Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's my analysis for LDOS:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing bearish signals with a recent downtrend. LDOS has fallen from its recent high of $145.54 to current price of $132.26, representing a -9.1% decline. The stock is trading below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating negative momentum.

Fundamental Analysis

• P/E Ratio: 14.13x (below industry average of 20.87x)
• PEG Ratio: 0.95 (below industry average of 1.49)
• P/B Ratio: 4.17 (below industry average of 4.45)
• P/S Ratio: 1.18 (below industry average of 1.75)

These valuation metrics suggest LDOS is trading at relatively attractive valuations compared to its peers.

Recent Developments

• Q4 2024 revenue grew 10% YoY to $4.37 billion, beating analyst estimates of $4.13 billion
• Strong backlog of $43.55 billion provides good revenue visibility
• Recently won a $2.6 billion sustainment contract for Transportation Security Equipment

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions:

• Truist lowered price target from $185 to $165 while maintaining Buy rating
• Wells Fargo lowered target from $190 to $176 but maintains Overweight rating
• The mean analyst price target is $190.43, suggesting 31.5% upside potential

Recommendation: SELL

Despite strong fundamentals and attractive valuations, several concerning factors suggest avoiding LDOS at current levels:

1. Deteriorating technical indicators with price below key moving averages
2. Weak momentum with RSI showing oversold conditions at 21
3. Multiple analysts recently lowering price targets
4. Free cash flow margin has dropped by 3.8 percentage points over the last five years

Consider waiting for technical indicators to improve and price to stabilize before initiating any new positions.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for LDOS stock in 2025:

Leidos Holdings (LDOS) is expected to reach $165-170 by end of 2025, representing a 25-28% upside from current levels, driven by strong defense contracts and improved operational efficiency. The company's robust Q3 2024 performance with 6.86% revenue growth and efficient cost management supports this bullish outlook. Recent analyst consensus maintains a "Strong Buy" rating with multiple price target upgrades, suggesting strong fundamental momentum.

The S1 support level for LDOS Stock is $126.96 ,The R1 resistant level for LDOS Stock is $144.96.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of LDOS Stock was $126.5.

The target price for LDOS Stock according to analyst rating is 171.83, with the highest price target at 220.00 and the lowest at 150.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on LDOS Stock overall.

The market cap of LDOS is $16.6B.

Based on the recent data and analysis, LDOS appears fairly valued with some concerns. The company's P/E ratio has significantly increased from 21.19 in 2022 to 75.06 in 2023, indicating potential overvaluation compared to historical levels. However, the company's recent Q4 2024 performance showed strong revenue growth of 10% year-over-year with net bookings of $7.6 billion, demonstrating solid business momentum. The stock is currently trading at $132.26, well below its 200-day moving average of $153.59, suggesting a bearish technical trend. Net margin declined significantly from 4.81% in 2022 to 1.35% in 2023, raising profitability concerns. The company's 2025 guidance of $16.9-17.3 billion in revenue and adjusted EPS of $10.35-10.75 suggests moderate growth expectations.

Leidos Holdings, Inc. is a holding company, which operates through its subsidiary, Leidos, Inc. The Company is engaged in developing smarter technology solutions, particularly for customers in highly regulated industries. Its segments include Defense Solutions, Civil and Health. Its Defense Solutions segment provides technologically advanced services, solutions and products to a customer base. Its technologies cover a spectrum of markets with primary areas of concentration in digital modernization, mission systems and integration, command, control, computers, communications, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR) technologies and services. Its Civil segment is focused on modernizing infrastructure, systems and security for government and commercial customers both domestically and internationally. Its Health segment delivers effective and affordable solutions to federal and commercial customers that are responsible for the health and well-being of people worldwide.

Based on the provided data and references, here is a detailed analysis for LDOS stock price prediction for 2030:

Price Target Analysis for 2030

Leidos Holdings (LDOS) is expected to reach $199.003 by 2030, representing a +50.46% increase from the current price of $132.26. This projection is supported by several key factors:

Growth Drivers

1. Defense Spending Trends

• Global defense spending is projected to maintain strong growth through 2030
• The company's defense solutions segment continues to show robust demand with significant contract wins

2. Contract Momentum

• Recent major contract wins:
  • $738 million U.S. Air Force cybersecurity contract
  • $631 million U.S. Army sensor contract
• Total backlog of $43.6 billion provides strong revenue visibility

3. Financial Performance

• Q4 2024 showed strong execution:
  • Revenue growth of 10% year-over-year
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.6%
  • Net bookings of $7.6 billion with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.7

Technical Analysis Support The current technical indicators show:

• RSI(14) at 30.84 indicates oversold conditions
• Trading below both 200-day SMA ($153.59) and 60-day SMA ($150.62)
• Strong support levels identified at $131.70 and $127.20

The price target of $199.003 by 2030 is based on:

• Continued growth in defense spending
• Strong execution of backlog
• Margin expansion potential
• Historical growth trajectory

LDOS has a total of 47000 employees.