The chart below shows how LDOS performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LDOS sees a -2.56% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.01% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.06%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Earnings Performance Exceeds Expectations: Leidos reported a Q4 2024 EPS of $2.37, exceeding expectations of $2.24, marking a significant achievement in earnings performance.
Q4 Revenue Performance: Total revenue for Q4 2024 reached nearly $4.37 billion, reflecting a robust organic growth rate of 9.7%, contributing to a full-year revenue growth of 7.9% to $16.66 billion, surpassing prior guidance by $212 million.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance: Adjusted EBITDA for the full year was $2.15 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.9%, which is a 210 basis point increase from the previous year, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Record Bookings and Backlog Growth: In Q4 2024, Leidos achieved net bookings of $7.6 billion, resulting in a record book-to-bill ratio of 1.7 for the December quarter, and an overall backlog growth of 18% year-over-year.
Share Repurchase Exceeds Commitment: The company repurchased $406 million worth of shares in Q4 2024, bringing total share repurchases for the year to $850 million, significantly exceeding the initial commitment of $500 million.
Negative
Decline in Profitability Margin: Operating income margin for the National Security segment slipped to 9.7%, indicating a decline in profitability despite revenue growth.
Defense Systems Operating Margin: The Defense Systems segment reported a non-GAAP operating margin of only 3.5%, impacted by a $21 million write-off associated with an airborne surveillance asset.
Operating Margin Decline: Commercial and international revenues saw a non-GAAP operating margin decrease of 80 basis points to 7.9%, attributed to a less favorable product mix and increased growth investments.
Stock Decline Amid Strong Performance: Despite a strong overall performance, the company’s stock has traded down about 25% since November 12, indicating market concerns about future performance.
Revenue Growth Slowdown: 2025 revenue guidance reflects only low single-digit growth, with expectations of revenues between $16.9 billion and $17.3 billion, suggesting a slowdown compared to the previous year.
Leidos Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LDOS) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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