BURL Valuation

Burlington Stores Inc

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275.590

-1.72(-0.620%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

BURL Relative Valuation

BURL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BURL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 29.39 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 32.15. The fair price of Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) is between 222.22 to 339.78 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

222.22-339.78

Current Price：277.31

Fair

28.99

Trailing

Forward

18.04

EV/EBITDA

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 18.04. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 19.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 11.67, Undervalued between 11.67 and 15.33, Fairly Valued between 22.66 and 15.33, Overvalued between 22.66 and 26.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.33. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 18.04 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

26.53

EV/EBIT

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) has a current EV/EBIT of 26.53. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 27.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 17.12, Undervalued between 17.12 and 22.50, Fairly Valued between 33.25 and 22.50, Overvalued between 33.25 and 38.62, and Strongly Overvalued above 38.62. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 26.53 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.47

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) has a current PS of 1.47. The 5-year average PS is 1.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.64, Undervalued between 0.64 and 1.07, Fairly Valued between 1.94 and 1.07, Overvalued between 1.94 and 2.38, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.38. The current Forward PS of 1.47 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.62

P/OCF

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) has a current P/OCF of 11.62. The 5-year average P/OCF is 17.91. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.11, Undervalued between 4.11 and 11.01, Fairly Valued between 24.81 and 11.01, Overvalued between 24.81 and 31.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 31.71. The current Forward P/OCF of 11.62 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

22.46

P/FCF

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) has a current P/FCF of 22.46. The 5-year average P/FCF is 39.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -66.02, Undervalued between -66.02 and -13.49, Fairly Valued between 91.59 and -13.49, Overvalued between 91.59 and 144.12, and Strongly Overvalued above 144.12. The current Forward P/FCF of 22.46 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 12.80. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 14.01 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -8.67% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 21.79, the current P/B ratio is about -41.26% higher. Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -1.97%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 1.33%, the current FCF yield is approximately -247.62% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 1.43% , the current FCF yield is about -237.27% lower.

12.63

P/B

Median3y

14.01

Median5y

21.79

-1.97

FCF Yield

Median3y

1.33

Median5y

1.43

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for BURL's competitors is 1.23, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Burlington Stores Inc Corp (BURL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.47, which is 20.23% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 6.03%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

BURL.N

Burlington Stores Inc

Boot Barn Holdings Inc

Abercrombie & Fitch Co

0.83

7.50%

4.43B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of BURL increased by 2.74% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 3.32 to 4.03.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 6.03%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of BURL in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

6.03%

2.36B → 2.50B

Revenue Growth

21.39%

3.32 → 4.03

Margin Expansion

-24.68%

44.61 → 33.60

P/E Change

2.74%