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AER Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy AerCap Holdings NV (AER) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
145.060
1 Day change
0.65%
52 Week Range
154.940
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/18
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

AerCap Holdings NV is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this moment. While the stock has shown positive technical indicators and strong analyst ratings, the lack of recent AI or SwingMax trading signals, cautious sentiment from Congress trading data, and neutral insider/hedge fund activity suggest a hold position. Additionally, the options data indicates bearish sentiment in the short term, and no recent news provides a clear catalyst for immediate growth.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for AER are bullish. The MACD is positively expanding above 0, the RSI is neutral at 74.747, and the moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) confirm a bullish trend. The stock is trading near its resistance level of 145.161, suggesting limited immediate upside potential.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data shows a bearish sentiment with a high put-call volume ratio of 4.8, indicating more put activity than calls. Implied volatility is moderate at 28.51, with an IV percentile of 65.08, suggesting the stock is trading at a relatively high volatility compared to its historical range.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • The company's Q1 earnings beat expectations, driven by higher gain on sale and resilient aircraft leasing performance.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Congress trading data shows 4 recent sale transactions with no purchases, indicating cautious sentiment. Additionally, the options market reflects bearish sentiment, and there are no recent news or event-driven catalysts to support immediate growth.

Financial Performance

Financial data is unavailable for analysis. However, analysts have highlighted strong Q1 performance, including broad-based beats and raised EPS guidance to $14.50 for 2026.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on AER, with multiple firms raising price targets and maintaining Buy or Overweight ratings. The consensus price target range is $155 to $175, reflecting optimism about the company's growth prospects.

Wall Street analysts forecast AER stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AER stock price to rise
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 144.120
sliders
Low
150
Averages
161
High
175
Current: 144.120
sliders
Low
150
Averages
161
High
175
Morgan Stanley
Kristine Liwag
Equal Weight
downgrade
$160 -> $155
AI Analysis
2026-04-30
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Kristine Liwag
Price Target
$160 -> $155
AI Analysis
2026-04-30
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Kristine Liwag lowered the firm's price target on AerCap to $155 from $160 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q1 results and management commentary.
JPMorgan
Jamie Baker
maintain
$150 -> $155
2026-04-30
Reason
JPMorgan
Jamie Baker
Price Target
$150 -> $155
2026-04-30
maintain
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker raised the firm's price target on AerCap to $155 from $150 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
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