Based on the recent data and analysis, here's a direct assessment of BWA stock:
Technical Analysis
BWA is currently showing bearish momentum with the stock trading at $30.22, significantly below its 200-day moving average of $33.38. The RSI-14 at 42.41 indicates neutral to slightly oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a negative trend with -0.77.
Recent Performance & Valuation
The stock has significantly underperformed the broader market, gaining only 6.9% compared to the S&P 500's 22.6% over the past 52 weeks. The current price represents a compelling entry point with analysts projecting a mean price target of $39.71, suggesting a 27.4% upside potential.
Fundamental Outlook
Q4 2024 Results:
- Revenue: $3.44 billion (-2.4% YoY)
- Adjusted operating margin: 10.2%
- Strong free cash flow: $539 million
2025 Guidance:
- Sales forecast: $13.4-14.0 billion
- Adjusted EPS: $4.05-4.40
- Operating margin: 10.0-10.2%
Analyst Consensus
Among 15 analysts covering BWA, the consensus is "Moderate Buy" with:
- 9 Strong Buys
- 1 Moderate Buy
- 5 Holds
Sell Recommendation
Despite positive analyst ratings, selling BWA is recommended at current levels due to:
- Declining industry volumes expected in key markets
- Delayed BEV adoption impacting growth projections
- Potential tariff pressures on margins
- Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
- Below-average market performance trend