MT Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how MT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MT sees a -1.10% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.02% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.73%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
MT Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
14.71B
1.11%
-3.17%
Gross Margin
--
--
--
Operating Margin
5.10%
137.47%
0.20%
Net Margin
-2.75%
-86.60%
-239.59%
EPS
-0.51
-85.79%
-237.84%
No Data Available
MT Earnings Analysis
ArcelorMittal SA Corporation (MT.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Investable Cash Flow Resilience: $2 billion of investable cash flow generation in 2024, demonstrating resilience in challenging market conditions.
Strategic Projects EBITDA Impact: Expected structural EBITDA impact from strategic projects is $1.9 billion, with $400 million to be captured in 2025 and $600 million in 2026.
Project Performance and EBITDA Growth: Recent projects, including the Vega coal mill complex and the new hot strip mill, are performing well and delivering new incremental EBITDA as anticipated.
Dividend Growth Rate: Dividends have grown at a compound rate of 16% over the past four years, reflecting confidence in the company's outlook.
Share Buyback Impact: Share buybacks have reduced the share count by 37% over the last four years, showcasing a strong commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Negative
Earnings Per Share Shortfall: ArcelorMittal reported an EPS of $0.52, missing expectations of $0.61, indicating a shortfall of 14.8%.
Market Challenges Impact Performance: The company faced headwinds in the market cycle, which negatively impacted overall performance despite generating $2 billion in investable cash flow.
EBITDA Impact Assessment: The expected structural EBITDA impact from strategic projects is $1.9 billion, but this is lower than previous projections, indicating potential underperformance in growth initiatives.
Dividend Growth vs. Earnings Concerns: Despite a 16% compound growth in dividends over four years, the overall financial results suggest a lack of robust earnings growth, raising concerns about sustainability.
Share Count Reduction: The company reduced its share count by 37% over the last four years, which, while positive for shareholders, may indicate a lack of organic growth opportunities.
MT FAQs
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MT Earning Call Sentiment
ArcelorMittal S.A. (NYSE:MT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
MT.N
-0.71%Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and shareholder returns, with a 16% dividend growth rate and significant share buybacks. Despite some delays in project contributions and unclear management responses, the overall sentiment remains positive due to expected future EBITDA growth, stable margins, and a focus on decarbonization and capital returns. The Q&A reveals confidence in market stability and strategic direction, particularly in India, further supporting a positive outlook for stock price movement.
