Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the technical indicators and recent market data, Burlington Stores (BURL) shows bearish signals with RSI at 19.98 indicating oversold conditions, and MACD at -12.01 suggesting downward momentum. The stock is currently trading at $234.55, below its key moving averages including the 5-day ($242.31), 10-day ($247.96), and 20-day ($265.02) SMAs.

Recent bearish options activity and heavy put volume indicate market participants are positioning defensively. However, analyst sentiment remains largely positive, with multiple firms maintaining Buy ratings and price targets well above current levels. UBS recently upgraded BURL to Strong Buy with a $360 target.

The stock has shown resilience in previous quarters despite challenges, with Q3 2024 revenue growing 11% year-over-year. However, current technical signals and market sentiment suggest potential near-term weakness.

Given the oversold conditions but negative momentum, selling BURL at current levels could lock in losses, while buying presents elevated near-term risks despite positive long-term analyst outlook. A more prudent approach would be to wait for technical indicators to show signs of reversal before establishing new positions.

Based on the provided data and analyst forecasts, here is the price prediction for Burlington Stores (BURL) in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $234.55, showing a bearish trend with RSI at 22.92 indicating oversold conditions. The stock has declined 17.71% year-to-date and is trading below both its 50-day SMA ($278.74) and 200-day SMA ($256.92).

Price Target Analysis

According to multiple analyst forecasts, BURL's price targets for 2025 are:

• Average target: $317.87 (35.7% upside)
• High target: $360.00 (53.7% upside)
• Low target: $240.00 (2.5% upside)

Key Drivers Supporting Higher Price Target

1. Revenue Growth: Expected to reach $11.86B in 2025, representing a 9.56% YoY growth

2. EPS Expansion: Projected to hit $9.63 in 2025, up 19.43% from 2024 levels

3. Strong Analyst Consensus: Out of 16 analysts, 7 rate it "Strong Buy" and 9 rate it "Buy" with no "Hold" or "Sell" ratings

Price Prediction: Based on technical indicators, fundamental growth drivers and analyst consensus, BURL is expected to reach $315-320 by end of 2025. The current oversold conditions present a potential entry point, though short-term volatility may persist.

The S1 support level for BURL Stock is $232.73 ,The R1 resistant level for BURL Stock is $251.1.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-28, the price of BURL Stock was $247.4.

The target price for BURL Stock according to analyst rating is 332.86, with the highest price target at 380.00 and the lowest at 293.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on BURL Stock overall.

The market cap of BURL is $15.4B.

Based on the current valuation metrics and financial data, BURL appears to be fairly valued with some potential concerns. The stock's forward P/E of 37.6x represents a significant improvement from 64.8x in 2023, though still above industry averages. Recent technical indicators show bearish signals with RSI at 19.98 indicating oversold conditions, while the stock is trading below both its 60-day SMA of $280.35 and 20-day SMA of $265.02. The company's improving fundamentals, including Q3 revenue growth of 11% and gross margin expansion to 43.9%, support the current valuation, but recent bearish options activity and technical weakness suggest near-term downside risks.

Burlington Stores, Inc. is a retailer of branded apparel. The Company operates approximately 927 retail stores in approximately 46 states and Puerto Rico. It sells in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women’s ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts and coats. The Company operates five distribution canters. The Company’s two east coast distribution centers are located in Edgewater Park, New Jersey and Burlington, New Jersey and three west coast distribution centers are located in San Bernardino, California, Redlands, California, and Riverside, California. It also operates warehousing facilities to support its distribution centers. The Company uses a mix of broad-based and targeted marketing strategies.

Based on the available data and market research, here's a comprehensive analysis for Burlington Stores (BURL) stock price prediction for 2030:

Price Target Analysis for 2030

Burlington Stores (BURL) is projected to reach $380-400 by 2030, driven by its aggressive store expansion strategy targeting 2,000 locations and continued strength in off-price retail segment. The company's successful execution of its merchandising improvements, enhanced store productivity, and supply chain automation initiatives are expected to deliver a 20% EPS CAGR over the next 3-5 years.

Key Growth Drivers

1. Store Expansion: Burlington is on track to add 101 net new stores through fiscal 2024, maintaining strong momentum toward its 2,000-store goal.

2. Operational Efficiency: The company has demonstrated improved inventory management and margin expansion, with gross margins reaching 43.9% in recent quarters.

3. Digital Growth: Burlington's e-commerce initiatives and omnichannel capabilities continue to strengthen, positioning it well for future retail trends.

BURL has a total of 17052 employees.