Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market context, here's my analysis for MT stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing a bullish momentum with key technical indicators:

• RSI-14 at 68.39 indicates strong momentum but not yet overbought
• MACD is positive with bullish divergence (MACD: 1.31, Signal: 0.95)
• Price is trading above all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day SMAs)
• Currently trading at $28.57, near its recent resistance level

Fundamental Factors

• ArcelorMittal is currently trading at a potential 29% discount to its fair value according to recent analyst valuations
• Citi maintains a Buy rating with a price target of €40.00, showing strong institutional confidence
• The company faces potential impact from Trump's reciprocal tariffs announcement, which could affect steel industry dynamics

Market Sentiment

• Recent analyst actions are mixed - while Citi maintains Buy, Morgan Stanley downgraded to Hold
• Insider sentiment has turned negative with increased selling activity
• The stock is showing relative strength compared to broader market indices

Recommendation

Based on the technical strength, attractive valuation, and considering the potential industry headwinds:

HOLD position if already owned. While the stock shows bullish momentum and appears undervalued, the steel sector faces near-term uncertainty due to potential trade policy changes. The current price level near resistance suggests waiting for a clearer breakout or pullback before adding new positions.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is my price prediction for ArcelorMittal (MT) stock in 2025:

MT stock is expected to reach $32 by the end of 2025, driven by improving steel market fundamentals and the company's strong operational execution. The steel sector is projected to see demand recovery in Q2 2025, while MT's focus on cost optimization and high-margin segments supports margin expansion.

The company's healthy balance sheet with relatively low debt-to-equity of 22.55% and improving profitability metrics indicate potential for 35-40% upside from current levels around $23.50. Technical analysis shows the stock is trading above key moving averages with strong momentum.

The key catalysts supporting this target include:

1. Expected steel demand recovery in Q2-Q3 2025 as interest rates decline
2. Margin expansion from cost optimization initiatives
3. Strong balance sheet enabling strategic growth investments
4. Attractive valuation at 0.38x P/B ratio compared to industry average

The main risks to watch are:

1. Prolonged weakness in construction markets
2. Rising input costs impacting margins
3. Global economic slowdown affecting steel demand

Based on the analysis of market trends, company fundamentals and technical indicators, MT stock appears positioned for meaningful upside in 2025 as industry conditions improve and the company executes on its strategic initiatives.

The S1 support level for MT Stock is $27.56 ,The R1 resistant level for MT Stock is $29.1.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of MT Stock was $27.8.

The target price for MT Stock according to analyst rating is 30.90, with the highest price target at 33.00 and the lowest at 28.50. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on MT Stock overall.

The market cap of MT is $23.7B.

Based on the provided data, here's a concise analysis of MT's valuation:

ArcelorMittal (MT) appears to be undervalued at current price levels. The stock's P/E ratio increased significantly from 2.58 in 2022 to 26.1 in 2023, primarily due to lower earnings, while EV/EBITDA doubled from 1.87 to 3.77, still remaining below industry averages.

Recent DCF analysis suggests MT is trading at a 29% discount to its intrinsic value, with analysts setting a price target of $30.23, indicating upside potential from current levels.

The company maintains strong fundamentals with a healthy current ratio of 1.53 and manageable debt-to-equity of 19.05%, while trading at attractive price-to-book (0.43) and price-to-sales (0.35) ratios.

Net income declined substantially from $9.3B in 2022 to $919M in 2023, but this appears cyclical rather than structural, as the company maintains solid operational efficiency and market position.

Technical indicators show bullish momentum with RSI at 68.39 and positive MACD, suggesting potential near-term upside.

ArcelorMittal SA is a Luxembourg-based holding company. The Company, via its subsidiaries, owns and operates steel, iron ore manufacturing and coal mining facilities in Europe, North and South America, Asia, and Africa. The Company is organized in five operating segments: NAFTA; Brazil; Europe; Africa and Commonwealth of Independent States (ACIS), and Mining. The NAFTA, Brazil, Europe, and ACIS segments produce flat, long, and tubular products including slabs, hot-rolled coil, cold-rolled coil, coated steel products, among others. The Mining segment provides steel operations and comprises all mines owned by the Company in the Americas, Europe, Africa, and countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).

Based on the provided data and market context, I'll analyze MT's price prediction for 2030 in three concise sentences:

ArcelorMittal (MT) stock is projected to reach $35-38 by 2030, representing a 22-33% upside from current levels, driven by the company's strong market position in steel production and expected growth in infrastructure spending. The implementation of Trump's reciprocal tariffs policy could provide additional tailwinds for domestic steel producers like MT, potentially supporting higher steel prices and profit margins. However, this projection assumes successful navigation of potential trade tensions and maintaining operational efficiency, with technical indicators showing a bullish long-term trend as the stock trades above its 200-day moving average of $24.18.

MT has a total of 126756 employees.