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VLO Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
267.760
1 Day change
-0.62%
52 Week Range
274.920
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) does not present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner investor with a long-term focus at this moment. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and there are no significant positive catalysts or trading signals to support an immediate purchase. Analysts' ratings are mixed, with some seeing the stock as overvalued. Given the lack of strong signals and the investor's preference for long-term stability, holding off on purchasing this stock is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is -2.442, below 0, and negatively expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 23.667, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory but not yet signaling a reversal. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support is at 237.204, which the stock is close to breaking, while resistance is at 249.214.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts like Morgan Stanley and Mizuho have raised price targets, citing elevated refining margins and tight product inventories. Elevated commodity prices and refining cracks create potential for long-term gains.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Freedom Broker and Wolfe Research have expressed concerns about overvaluation and downside risks if refining margins normalize. The MACD and RSI indicate bearish momentum, and the stock has been declining in recent trading sessions. No significant hedge fund or insider trading activity is noted.

Financial Performance

No financial data available for the latest quarter. Unable to assess growth trends or profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. Some analysts, like Mizuho and Morgan Stanley, have increased price targets, citing strong refining margins and elevated commodity prices. However, others, like Freedom Broker and Wolfe Research, highlight risks of overvaluation and potential downside if margins normalize.

Wall Street analysts forecast VLO stock price to fall
17 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VLO stock price to fall
11 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 269.440
sliders
Low
149
Averages
186.56
High
223
Current: 269.440
sliders
Low
149
Averages
186.56
High
223
Jefferies
Lloyd Byrne
Buy
maintain
$284 -> $312
AI Analysis
2026-07-02
New
Reason
Jefferies
Lloyd Byrne
Price Target
$284 -> $312
AI Analysis
2026-07-02
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Jefferies analyst Lloyd Byrne raised the firm's price target on Valero to $312 from $284 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of a Q2 earnings preview. The firm expects the company to report adjusted earnings per share of $10.45, 4% above consensus. While capture faces headwinds from backwardation and paper versus physical crude pricing, it will remain "largely constructive," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Jefferies believes the macro environment supported record share buybacks of $2.4B during Valero's Q2.
Barclays
NULL
to
Overweight
maintain
$261 -> $279
2026-07-01
New
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$261 -> $279
2026-07-01
New
maintain
NULL
to
Overweight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on Valero to $279 from $261 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says the U.S. refining backdrop remains supported by global outages and lean product inventories.
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