Stock Price & Analysis

Analysis and Insights

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that primarily invests in agency residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The stock is currently trading at $10.30, with a high dividend yield of 13.8% and a price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Here's a concise analysis:

Technical Analysis:

AGNC's stock price is currently testing its Fibonacci pivot level of $10.34, with resistance at $10.56 and support at $10.13. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 42.80, indicating a neutral position, while the MACD shows a slight bullish signal.

Valuation Analysis:

The stock is trading at a premium to its tangible net book value of $8.41, which may raise concerns about overvaluation. However, the high dividend yield and stable payout history could justify the premium.

Analyst Sentiment:

Most analysts maintain a "Buy" or "Overweight" rating, with price targets ranging from $10 to $11. Wells Fargo recently lowered its target to $11 from $12 but remains positive on the stock's risk/reward profile.

News Sentiment:

Recent news indicates bearish activity, with heavy put option trading, but the company's fundamentals in agency MBS remain strong. The upcoming earnings announcement on April 21 could drive volatility.

Conclusion:

Buy AGNC for its attractive dividend yield and stable payout history. Sell if valuations rise significantly above book value or if interest rates spike.

AGNC stock is predicted to trade around $10.25 in 2025, supported by its stable dividend yield and balanced market outlook. The stock's current price of $10.30 reflects a premium over its tangible net book value, with analysts maintaining a neutral stance due to limited upside potential.

The S1 support level for AGNC Stock is $9.97 ,The R1 resistant level for AGNC Stock is $10.45.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-14, the price of AGNC Stock was $10.12.

The target price for AGNC Stock according to analyst rating is 10.14, with the highest price target at 11.00 and the lowest at 9.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on AGNC Stock overall.

The market cap of AGNC is $9.2B.

AGNC is trading at a 22% premium to its tangible net book value of $8.41, raising concerns about overvaluation. Its high dividend yield of 13.8% is attractive but may not be sustainable given declining net spread income. Analysts have mixed views, with price targets ranging from $9 to $11. AGNC's stock price aligns with these targets, suggesting moderate valuation. While not significantly overvalued, the premium and declining income warrant caution.

AGNC Investment Corp. is an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company provides private capital to the United States housing market, enhancing liquidity in the residential real estate mortgage markets and, in turn, facilitating home ownership in the United States. The Company invest primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (Agency RMBS) on a leveraged basis. These investments consist of residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a United States Government-sponsored enterprise, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac, and together with Fannie Mae, the GSEs), or by a United States Government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae). It may also invest in other assets related to the housing, mortgage or real estate markets.

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock is expected to trade between $12 and $14 by 2030, driven by its high dividend yield and stable market conditions. The company's focus on maintaining its dividend and potential growth in the mortgage-backed securities market support this projection.

AGNC has a total of 53 employees.