Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of ArcelorMittal SA(MT) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of ArcelorMittal SA earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-11-06 | Pre-Market | 0.58 | 0.62 | +6.90 | 15.47B | 15.66B | +1.23 | +1.18 | +6.73 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-07-31 | Pre-Market | 1.33 | 1.32 | -0.75 | 15.57B | 15.93B | +2.27 | -2.56 | -4.37 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-02-06 | Pre-Market | 0.41 | 0.52 | +26.83 | 15.15B | 14.71B | -2.86 | +11.19 | +13.89 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-08-01 | - | 1.12 | 0.63 | -43.75 | 16.35B | 16.25B | -0.63 | -6.30 | -5.95 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-05-02 | - | 0.93 | 1.16 | +24.73 | 16.48B | 16.28B | -1.18 | +3.99 | +1.24 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-02-08 | - | -2.08 | 1.18 | +156.73 | 15.52B | 14.55B | -6.26 | +4.52 | -1.09 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-11-09 | - | 1.03 | 1.10 | +6.80 | 16.71B | 16.62B | -0.53 | -2.82 | +4.17 |
| FY2023Q2 | 2023-07-27 | - | 1.81 | 2.20 | +21.55 | 18.61B | 18.61B | -0.02 | -2.67 | -2.21 |
| - | 2023-05-04 | - | 0.83 | 1.27 | +53.01 | - | - | - | -5.80 | -4.06 |
| - | 2023-02-09 | - | 0.33 | 1.37 | +315.15 | - | - | - | +0.41 | +5.68 |
MT Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, ArcelorMittal SA reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of 0.62, compared to analyst estimates of 0.58 by 6.90% . Revenue for the quarter reached 15.66B compared to expectations of 15.47B by 1.23% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.18% one-day change and a 6.73% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in ArcelorMittal SA growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
MT Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, ArcelorMittal SA(MT) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 15.60B and an EPS of 0.68.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.11%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -1.22%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -2.95% . These revisions correlate with a 24.58% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in ArcelorMittal SA long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between MT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+0.11%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-1.22%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-2.95%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+24.58%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:62.03B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.75
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Stock Price42.63
MT Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
ArcelorMittal SA revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.62 (Actual) vs.0.58 (Estimate) (6.90%)
Revenue: 15.66B (Actual) vs. 15.47B (Estimate) (1.23%)
Price Reaction: 1.18%(1-Day), 6.73%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-31,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.32 (Actual) vs.1.33 (Estimate) (-0.75%)
Revenue: 15.93B (Actual) vs. 15.57B (Estimate) (2.27%)
Price Reaction: -2.56%(1-Day), -4.37%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.52 (Actual) vs.0.41 (Estimate) (26.83%)
Revenue: 14.71B (Actual) vs. 15.15B (Estimate) (-2.86%)
Price Reaction: 11.19%(1-Day), 13.89%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MT sees a +1.32% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.83% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.11%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 3.43% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 4.23% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
ArcelorMittal SA (MT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-08
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. Financial performance is stable, but guidance is weak with potential risks in Europe and Mexico. The Q&A reveals management's confidence in working capital release and strategic investments, yet uncertainties remain with European measures and CO2 costs. Without clear guidance and given the lack of market cap data, the overall sentiment leans towards neutral, as positives are counterbalanced by operational and geopolitical risks.
ArcelorMittal SA (MT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance, including doubled EBITDA per ton and significant free cash flow. Positive developments in strategic projects and a robust share buyback program further support a positive outlook. The Q&A session highlighted stable demand and price expectations, despite some uncertainties around tariffs and energy costs. The company's proactive approach to safety, decarbonization, and strategic investments adds to the positive sentiment. Overall, the strong operational performance and shareholder returns suggest a likely stock price increase in the coming weeks.
ArcelorMittal SA (MT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-07
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and shareholder returns, with a 16% dividend growth rate and significant share buybacks. Despite some delays in project contributions and unclear management responses, the overall sentiment remains positive due to expected future EBITDA growth, stable margins, and a focus on decarbonization and capital returns. The Q&A reveals confidence in market stability and strategic direction, particularly in India, further supporting a positive outlook for stock price movement.
ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-07
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with favorable EBITDA margins, significant shareholder returns, and strategic growth investments. Despite some uncertainties in the Q&A, such as unclear responses regarding Nippon and Monlevade, the overall sentiment remains positive due to robust financial metrics and optimistic guidance. The company's commitment to shareholder value through buybacks and dividends further supports a positive outlook. The potential for increased production in Ukraine and ongoing strategic investments also contribute to this sentiment.
ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-01
The company shows resilience with stable EBITDA and positive cash flow despite challenges. The commitment to returning capital through significant buybacks and dividends is a strong positive. Although there are concerns about regulatory risks and market competition, optimistic guidance for strategic projects and shareholder returns outweigh these. The Q&A highlights cautious optimism, with management expecting improvements in Ukraine and strategic benefits in 2025. The continuation of buybacks and positive outlook in certain regions contribute to a positive sentiment, likely resulting in a stock price increase over the next two weeks.
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FAQ
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