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AAP Earnings

Advance Auto Parts Inc
$
54.790
-7.02(-11.357%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Advance Auto Parts Inc(AAP) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Advance Auto Parts Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-08-14Pre-Market0.590.69+16.951.99B2.01B+1.01--
FY2025Q12025-05-22Pre-Market-0.81-0.22+72.842.51B2.58B+2.96+57.04+68.35
FY2024Q42025-02-26Pre-Market-1.38-1.18+14.491.93B2.00B+3.36-17.83-24.63
FY2024Q22024-08-22Pre-Market1.000.75-25.002.67B2.68B+0.48-17.47-24.68
FY2024Q12024-05-29-0.690.67-2.903.42B3.41B-0.55-10.97-7.08
FY2023Q42024-02-28-0.24-0.59-345.832.46B2.46B+0.04+2.58+12.22
FY2023Q32023-11-15-1.42-0.82-157.752.68B2.72B+1.60-4.67-12.69
FY2023Q22023-08-23-1.721.43-16.862.66B2.69B+0.86+3.12-0.59
-2023-05-31-2.600.72-72.31----35.04-41.11
-2023-02-28-2.412.88+19.50---+3.08-3.91

AAP Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Advance Auto Parts Inc reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-08-14. The company achieved an EPS of 0.69, compared to analyst estimates of 0.59 by 16.95% . Revenue for the quarter reached 2.01B compared to expectations of 1.99B by 1.01% .
The stock price reacted with a % one-day change and a % five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Advance Auto Parts Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

AAP Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Advance Auto Parts Inc(AAP) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q2 project quarter revenue of 1.97B and an EPS of 0.58.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.2%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 21.63%. For the upcoming Q2 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.21% . These revisions correlate with a 67.45% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Advance Auto Parts Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between AAP's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.2%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+21.63%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q2 2025
Revise Downward
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-0.21%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+67.45%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:8.52B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.91
Stock Price54.79

AAP Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Advance Auto Parts Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-14,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.69 (Actual) vs.0.59 (Estimate) (16.95%)
Revenue: 2.01B (Actual) vs. 1.99B (Estimate) (1.01%)
Price Reaction: %(1-Day), %(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-22,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.22 (Actual) vs.-0.81 (Estimate) (72.84%)
Revenue: 2.58B (Actual) vs. 2.51B (Estimate) (2.96%)
Price Reaction: 57.04%(1-Day), 68.35%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-26,Pre-Market):
EPS: -1.18 (Actual) vs.-1.38 (Estimate) (14.49%)
Revenue: 2.00B (Actual) vs. 1.93B (Estimate) (3.36%)
Price Reaction: -17.83%(1-Day), -24.63%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AAP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AAP sees a +8.38% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -3.15%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed % on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 0% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-23
The company's financial performance shows a decline in net sales and gross profit, with a significant operating loss. The Q&A reveals management's reluctance to provide clear guidance, indicating uncertainty. Despite plans for store optimization and new openings, the negative free cash flow and reduced guidance for 2025 suggest financial strain. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these factors, leading to a likely negative stock price movement in the short term.
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-22
The earnings call presents a negative outlook due to several factors: declining net sales and comparable store sales, gross margin contraction, and significant free cash flow deficits. Although there are strategic plans for supply chain optimization and market hub expansion, the guidance reflects weak financial metrics with expected negative free cash flow and low EPS. The Q&A section reveals concerns about tariffs and unclear management responses, adding to the uncertainty. The lack of a shareholder return plan further detracts from investor confidence. Given these aspects, a negative sentiment rating is appropriate.
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-22
The earnings call reveals a mixed but generally negative outlook. The company reaffirmed guidance but reported a 7% YoY net sales decrease and significant free cash flow negativity. Despite cost-saving measures and expected gross margin improvements, the current financial performance shows declining margins and widening losses. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties in inflation and lack of clarity on store closures' impact. Given these factors and the company's mid-cap status, the stock is likely to experience a negative reaction, with potential declines in the range of -2% to -8%.
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-14
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. The financial performance shows a decline in net sales and comparable store sales, but there are improvements in gross profit and operating income. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in strategic initiatives but also highlights risks and uncertainties, such as execution challenges and unclear cost impact. The sale of Worldpac boosts liquidity, but the absence of a share buyback or dividend program limits shareholder returns. Overall, the sentiment is neutral with potential for slight positive movement due to strategic actions and improved margins.
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-22
The earnings call presents mixed signals: a decline in financial metrics with a weak Q2 outlook, but optimism for H2. The Worldpac sale boosts liquidity, yet operational costs rise. Q&A reveals uncertainties, notably around post-Worldpac EPS. Market cap suggests moderate reaction, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of AAP’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

AAP reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-08-14, showcasing a revenue of 2.01B against an estimate of 1.99B, resulting in a 1.01% surprise. The EPS was 0.69, surpassing the expected 0.59 by 16.95% . The stock experienced a 0% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did AAP’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AAP for 2025/Q2?

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How does AAP’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from AAP’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary?