Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, here's a concise assessment of SWK stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $88.02, showing a modest gain of +0.33% in the regular session and +1.06% in after-hours trading on February 14, 2025 [Relevant Data]. The stock has demonstrated positive momentum in 2025, gaining 6.8% YTD, outperforming the S&P 500's 3.1% rise.

Fundamental Analysis

Recent Q4 earnings showed:

• EPS of $1.49 vs expected $1.28
• Revenue of $3.7B vs expected $3.6B

Analyst Consensus

Current analyst sentiment shows:

• 5 Strong Buy
• 8 Hold
• 2 Strong Sell
• Mean price target: $99.18 (15.6% upside potential)
• Street-high target: $121 (41.1% upside potential)

Sell Recommendation Despite positive recent earnings and analyst targets, several factors suggest taking profits:

1. Recent insider selling activity - SVP Janet Link sold 1,990 shares (16.8% of holdings) on February 7, 2025
2. High debt-to-equity ratio compared to industry average
3. Technical indicators suggesting potential resistance levels ahead

Based on the provided data and recent market information, here's a concise price prediction for SWK stock in 2025:

Current Market Position: SWK is trading at $88.02 with a YTD gain of 6.8%, outperforming the S&P 500's 3.1% rise.

Price Target Analysis:

• Mean analyst price target: $99.18 (15.6% upside potential)
• Street-high target: $121 (41.1% upside potential)
• Consensus rating: "Hold" based on 15 analysts

2025 Growth Catalysts: The company expects adjusted EPS of $5.25 (+/- $0.50) for 2025, driven by organic growth and supply chain improvements. Management is targeting 35%+ adjusted gross margin while focusing on cost structure improvements that are within their control.

Based on technical analysis, fundamental outlook, and analyst consensus, SWK stock is expected to reach $95-100 by end of 2025, supported by improving operational efficiency and modest market share gains.

The S1 support level for SWK Stock is $84.96 ,The R1 resistant level for SWK Stock is $89.88.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of SWK Stock was $87.95.

The target price for SWK Stock according to analyst rating is 101.75, with the highest price target at 120.00 and the lowest at 90.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on SWK Stock overall.

The market cap of SWK is $13.6B.

Based on the provided data and recent market information, I'll analyze whether SWK is overvalued:

Technical Analysis

Valuation Assessment

• Current P/E ratio is negative at -69.97, indicating recent profitability challenges
• Forward P/E based on FY25 guidance of $5.25 EPS is approximately 16.8x at current price levels
• EV/EBITDA of 18.31x shows relatively high valuation compared to historical levels

Recent Performance & Fundamentals

• Q4 2024 results showed improvement with adjusted EPS of $1.49 beating estimates of $1.27
• Revenue remained flat at $3.7B with 3% organic growth
• Gross margin expanded 120 basis points to 30.8%
• Company targeting 35%+ adjusted gross margins

Growth & Risks

• Expected EPS growth of 18.4% for FY25
• Facing headwinds from new China tariffs with potential $90-100M annual impact
• Implementing cost reduction programs with $1.5B in savings since mid-2022

Conclusion Based on improving fundamentals, ongoing cost savings, and forward valuation metrics, SWK appears fairly valued at current levels. The forward P/E of 16.8x is reasonable given the expected earnings growth, though tariff risks create near-term uncertainty.

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. is a provider of hand tools, power tools, outdoor products, and related accessories. The Company also provides engineered fastening solutions. Its solutions include Tools & Outdoor and Industrial. The Tools & Outdoor segment is comprised of the power tools group (PTG), hand tools, accessories, and storage (HTAS), and outdoor power equipment (Outdoor) product lines. Its PTG product line includes both professional and consumer products. The HTAS product line sells hand tools, power tool accessories and storage products. The Industrial segment is comprised of the Engineered Fastening business. The Engineered Fastening business primarily sells engineered components such as fasteners, fittings, and various engineered products, which are designed for specific application across multiple verticals. The product lines include externally threaded fasteners, blind rivets and tools, blind inserts, and tools, and drawn arc weld studs and systems.

Based on the provided data and recent news, here's a price prediction analysis for SWK stock by 2030:

Price Target Analysis for 2030

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) is projected to reach $120-125 by 2030, driven by margin expansion initiatives and supply chain improvements. The company's successful Global Cost Reduction Program generating $1.5 billion in savings since mid-2022 and targeted 35%+ adjusted gross margins support this growth trajectory.

Key Growth Drivers

The company's EPS is expected to grow 18.4% to $5.16 in 2025, with continued margin expansion and operational efficiency improvements positioning SWK for sustained long-term growth through 2030. The mean analyst price target of $99.18 represents a near-term upside of 15.6%, indicating positive momentum.

Conclusion

SWK stock is expected to reach $120-125 by 2030, supported by operational improvements, margin expansion initiatives, and strategic cost reduction programs. This represents approximately 37-42% upside from current levels over the next 5 years.

SWK has a total of 50500 employees.