Quarterly Results
VLO
FY2025Q3
06:30:00
Pre-Market
Revenue
$32.17B
+9.99%
EPS
-$3.66
+24.07%
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Attend WebcastVLO
FY2025Q2
Pre-Market
Revenue
$29.89B
+10.10%
EPS
$1.73(est)
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ReportAttend WebcastVLO
FY2025Q1
06:30:00
Pre-Market
Revenue
$30.26B
+6.32%
EPS
-$0.89
+111.90%
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Attend WebcastVLO Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, VLO remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 28.20B and an EPS of 3.13.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.92%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 16.39%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 3.72% . These revisions correlate with a 18.09% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in VLO long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+2.92%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+16.39%
In Past 3 Month
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Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
+3.72%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+18.09%
In Past 3 Month
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
Revenue
EPS
1Y
3Y
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how VLO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VLO sees a +0.15% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.41% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.42%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -1.20% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 1.66% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of VLO's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
VLO reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-23, showcasing a revenue of 32.17B against an estimate of 29.25B, resulting in a 9.99% surprise. The EPS was 3.66, surpassing the expected 2.95 by 24.07% . The stock experienced a 6.96% price change on the earnings day and a 4.61% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did VLO's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following VLO's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-23, the stock price moved by 6.96% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 4.61% change. Historically, VLO's stock price tends to shift by an average of +0.15% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.41% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for VLO for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate VLO’s annual revenue to reach 28.20B, while the EPS is projected at 3.13. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.92% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 3.72% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does VLO's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between VLO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 2.92%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 3.72% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from VLO's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, VLO's stock price typically moves by +0.15% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.41% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 3.13 and revenue of 28.20B.
What is the sentiment in Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call summary reflects a balanced sentiment. While there are positive elements such as the return to positive EBITDA for DGD margins and strong export demand, challenges like policy changes in 2026 and weak secondary products present headwinds. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism with AI adoption and favorable trends in blending and crude differentials, but uncertainties in refining utilization and mid-cycle crude spreads persist. Overall, the insights do not strongly lean towards either a positive or negative market reaction, justifying a neutral sentiment rating.