Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, here's a concise assessment of TPR stock:

Technical Analysis

• Strong upward momentum with stock trading at $84.34, showing a -0.30% change in regular market trading [Relevant Data]
• Currently near Fibonacci resistance level of $89.49, with support at $79.94
• RSI-14 at 63.51 indicates moderate bullish momentum without being overbought

Recent Developments

• Tapestry announced the sale of Stuart Weitzman brand to Caleres for $105M, indicating strategic portfolio optimization
• Q2 FY2025 performance was strong with record non-GAAP EPS of $1.02 (up 10% y-o-y)
• Raised FY2025 guidance:
  • EPS forecast: $4.85-$4.90 (previously $4.50-$4.55)
  • Revenue target: $6.85B (3% y-o-y growth)

Bullish Factors

• Coach brand showing robust 10% y-o-y sales growth
• Strong customer acquisition with 2.7M new customers in North America
• Significant gross margin expansion of 280 basis points to 74.5%

Bearish Signals

• Recent insider selling activity with General Counsel selling 11,917 shares
• Heavy put volume with bearish sentiment (Put/Call Ratio: 3.64)
• Kate Spade (-10%) and Stuart Weitzman (-15%) brands showing weakness

Recommendation: SELL The stock appears overvalued at current levels with multiple technical and fundamental warning signs. While company fundamentals remain solid, the recent bearish options activity and insider selling suggest potential downside risk.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a price prediction analysis for TPR stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

Current Market Position

• Current Price: $84.34 (as of 2025-02-24)
• Trading near Fibonacci resistance level R1: $89.49
• Support level S1: $79.94

Recent Performance & Catalysts

• Strong Q2 FY25 results reported in February 2025:
  • Adjusted EPS of $2.00 vs $1.75 expected
  • Revenue grew 5% to $2.20 billion
  • Coach brand revenue up 10%

Strategic Developments

• Recent sale of Stuart Weitzman brand to Caleres for $105M
• Focused on core Coach brand growth and Kate Spade improvement
• Plans to return over $2 billion to shareholders in FY25

Price Target 2025 Based on technical indicators and fundamental catalysts:

Base Case: $90-95

• Supported by Guggenheim's recent $90 price target
• Strong earnings momentum and margin expansion
• Continued Coach brand strength

Bull Case: $97-100

• Potential upside based on Fibonacci R3 level of $97.23
• Bank of America's $95 price target
• Further operational efficiencies and market share gains

Bear Case: $76-80

• Fibonacci S2 support at $76.98
• Risk factors: consumer spending slowdown, Kate Spade underperformance

Most Likely Scenario: Base Case ($90-95) Reasoning:

• Strong earnings momentum and raised FY25 guidance
• Strategic focus on core Coach brand showing results
• Healthy cash return policy supporting stock price

The S1 support level for TPR Stock is $82.48 ,The R1 resistant level for TPR Stock is $89.83.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of TPR Stock was $87.

The target price for TPR Stock according to analyst rating is 91.28, with the highest price target at 110.00 and the lowest at 75.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on TPR Stock overall.

The market cap of TPR is $17.9B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of TPR's valuation:

Current Valuation Assessment: TPR appears overvalued at its current price of $84.34 for several key reasons:

1. The stock has more than doubled since January 2024, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 27% gain.

2. Current valuation metrics show deterioration:

• P/E ratio increased from 9.72 (2022) to 11.03 (2023)
• EV/EBITDA expanded from 6.01 (2022) to 8.0 (2023)
• P/B ratio rose from 3.25 (2022) to 4.27 (2023)

3. Technical indicators suggest overbought conditions with RSI-14 at 63.51 and stochastic RSI at 80.08.

4. Trefis analysts have set a valuation target of $75, suggesting the stock is currently trading 14% above their fair value estimate.

5. The recent Q2 results, while solid, may not justify the current premium valuation given the mixed performance across brands (Coach +10%, Kate Spade -10%, Stuart Weitzman -15%).

Tapestry, Inc. is a global house of luxury accessories and lifestyle brands. The Company's brands include Coach, Kate spade New York, and Stuart Weitzman. The Company operates through three segments: Coach, Kate Spade and Stuart Weitzman. The Coach segment includes global sales of Coach products to customers through Coach operated stores, including e-commerce sites and concession shop-in-shops, and sales to wholesale customers and through independent third-party distributors. The Kate Spade segment includes global sales primarily of kate spade new york brand products to customers through Kate Spade operated stores, including e-commerce sites and concession shop-in-shops, sales to wholesale customers, and through independent third-party distributors. The Stuart Weitzman segment includes global sales of Stuart Weitzman brand products primarily through Stuart Weitzman operated stores, sales to wholesale customers, through e-commerce sites, and through independent third-party distributors.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a price prediction analysis for TPR stock in 2030:

TPR stock is projected to reach $120-125 by 2030, driven by three key factors: strong Coach brand performance, successful digital transformation, and expanding market share in China's luxury market. The company's recent Q2 FY25 results show robust growth with Coach brand sales up 10% year-over-year and significant margin expansion to 74.5%, demonstrating strong execution of its premium positioning strategy.

The stock has already shown impressive momentum, more than doubling since January 2024 and outpacing the S&P 500's 27% gain. With projected EPS growth to $4.85-$4.90 for fiscal 2025 and continued expansion in China's luxury market (expected to reach $178 billion by 2025), TPR is well-positioned for sustained growth through 2030.

TPR has a total of 12600 employees.