Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis for NEM stock:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently trading at $41.95, showing a modest gain of +0.65% in the regular market session . The RSI of 61.35 indicates moderate bullish momentum without being overbought. The positive MACD of 0.38 suggests an upward trend continuation.
Recent Performance & Challenges
NEM has faced significant headwinds, dropping 33% since September 2024. Key challenges include:
- Rising operational costs, particularly in gold business with all-in-sustaining costs reaching $1,611 per ounce
- Integration expenses from the $17.5 billion Newcrest Mining acquisition
- Despite challenges, revenue grew 84% year-over-year to $4.6 billion in Q3 2024
Analyst Sentiment
Recent analyst actions show mixed sentiment:
- Scotiabank maintained Hold rating with $50 price target (18.06% upside)
- Raymond James maintains Buy rating with $59 target (38.95% upside)
- UBS downgraded to Hold with $54 target (15.04% upside)
Market Environment
Gold prices have reached record highs, with forecasts suggesting potential rise to $3,000 per ounce by end of 2025. This positive gold price environment could benefit NEM's profitability despite operational challenges.
Based on technical indicators, analyst consensus, and the favorable gold price environment, NEM appears to be a moderate buy at current levels, with analysts estimating fair value around $53 per share.