boost sentiment.
Overall, challenges and positives balance out, leading to a neutral outlook.
