Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive price prediction for NYT stock in 2025:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently showing bearish momentum with:
- RSI-14 at 39.06 indicating a neutral-bearish territory
- MACD trending downward with -0.89 value
- Price trading below both 5-day (49.94) and 10-day (50.78) moving averages
Fundamental Drivers
Recent Q4 2024 results showed:
- Beat on EPS: $0.80 vs $0.74 expected
- Revenue slightly missed: $726.6M vs $726.65M expected
- Digital subscription growth: Added 350,000 net subscribers
- Total digital subscribers reached 11.43 million
- Digital ARPU increased 4.4% to $9.65
Price Target Analysis
Based on recent analyst coverage:
- Barclays: $45.00 price target
- Cannonball Research: $55.00 price target
- Consensus price target: $54.20 (9.2% upside from current levels)
2025 Price Prediction
Given the technical and fundamental factors, here's the projected price range for NYT by end of 2025:
Base case: $54-56
- Supported by analyst consensus
- Assumes continued digital subscription growth
- Factors in current market multiples
Bullish case: $58-60
- Based on Fibonacci R3 level of $59.69
- Would require acceleration in digital growth
- Potential upside from AI content monetization
Bearish case: $46-48
- Near Fibonacci S2 support at $46.67
- Could occur with advertising revenue decline
- Digital growth slowdown scenario
Most likely scenario: Base case ($54-56) with 60% probability, given:
- Strong digital subscription trends
- Management's positive outlook on content pipeline
- Healthy margins and cash flow generation