The chart below shows how AKR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AKR sees a -0.80% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.11% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.36%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Same Store NOI Growth: Over the last three years, Acadia Realty Trust has achieved over 5% same store NOI growth, with a significant contribution from the street retail segment, which is expected to continue driving high net effective growth and risk-adjusted returns.
New Lease Agreements Summary: In 2024, Acadia Realty Trust signed over 50 new leases totaling more than $13.5 million in annual rent, representing nearly 10% of total ABR, with overall spreads for the year totaling approximately 35%.
Strategic Acquisitions Impact: The company completed over $600 million in acquisitions, strategically adding street retail properties in key markets, which are expected to enhance earnings and net asset value.
Earnings and NOI Growth: Acadia Realty Trust's fourth quarter earnings per share increased by approximately 15% year-over-year, reaching $0.32, while same store NOI growth for the quarter was 5.7%, driven by over 12% growth from the street retail portfolio.
FFO Growth Projection: The company anticipates a 5.5% growth in FFO for 2025, with significant contributions expected from a signed not yet open pipeline of $7.7 million, which represents over 5% of core ABR.
Negative
Same Store NOI Growth: Same store NOI growth was reported at 5.7% for the quarter, but this was driven by a significant 12% growth from the street retail portfolio, indicating potential weakness in other segments.
Increased Bad Debt Reserve: The company anticipates a bad debt reserve of 125 basis points in their guidance, which is higher than historical levels, suggesting increased risk in tenant performance.
Urban Portfolio Occupancy Rate: Physical occupancy for the street and urban portfolio was reported at 90.6%, indicating a significant amount of vacant space that could hinder revenue growth.
Retailer Weakness Impact: The company acknowledged the reemergence of retailer weakness and bankruptcies, particularly among junior anchor retailers in suburban shopping centers, which could impact overall performance.
Acquisition Strategy Challenges: Despite a strong acquisition strategy, the company noted that the higher yielding bond market and potential for prolonged interest rates could negatively affect valuations and growth prospects.
Earnings call transcript: Acadia Realty Trust Q4 2024 earnings miss estimates
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