Based on the provided data and context, here's a comprehensive analysis of FTV's valuation:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently trading at $80.07 with mixed technical signals. RSI-14 at 50.11 indicates neutral momentum, while the stock is trading above all major moving averages (SMA 5,10,20,60,200), suggesting an overall bullish trend. The Bollinger Band position (BBP) of 0.39 indicates the stock is trading in the middle of its range.
Fundamental Valuation
According to recent analyst reports, Fortive is currently facing some headwinds:
- Market cap of $27.8 billion
- Q4 revenue slightly missed expectations at $1.62 billion vs $1.63 billion forecast
- However, adjusted EPS of $1.17 beat expectations of $1.12
- Forward guidance for FY2025 EPS of $4.00-$4.12 suggests 4.1% growth
Analyst Consensus
The stock currently has a "Moderate Buy" consensus from 17 analysts:
- 9 Strong Buy ratings
- 1 Moderate Buy rating
- 7 Hold ratings
- Mean price target of $87.69 (9.4% upside potential)
- Street-high target of $97 (21% upside)
Based on this analysis, FTV appears slightly overvalued at current levels due to:
- Recent underperformance vs S&P 500 (-3.6% vs +20.5% over past year)
- Modest growth projections for 2025
- Mixed technical signals despite trading above key moving averages
- Headwinds in key markets like China and sluggish government spending
- Current price near analyst target range suggesting limited upside potential