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EXPD Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
158.480
1 Day change
0.82%
52 Week Range
167.190
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/22
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

EXPD is not a strong buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 to deploy. The stock is technically constructive, but the upside case is only moderate and the latest sentiment inputs are mixed rather than clearly bullish. Since there is no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal today, I would not call this a compelling immediate entry. Best direct call: hold and wait for a better risk/reward setup, or only start a small position if the investor specifically wants quality exposure now.

Technical Analysis

The price closed at 157.19, slightly below the recent intraday tone and just under R1 at 159.17, which suggests near-term resistance overhead. The trend is still positive: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 is bullish, and MACD remains above zero, though the histogram is positively contracting, so momentum is not accelerating. RSI_6 at 61 is neutral-to-bullish, not overbought. Support sits around 155.06 pivot and 150.95 S1, while resistance is 159.17 then 161.71. Overall, the trend is upward but not in a breakout phase.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment leans bullish. The put-call ratio on open interest and volume is below 1, showing more call activity than put activity. Open interest is 3,332 versus today’s volume of 41, and implied volatility at 27.25% is below the 5-day and 10-day averages, which suggests calmer expectations and no major event fear. The options market is mildly supportive, but not signaling urgency or a strong catalyst.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Recent analyst target increases from UBS, BofA, Susquehanna, Truist, and JPMorgan reflect improving estimates and renewed attention after Q1 results.", "Analysts highlighted stronger Q1 performance, especially customs brokerage strength, better air freight profitability, and improved operating leverage.", "BofA sees upside from staffing investments, technology improvements, tariff complexity benefits, and AI-driven productivity gains.", "Technical trend remains bullish with moving averages aligned upward."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["No news in the recent week, so there is no fresh event-driven catalyst pushing the stock higher right now.", "Analyst views are mixed overall, with Neutral, Hold, Underweight, and Sell ratings still present despite target raises.", "Insiders are selling, and selling activity increased 209.23% over the last month.", "Congress trading shows 1 sale and 0 purchases in the last 90 days, which leans cautious.", "The stock is near short-term resistance, limiting immediate upside without a new catalyst."]

Financial Performance

No usable financial snapshot was provided due to an error, so I cannot assess the latest quarter’s revenue or EPS numerically. Qualitatively, analyst commentary indicates the latest quarter was stronger than expected, with better air freight profitability, customs brokerage strength, improved labor productivity, and operating leverage. This points to improving growth and margin trends in the latest reported quarter, which appears to be Q1.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment has improved recently, mainly through higher price targets after Q1 results. UBS raised its target to $175 and kept Buy; BofA raised to $181 and kept Buy; Susquehanna raised to $156 and stayed Neutral; Truist raised to $145 and stayed Hold; JPMorgan raised to $139 and stayed Underweight; Goldman remained Sell with a $129 target earlier in the period. Wall Street is therefore split: the pro case is improving productivity, customs growth, and technology upside, while the cautious case focuses on valuation, ocean normalization, and limited near-term operating leverage visibility.

Wall Street analysts forecast EXPD stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast EXPD stock price to fall
2 Buy
4 Hold
4 Sell
Hold
Current: 157.190
sliders
Low
95
Averages
141.11
High
179
Current: 157.190
sliders
Low
95
Averages
141.11
High
179
UBS
Thomas Wadewitz
Buy
maintain
$166 -> $175
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
Reason
UBS
Thomas Wadewitz
Price Target
$166 -> $175
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
maintain
Buy
Reason
UBS analyst Thomas Wadewitz raised the firm's price target on Expeditors to $175 from $166 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Expeditors' net revenue growth is the key driver of EPS while productivity supports operating margin performance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Susquehanna
Bascome Majors
Neutral
maintain
$142 -> $156
2026-05-06
Reason
Susquehanna
Bascome Majors
Price Target
$142 -> $156
2026-05-06
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Susquehanna analyst Bascome Majors raised the firm's price target on Expeditors to $156 from $142 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm said results proved resilient in the volatile trade backdrop, ultimately driving home better than expected labor productivity including meaningful upside in their Customs segment. The firm's numbers come up on flow through of 1Q results but remain on the sidelines even as they factor significantly improved labor productivity.
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