EXPD Should I Buy
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Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While there are some positive indicators, such as improving gross margin and potential short-term price gains, the lack of strong growth catalysts, insider selling, and mixed analyst sentiment suggest holding off on a purchase for now.
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 67.887, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 147.382), which may limit immediate upside potential.
The Iran war has increased transportation costs, which could benefit logistics companies like EXPD in the short term. The stock has a 60% chance to gain 6.8% in the next week and 25.12% in the next month.
Insider selling has increased by 209.23% over the last month. Analysts have mixed ratings, with several lowering price targets and expressing concerns about ocean rate normalization and limited operating leverage visibility. Hedge funds are neutral, and there are no significant trading trends.
In Q3 2025, revenue dropped by 3.51% YoY, and net income declined by 3.19% YoY. However, EPS increased slightly by 0.61% YoY, and gross margin improved significantly to 32.5%, up 9.50% YoY.
Analysts have mixed views. Susquehanna, Truist, and JPMorgan lowered their price targets, citing ocean rate normalization and structural risks. Goldman Sachs raised its price target but maintained a Sell rating. BofA upgraded the stock to Buy with a $179 price target, citing potential benefits from cyclical transport trends and AI-enabled share gains.
