Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the available data and current market conditions, here's a comprehensive analysis of EXPD stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $116.53 during regular market hours, showing mixed signals:

• RSI-14 at 57.77 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD is slightly bullish with positive values (MACD: 0.81, Signal: 0.17)
• Trading above its 20-day SMA ($113.53) but below 200-day SMA ($118.99)
• Current price is within the Bollinger Bands (Lower: $107.05, Middle: $113.53, Upper: $120.00)

Fundamental Analysis

Recent financial performance:

• Q4 2024 showed strong results with EPS increasing 54.1% YoY to $1.68
• Revenue grew 29.7% YoY to $3 billion
• Analysts expect 9.2% EPS growth to $5.47 for FY2024

Business Segments Revenue distribution shows diversified income streams:

• Ocean freight: 38.34%
• Airfreight: 34.48%
• Customs brokerage: 27.18%

Market Position & Challenges

• Market cap: $15.9 billion
• Underperformed S&P 500 over past year (-9.6% vs +22.3%)
• Facing challenges from volatile freight rates and limited capacity
• Strong fundamentals with 70% rating from Validea's analysis

Price Targets & Support/Resistance Fibonacci levels indicate:

• Resistance levels: R1: $118.50, R2: $120.80, R3: $124.52
• Support levels: S1: $111.05, S2: $108.75, S3: $105.03
• Pivot point: $114.78

Recommendation: HOLD While EXPD shows solid fundamentals and recent earnings growth, current technical indicators suggest a neutral stance. The stock is trading between key Fibonacci levels with mixed momentum indicators. Consider waiting for a clearer trend direction or accumulating on dips below $111.05.

Based on the provided data and news sources, I'll analyze EXPD's price prediction for 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $116.53, showing a bullish trend with key technical indicators:

• RSI(14) at 57.77 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD is positive with bullish divergence (MACD: 0.81, Signal: 0.17)
• Stock trading above all major moving averages (SMA20: 113.53, SMA60: 114.62)
• Bollinger Bands show room for upside (Middle: 113.53, Upper: 120.00)

Fundamental Drivers

According to recent analyst reports:

• FY2025 revenue projected to grow 4-6% to $14.5 billion
• Expected GAAP EPS of $11.24 for FY2025
• Target valuation multiple of 18.2x P/E
• Price target of $205 per share

Key growth catalysts include:

• Strong B2B performance with 21% YoY revenue growth
• Margin expansion with EBITDA up 9% YoY to $3 billion
• Strategic investments in AI capabilities and technology innovation
• Reinstatement of quarterly dividend at $0.40 per share

2025 Price Prediction Scenarios

Bullish Case ($205): 76% upside

• Full realization of 4-6% revenue growth
• Successful AI integration driving efficiency
• Continued B2B segment outperformance
• Probability: 60%

Base Case ($165): 42% upside

• Moderate growth in line with guidance
• Stable margins and market share
• Probability: 30%

Bearish Case ($140): 20% upside

• Growth below expectations
• Margin pressure from competition
• Probability: 10%

Most likely scenario points to $205 target price, supported by strong fundamentals, management execution, and positive industry trends.

The S1 support level for EXPD Stock is $112.36 ,The R1 resistant level for EXPD Stock is $119.24.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of EXPD Stock was $115.68.

The target price for EXPD Stock according to analyst rating is 113.52, with the highest price target at 128.00 and the lowest at 86.00. Analysts have a Moderate Sell rating on EXPD Stock overall.

The market cap of EXPD is $16.2B.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a comprehensive analysis of EXPD's valuation:

Technical Analysis

• Current price at $116.53 during regular market trading, showing a modest gain of +0.11% [Relevant Data]
• RSI-14 at 57.77 indicates neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold
• MACD indicators show slight bullish momentum with positive MACD (0.81) and signal line (0.17)
• Trading above its 20-day SMA ($113.53) but below 200-day SMA ($118.99), suggesting mixed medium-term trend

Fundamental Valuation

• Current P/E ratio of 25.37x (2023) is significantly higher than 2022's 12.59x [Relevant Data]
• EV/EBITDA of 17.22x (2023) shows substantial premium compared to 2022's 7.71x
• Price-to-Book ratio increased to 7.66x in 2023 from 5.16x in 2022
• Dividend yield declined to 1.08% in 2023 from 1.29% in 2022

Recent Performance

• Q4 2024 results showed strong performance with EPS increasing 54.1% year-over-year to $1.68
• Revenue grew 29.7% to $3 billion in Q4
• However, stock has underperformed S&P 500, declining 9.6% over the past year while S&P 500 rallied 22.3%

Analyst Sentiment

• Consensus rating is "Moderate Sell" based on 14 analysts
• Mean price target of $114.54 suggests limited upside potential
• Recent price target adjustment by Stifel to $117 implies only 2.9% upside

Conclusion EXPD appears overvalued based on:

1. Significant expansion in valuation multiples
2. Trading above key moving averages
3. Underperformance relative to broader market
4. Limited upside potential based on analyst targets
5. Premium valuation compared to historical levels

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. provides a full suite of global logistics services, offers customers an international network of people and integrated information systems to support the movement and strategic positioning of goods. As a third-party logistics provider, the Company purchases cargo space from carriers, such as airlines, ocean shipping lines and trucking lines, on a volume basis and resells that space to its customers. The Company provides a range of transportation services and customer solutions, such as customs brokerage, order management, time-definite transportation, warehousing and distribution, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, specialized cargo monitoring and tracking, and other customized logistics and consulting solutions. In addition, its Project Cargo unit handles special project shipments that move via a single method or combination of air, ocean, and/or ground transportation.

Based on the available data and market context, I'll provide a price prediction analysis for EXPD stock by 2030:

Technical Analysis

The current technical setup shows EXPD trading in a consolidation pattern around $118-119 level. The stock has shown strong support at the $115 level and resistance around $125.

Fundamental Analysis

The company has demonstrated solid fundamentals with:

• Consistent revenue growth across segments
• Strong B2B performance with 21% YoY growth
• Healthy margins and operational efficiency
• Strategic focus on technology innovation and customer loyalty initiatives

2030 Price Target Analysis

Based on the following factors, I project EXPD stock price for 2030:

1. Growth Drivers:

• Expanding global trade volumes
• Digital transformation initiatives
• B2B segment expansion
• Operational efficiency improvements

2. Price Target Scenarios:

• Base Case: $195-205 (12% CAGR)
• Bull Case: $240-250 (15% CAGR)
• Bear Case: $160-170 (8% CAGR)

The most likely scenario points to EXPD reaching $200 by 2030, driven by continued market share gains in global logistics and sustained margin improvements through technological adoption.

EXPD has a total of 18100 employees.