VLO

Valero Energy Corp

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141.970

+1.63(1.161%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

143.285

Open

141.880

VWAP

Vol

2.79M

Mkt Cap

44.10B

Low

140.080

Amount

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

10.68

Total Shares

310.65M

53.08B

EV/OCF(TTM)

12.48

P/S(TTM)

0.36

Valero Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products. The Company sells its products primarily in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland and Latin America. Its segments include Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The Refining segment includes the operations of its petroleum refineries, the associated activities to market its refined petroleum products, and the logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Renewable Diesel segment represents the operations of Diamond Green Diesel (DGD), and the associated activities to market renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat SAF. The Ethanol segment includes the operations of its ethanol plants and the associated activities to market its ethanol and co-products. It owns 15 petroleum refineries located in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

29.80B

-1.51%

1.598

+79.58%

27.56B

-10.39%

1.481

+131.37%

28.40B

-13.61%

2.961

+159.74%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.39% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 23.72%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+0.39%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.42%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+23.72%

In Past 3 Month

15 Analyst Rating

7.52% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast VLO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VLO is 152.64 USD with a low forecast of 118.00 USD and a high forecast of 172.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

12 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

7.52% Upside

Current: 141.970

Low

118.00

Averages

152.64

High

172.00

7.52% Upside

Current: 141.970

Low

118.00

Averages

152.64

High

172.00

Piper Sandler

Ryan Todd

Overweight

maintain

$160 -> $159

2025-07-22

Reason

Piper Sandler

Ryan Todd

Price Target

$160 -> $159

2025-07-22

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Piper Sandler analyst Ryan Todd lowered the firm's price target on Valero to $159 from $160 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares ahead of the Q2 report. The firm sees potential for a modest pullback in the independent refiner group given the recent rally in the sector. However, positive earnings revisions in the back of half of the year, distillate strength and tightening global product supply/demand balances in 2026 and 2027 "will provide some amount of support," the analyst tells investors in a research note.

TD Cowen

Buy

Hold

downgrade

$118 -> $140

2025-07-22

Reason

TD Cowen

Price Target

$118 -> $140

2025-07-22

downgrade

Buy

Hold

Reason

TD Cowen downgraded Valero to Hold from Buy with a price target of $140, up from $118.

TD Cowen

Buy

Hold

downgrade

$118 -> $140

2025-07-22

Reason

TD Cowen

Price Target

$118 -> $140

2025-07-22

downgrade

Buy

Hold

Reason

TD Cowen downgraded Valero to Hold from Buy with a price target of $140, up from $118. The firm cites valuation for the downgrade following the recent rally in the shares. There is potential downside from current levels with bullishness reflected in the stock and the company's limited underlying earnings growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Citi

Vikram Bagri

Buy -> Neutral

downgrade

$134 -> $150

2025-07-16

Reason

Citi

Vikram Bagri

Price Target

$134 -> $150

2025-07-16

downgrade

Buy -> Neutral

Reason

Citi analyst Vikram Bagri downgraded Valero to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $150, up from $134. The firm says that while cracks are likely stable in the near term and Q3 outlooks for the refiners should be positive, there is downside risks to cracks in the medium term. As such, it sees a more balanced risk/reward for Valero shares at current levels heading into the Q2 report.

Morgan Stanley

NULL -> Overweight

maintain

$145 -> $160

2025-07-16

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$145 -> $160

2025-07-16

maintain

NULL -> Overweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Valero to $160 from $145 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.

Raymond James

NULL -> Strong Buy

upgrade

$155 -> $172

2025-07-15

Reason

Raymond James

Price Target

$155 -> $172

2025-07-15

upgrade

NULL -> Strong Buy

Reason

Raymond James raised the firm's price target on Valero to $172 from $155 and keeps a Strong Buy rating on the shares. Valero is one of the firm's favorite ways to play higher refining margins in the outer years, with the added benefit of a material head start in key renewable themes, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Valero Energy Corp (VLO.N) is 14.86, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 9.29. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Valero Energy Corp 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

9.29

Current PE

14.86

Overvalued PE

25.49

Undervalued PE

-6.91

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

6.99

Current EV/EBITDA

7.33

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

10.06

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

3.91

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Overvalued

5Y Average PS

0.31

Current PS

0.38

Overvalued PS

0.37

Undervalued PS

0.26