Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis of NWG stock:
Technical Analysis
The stock shows a strong upward trend since October 2023, with the price increasing from around $4 to current levels above $5.60. Recent technical indicators show:
- RSI-14 at 61.14 indicates moderate bullish momentum without being overbought
- MACD is positive (0.25) with a small positive histogram (0.01), suggesting continued upward momentum
- Price is trading above all major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 60, 200-day SMAs), confirming the bullish trend
- Current price is near the upper Bollinger Band (BBP: 0.76), suggesting strong momentum but potential short-term resistance
Fundamental Analysis
Key valuation metrics show NWG is reasonably valued:
- Forward P/E: 4.63 (decreased from 7.22 in 2022)
- P/B: 0.60 (decreased from 0.80 in 2022)
- Dividend Yield: 6.90% (increased from 4.55% in 2022)
Recent Developments
According to recent news, NatWest reported strong Q4 2024 results and provided positive guidance for 2025:
- Projects total income between £15.2-15.7 billion for 2025
- 2024 income remained stable at £14.70 billion
- Expects accelerated income growth and profitability in 2025
- Has effective hedging strategies against potential interest rate cuts
Buy/Sell Recommendation
Based on the analysis, NWG presents a STRONG BUY opportunity for the following reasons:
- Strong technical uptrend with healthy momentum
- Attractive valuations with a low P/B ratio
- High dividend yield of 6.90%
- Positive 2025 guidance with expected income growth
- Current price ($5.67) has support at the Fibonacci level of $5.59