AER Valuation

AerCap Holdings NV

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119.440

+1.4(1.186%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AER Relative Valuation

AER's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AER is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

AerCap Holdings NV (AER) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 8.82 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 7.45. The fair price of AerCap Holdings NV (AER) is between 137.54 to 171.68 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 118.04 USD , AerCap Holdings NV is Undervalued By 14.18%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

137.54-171.68

Current Price：118.04

14.18%

Undervalued

8.86

Trailing

Forward

8.85

EV/EBITDA

AerCap Holdings NV. (AER) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.85. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 8.94. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.71, Undervalued between 6.71 and 7.83, Fairly Valued between 10.05 and 7.83, Overvalued between 10.05 and 11.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.17. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.85 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

14.04

EV/EBIT

AerCap Holdings NV. (AER) has a current EV/EBIT of 14.04. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 14.91. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 10.27, Undervalued between 10.27 and 12.59, Fairly Valued between 17.22 and 12.59, Overvalued between 17.22 and 19.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.54. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 14.04 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.56

AerCap Holdings NV. (AER) has a current PS of 2.56. The 5-year average PS is 1.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.90, Undervalued between 0.90 and 1.35, Fairly Valued between 2.26 and 1.35, Overvalued between 2.26 and 2.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.71. The current Forward PS of 2.56 falls within the Overvalued range.

3.89

P/OCF

AerCap Holdings NV. (AER) has a current P/OCF of 3.89. The 5-year average P/OCF is 2.71. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.26, Undervalued between 1.26 and 1.98, Fairly Valued between 3.44 and 1.98, Overvalued between 3.44 and 4.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.17. The current Forward P/OCF of 3.89 falls within the Overvalued range.

14.45

P/FCF

AerCap Holdings NV. (AER) has a current P/FCF of 14.45. The 5-year average P/FCF is 9.49. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -69.78, Undervalued between -69.78 and -30.15, Fairly Valued between 49.12 and -30.15, Overvalued between 49.12 and 88.76, and Strongly Overvalued above 88.76. The current Forward P/FCF of 14.45 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

AerCap Holdings NV (AER) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.96 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 19.35% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.86, the current P/B ratio is about 32.75% higher. AerCap Holdings NV (AER) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -5.03%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -0.72%, the current FCF yield is approximately 600.20% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.48% , the current FCF yield is about -212.23% lower.

1.15

P/B

Median3y

0.96

Median5y

0.86

-4.93

FCF Yield

Median3y

-0.72

Median5y

4.48

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AER's competitors is 4.51, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. AerCap Holdings NV Corp (AER) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.56, which is -43.27% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 0.05%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

SoFi Technologies Inc

7.40

44.10%

29.69B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AER increased by 22.93% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 24.51 to 68.82.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 0.05%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AER in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

0.05%

1.83B → 1.83B

Revenue Growth

180.78%

24.51 → 68.82

Margin Expansion

-157.90%

-12.84 → 7.43

P/E Change

22.93%