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VWAP
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Vol
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Mkt Cap
--
Low
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Total Shares
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
3.66B
+3.61%
0.571
-41.16%
3.32B
+5.98%
-0.473
-38.61%
3.99B
+7.71%
2.478
+39.21%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.03% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -16.05%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+0.03%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-27.57%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-16.05%
In Past 3 Month
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALK is 70.00 USD with a low forecast of 58.00 USD and a high forecast of 96.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 42.930
Low
58.00
Averages
70.00
High
96.00
Current: 42.930
Low
58.00
Averages
70.00
High
96.00
TD Cowen
Buy
upgrade
$61 -> $65
2025-11-03
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$61 -> $65
2025-11-03
upgrade
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen raised the firm's price target on Alaska Air to $65 from $61 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated its estimates to incorporate 3Q25 results and 4Q25 guidance on RASM/CASMex.
UBS
Buy
maintain
$90 -> $83
2025-10-27
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$90 -> $83
2025-10-27
maintain
Buy
Reason
UBS lowered the firm's price target on Alaska Air to $83 from $90 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Alaska Air's Q4 outlook includes several moving parts, but most 2025 challenges appear one-time in nature and unlikely to recur, positioning the company for strong earnings acceleration in 2026 and beyond, the analyst tells investors in a research note. At roughly $44, the stock seems to reflect only about $4.75 in FY26 EPS, well below both UBS and consensus estimates, suggesting notable upside potential.
Raymond James
Outperform
downgrade
$68 -> $65
2025-10-27
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$68 -> $65
2025-10-27
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Raymond James lowered the firm's price target on Alaska Air to $65 from $68 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Alaska has faced a series of setbacks since mid-September, from a Q3 guidance cut and refinery fire to a tech outage and macro-driven EPS pressure, leaving the stock under scrutiny, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While core fundamentals remain solid, sentiment has turned cautious, making Alaska a "show-me" story, Raymond James says.
Raymond James
Outperform -> NULL
downgrade
$70 -> $68
2025-10-01
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$70 -> $68
2025-10-01
downgrade
Outperform -> NULL
Reason
Raymond James lowered the firm's price target on Alaska Air to $68 from $70 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. While macro risks abound and short-term bookings remain sensitive to headlines, the demand recovery first seen at the beginning of Q3 has continued to build, having greater implications for Q4 due to the forward sale of tickets, the firm says.
Evercore ISI
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$70 -> $65
2025-09-16
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$70 -> $65
2025-09-16
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Evercore ISI lowered the firm's price target on Alaska Air to $65 from $70 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Alaska's latest guidance points to a more challenging Q3, notes the analyst, who is adjusting estimates accordingly. Alaska is navigating cost headwinds, but the strength in corporate demand and loyalty programs "provides optimism for future quarters," the analyst added.
UBS
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$56 -> $90
2025-09-12
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$56 -> $90
2025-09-12
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
UBS upgraded Alaska Air to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $90, up from $56. The firm believes the consensus estimates do not fully reflect the potential contribution from Alaska Air's initiatives going forward. UBS has confidence in the company's long-term earnings power after analyzing the airline's premium seat expansion, loyalty growth, and global expansion. It also believes Alaska Air's near-term is "de-risked" with corporate demand recently accelerating recently and competitive pressure easing.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK.N) is 9.65, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -0.96. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Alaska Air Group Inc 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average PE
-0.96
Current PE
9.65
Overvalued PE
39.69
Undervalued PE
-41.61
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
2.55
Current EV/EBITDA
4.79
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
24.01
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
-18.92
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average PS
0.97
Current PS
42.93
Overvalued PS
4.69
Undervalued PS
-2.74
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds areBuying! The buying amount has increased 298.58% over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
ALK News & Events
Events Timeline
(ET)
2025-11-07
13:38:16
Duffy warns that U.S. flight reductions may reach 20% if conditions deteriorate.
2025-11-07
12:50:37
FAA mandates airlines to cut flight schedules by 10% by November 14.
2025-11-05 (ET)
2025-11-05
16:51:17
U.S. to reduce flight capacity by 10% across 40 key airports
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News
![[object Object]](https://d5bp8bijhhba2.cloudfront.net/image/cover_image/1cc727f7df9b7d82a4a65c055bba096ff0b1d18e48f7f2709bfe3578eae3c0fa.jpg)
Preview
3.5
11-01NASDAQ.COMAlaska Airlines Engages Accenture to Enhance IT Infrastructure Following Flight Interruptions
![[object Object]](https://d5bp8bijhhba2.cloudfront.net/image/cover_image/fb96e05740b257701652185b91f982b2473cc81583b1e73554eb4e8180c5588f.png)
Preview
7.5
11-01ReutersAlaska Airlines to review IT systems following worldwide outage
![[object Object]](https://d5bp8bijhhba2.cloudfront.net/image/cover_image/3d44f0c8002f37ec6267755b56e261ef3d606de4e1104c23971d4e841b8a6f1c.png)
Preview
3.5
10-30TipRanksAlaska Airlines (ALK) Website and App Experience Downtime Due to Microsoft Azure Outage
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