Should You Buy AerCap Holdings NV (AER) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy now for a long-term beginner investor. The setup is attractive primarily because fundamentals and Wall Street sentiment are strongly positive (multiple price-target raises up to $162 and several Buy/Overweight ratings) and the latest quarter (2025/Q3) showed strong growth (revenue +7% YoY; EPS +258% YoY). Near-term technicals are neutral-to-slightly soft and options flow shows a short-term caution signal (heavy put volume), but for a long-term investor who doesn’t want to wait for a perfect entry, AER is a good buy at the current pre-market level (~143.86).
Technical Analysis
Price is trading near the pivot (143.562), essentially in the middle of the short-term range. RSI(6) ~49.7 is neutral (no momentum edge). MACD histogram is negative (-0.408) but contracting, which often indicates downside momentum is fading rather than accelerating. Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation rather than a strong trend. Key levels: support S1 ~141.817 (then S2 ~140.738); resistance R1 ~145.308 (then R2 ~146.387). Near-term pattern-based odds lean modestly negative over 1 week (-1.46%) and 1 month (-4.3%), so the chart is not a “breakout” setup today—more of a fundamentals-driven long-term entry.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend is clearly improving: multiple firms raised price targets from Oct 2025 through Jan 2026 (e.g., Barclays to $162 from $144; several moves to ~$150; Susquehanna to $157; Truist initiated Buy at $159). Ratings skew positive (Buy/Overweight/Positive) with one notable more-neutral view (Morgan Stanley Equal Weight) citing valuation balance despite strong fundamentals. Wall Street pros: durable leasing environment, constrained aircraft supply, strong capital deployment/shareholder value focus. Wall Street cons: valuation debate after the run and sensitivity to macro/credit/aircraft market cycles. Politician/influential trading: no recent congress trading data available; no notable politician activity indicated in the provided data.
Wall Street analysts forecast AER stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AER is 153.71 USD with a low forecast of 141 USD and a high forecast of 162 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast AER stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AER is 153.71 USD with a low forecast of 141 USD and a high forecast of 162 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 142.640
Current: 142.640
