Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that VLO stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $173.31, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $176.19. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $183.07. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $100.76, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $100.59. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. VLO has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
VLO stock price ended at $174.95 on Thursday, after losing-1.19%
The Valero Energy Corp stock price decreased by -1.19% on the last trading day (04 Dec 2025), dropping from 177.38 to 174.95. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.61% , ranging from a day low of $171.65 to a day high of 177.84. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -2.98% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 120.23K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.26M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 570.37M.
VLO Technical Signals
VLO(Valero Energy Corp Corp) has 2 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-11-24. The total price change during this trend is +0.33%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of VLO over the last 5 trading days is 466.84M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
VLO Moving Average Analysis
Valero Energy Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, December 5, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $184.57, and $190.09. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $166.72, and $161.21. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
VLO Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Valero Energy Corp(VLO) as of 02 Dec 2025 is 24.07%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 180.54 to 178.53. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
4.183
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
1.828
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Valero Energy Corp (VLO) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $83.86 and $155.67.
Valero Energy Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -12.56%
In Jan 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $118.67. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $90.10 and a high of $119.12.
Feb 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.41%
In Feb 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $122.95. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $120.76 and a high of $148.90.
Mar 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -16.06%
In Mar 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $113.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $108.84 and a high of $129.90.
Apr 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -2.65%
In Apr 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $132.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $105.97 and a high of $144.70.
May 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -7.34%
In May 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $125.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $105.42 and a high of $144.60.
Jun 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -27.72%
In Jun 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $98.10. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $90.69 and a high of $114.37.
Jul 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -1.21%
In Jul 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $134.08. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $132.74 and a high of $145.14.
Aug 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.83%
In Aug 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $115.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $98.83 and a high of $117.81.
Sep 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -27.72%
In Sep 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $98.10. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $83.86 and a high of $124.83.
Oct 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -1.51%
In Oct 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $133.68. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $127.39 and a high of $155.67.
Nov 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -5.58%
In Nov 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $128.15. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $120.00 and a high of $128.18.
Dec 2026: VLO Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -25.76%
In Dec 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $100.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $84.55 and a high of $119.71.
VLO Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Valero Energy Corp(VLO), our algorithm predicts VLO's 1-month price at $161.28, with an -8.76%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.26%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Valero Energy Corp (VLO.N) stock, as of Sunday, November 30, 2025 , forecasts a -8.76% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with KBH.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.26%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
VLO
No Data
KBH
Down: -8.76%Similarity: 94.26%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
KBH.N
94.26%
-8.76%
SSL.N
93.88%
-5.54%
LOMA.N
93.82%
+4.73%
FLR.N
93.66%
-1.32%
STRT.O
93.30%
+14.64%
DK.N
93.17%
-2.64%
BLFS.O
93.07%
+12.13%
OSIS.O
92.99%
-6.25%
LPL.N
92.96%
-4.83%
BZH.N
92.93%
-14.69%
VLO Seasonality Analysis
Based on VLO's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is42.86%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in VLO. In contrast,Marchoffers the highest probability of positive returns at69.23%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Valero Energy Corp (VLO.N) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (69.23%), while December has the lowest probability (42.86%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Valero Energy Corp. (VLO)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Valero Energy Corp (VLO.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. VLO has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Valero Energy Corp (VLO.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Valero Energy Corp (VLO.N) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (69.23%), while December has the lowest probability (42.86%).
How has Valero Energy Corp. (VLO)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
VLO's stock price rose by 8.30% in 2023,decreased by -6.94% in 2024, and went up by 43.22%in 2025.
Is VLO a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
VLO has 2 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for VLO is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of VLO.
What is the trend of Valero Energy Corp (VLO)'s moving average?
Valero Energy Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of December 05 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for VLO stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Valero Energy Corp (VLO.N) stock, as of November 30 2025, forecasts a -8.76% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with KBH stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.26%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $100.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $84.55 and a high of $119.71.
What is price prediction 2030 for Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Valero Energy Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $100.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $92.50 and a high of $106.86.