AGNC's stock price is currently trading at $10.37, with a neutral RSI of 57.66, indicating no clear overbought or oversold conditions. The MACD is slightly positive at 0.10, suggesting mild bullish momentum. However, the stock is approaching the upper Bollinger Band, which may indicate overbought conditions.
AGNC is trading at a premium to its tangible net book value of $8.41, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.23. This premium could indicate investor optimism, but it also suggests potential downside risk if the book value declines further.
Recent news indicates bearish options activity, with a Put/Call Ratio of 3.30, signaling increased bearish sentiment. The upcoming earnings announcement on April 21st adds uncertainty, which could impact the stock price.
The stock is currently trading near the pivot point of $10.35, with resistance at $10.57 (R1) and support at $10.14 (S1). A break below the pivot could signal a bearish trend.
Based on the analysis, AGNC is expected to trade between $10.00 and $10.50 next week. The bearish options activity and overvaluation relative to book value suggest a potential pullback.
Recommendation: Sell AGNC with a target price of $10.00.
The price of AGNC is predicted to go up 5.33%, based on the high correlation periods with E. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.41%.
AGNC
E
Wells Fargo
2025-01-30
Price Target
$12 → $11
Upside
+6.85%
JP Morgan
2024-12-09
Price Target
$10 → $9.5
Downside
-2.03%
Wells Fargo
2024-09-20
Price Target
$10 → $12
Upside
+14.39%