Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a comprehensive analysis for CHD stock:

Technical Analysis

• Current price: $108.06 (+2.59% in regular market trading)
• Strong upward momentum with price breaking above recent resistance levels
• RSI-14 at 49.26 indicates neutral momentum without overbought conditions
• MACD showing slight bearish divergence (-0.27) but improving with narrowing spread

Recent Performance & Catalysts

• Stock has shown resilience despite recent market volatility
• Q4 2024 results:
  • Sales grew 3.5% to $1.58B, beating estimates
  • Organic sales increased 4.2%
  • Gross margin expanded to 44.7%
  • Board approved 4% dividend increase to $0.295/share

Analyst Sentiment

• Consensus rating is "Moderate Buy"
• Mixed analyst views with recent actions:
  • J.P. Morgan maintains Sell rating with $106 PT
  • Barclays raised PT to $93 while maintaining Underweight
  • Mean price target of $110.43 suggests 5.2% upside potential
  • High target of $126 indicates possible 20% upside

Key Considerations

• Strong market position in consumer staples sector
• Consistent dividend growth history
• Management provided conservative Q1 2025 guidance:
  • Expects 1% reported sales growth
  • Projects 2% organic growth
  • EPS forecast of $0.90 (below consensus of $0.98)

Recommendation: HOLD

• Current price momentum is positive
• Valuation appears fair given growth prospects
• Conservative guidance suggests caution
• Stock suitable for defensive investors seeking dividend growth

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze the price prediction for Church & Dwight (CHD) stock in 2025.

Technical Analysis

The current technical indicators show:

• RSI-14 at 49.26 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD is slightly bearish with -0.27
• Stochastic RSI (14,14,3,3) at 25.74 suggests oversold conditions
• Price is currently trading between the 20-day SMA ($105.92) and 200-day SMA ($104.65)

Fundamental Outlook

According to recent earnings call insights, CHD management has outlined several positive catalysts for 2025:

• Organic sales growth target of 3-4%
• Gross margin expansion of 25 basis points expected
• Strong international expansion with HERO brand reaching 50 countries
• Continued innovation pipeline across key brands

Valuation Metrics

The forward P/E ratio of 44.17x suggests premium valuation compared to industry peers, but justified by:

• Consistent dividend growth (4% increase announced)
• Strong cash flow generation ($1.16B in 2024)
• Robust international growth (9% YoY in Q4 2024)

2025 Price Target Analysis

Based on management guidance and current market conditions:

Bullish Case ($115-120):

• Successful execution of international expansion
• Better-than-expected margin expansion
• Strong performance of new product launches

Base Case ($108-112):

• Meeting 3-4% organic growth targets
• Moderate inflation impact
• Steady market share gains

Bearish Case ($95-100):

• Marketing spend pressure on margins
• Slower-than-expected international growth
• General market volatility

Most likely scenario: Base Case ($110) supported by:

• Strong innovation pipeline
• Proven track record of execution
• Defensive nature of consumer staples sector

The S1 support level for CHD Stock is $103.73 ,The R1 resistant level for CHD Stock is $109.97.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of CHD Stock was $109.57.

The target price for CHD Stock according to analyst rating is 115.71, with the highest price target at 165.00 and the lowest at 93.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on CHD Stock overall.

The market cap of CHD is $26.7B.

Based on the comprehensive financial data and recent analyst reports, here's a direct analysis of CHD's valuation:

Church & Dwight appears fairly valued at current levels. The company's P/E ratio has significantly improved from 47.97 in 2022 to 30.99 in 2023, indicating better earnings efficiency. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 19.75 is slightly elevated compared to 2022's 17.97, suggesting some premium pricing. Net margin improved substantially from 7.7% to 12.88% in 2023, demonstrating strong operational execution. Recent analyst coverage maintains a Hold consensus with price targets ranging from $103 to $112, aligning closely with the current trading price of $108.12.

The stock is currently trading near its technical resistance levels, with the RSI at 49.26 indicating neutral momentum. The company's projected 3-4% organic growth for 2025 appears modest relative to its current valuation metrics, suggesting limited immediate upside potential.

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets a range of consumer household and personal care products and specialty products focused on animal and food production, chemicals, and cleaners. The Company’s segments include Consumer Domestic, Consumer International and the Specialty Products Division (SPD). Its Consumer Domestic segment includes each of its seven power brands, as well as other brands and household and personal care products. Its Consumer International segment markets a variety of personal care, household, and over-the-counter products in international subsidiary markets, including Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Mexico, and the United Kingdom. Its SPD segment focuses on sales to businesses and participates in three product areas: animal and food production, specialty chemicals and specialty cleaners. The Company’s brands include ARM & HAMMER, OXICLEAN, VITAFUSION and L’IL CRITTERS, BATISTE, WATERPIK, THERABREATH, and HERO.

Based on the available data and recent earnings call insights, I'll provide a comprehensive price prediction for CHD stock by 2030:

Technical Analysis

The current technical setup shows CHD trading in an upward channel with strong support around $104-105 level. The stock has maintained healthy momentum with RSI at 49.26, indicating room for further upside.

Fundamental Growth Drivers

According to the latest earnings call, key growth catalysts through 2030 include:

• International expansion: HERO brand launched in 40 countries with plans for 50 markets by early 2025
• Innovation pipeline: New product launches in core brands driving organic growth
• Strong cash flow generation: $1.16 billion in 2024 providing flexibility for acquisitions
• Margin expansion: Achieved 110 basis points gross margin improvement in 2024

Valuation Metrics

The current valuation metrics show:

• P/E: 44.17x
• EV/EBITDA: 19.16x
• Price/Sales: 4.23x

2030 Price Target Analysis

Based on:

1. Management's targeted 3-4% annual organic growth
2. Expected EPS growth of 7-8% annually
3. Historical valuation multiples

The 2030 price prediction for CHD stock is $165-175, representing approximately 55-65% upside from current levels. This forecast assumes:

• Continued execution of international expansion strategy
• Successful new product innovations
• Maintenance of premium valuation multiples
• No major market disruptions

The primary risks to this target include inflation pressures, competitive dynamics in key categories, and potential acquisition integration challenges.

CHD has a total of 5550 employees.