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  5. MTDR
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MTDR

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
832.16M
-14.24%
1.020
-44.25%
883.14M
-12.9%
1.221
-38.63%
878.47M
-1.88%
1.177
-23.1%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Matador Resources Company (MTDR) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -3.12% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -7.48%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.12%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-7.16%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-7.48%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast MTDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTDR is 57.25 USD with a low forecast of 46.00 USD and a high forecast of 67.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MTDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTDR is 57.25 USD with a low forecast of 46.00 USD and a high forecast of 67.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 44.630
sliders
Low
46.00
Averages
57.25
High
67.00
Current: 44.630
sliders
Low
46.00
Averages
57.25
High
67.00
BofA
Buy
downgrade
$55 -> $50
2025-11-03
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$55 -> $50
2025-11-03
downgrade
Buy
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Matador to $50 from $55 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company announced that it had entered into multiple natural gas transportation and marketing agreements. Prior to these agreements, the firm estimates that roughly half of Matador's dry gas was exposed to Waha pricing, but with this announcement, it sees that exposure effectively eliminated. The firm updated its 2025 and 2026 capex and oil production estimates based on Q3 results, Q4 guidance, and the preliminary 2026 outlook, the analyst noted.
UBS
Neutral
downgrade
$48 -> $46
2025-10-23
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$48 -> $46
2025-10-23
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS lowered the firm's price target on Matador to $46 from $48 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares following the company's Q3 report.
BofA
Buy
maintain
$56 -> $55
2025-10-16
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$56 -> $55
2025-10-16
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Matador to $55 from $56 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares ahead of the company reporting Q3 results after market close on October 21. The firm is marking to market its price deck, noting that the main drivers of its price target change are lower 2026 gas prices and weaker natural gas realizations lead by widening Waha differentials.
Mizuho
William Janela
Outperform
downgrade
$73 -> $69
2025-09-15
Reason
Mizuho
William Janela
Price Target
$73 -> $69
2025-09-15
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Mizuho analyst William Janela lowered the firm's price target on Matador to $69 from $73 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings in the integrated oil space after updating its commodity price outlook and valuations. Mizuho still sees a positive skew in gas prices over the next 12 months. Oil stocks are pricing in the current strip while gas stocks offer a 10%-15% discount based on implied commodity prices, the analyst tells investors in a research note. As such, the firm maintains a relative preference for large-cap, gas exploration and production companies with "selective exposure" to core oil names.
KeyBanc
Overweight
downgrade
$62 -> $61
2025-09-03
Reason
KeyBanc
Price Target
$62 -> $61
2025-09-03
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
KeyBanc lowered the firm's price target on Matador to $61 from $62 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says its updated estimates reflect KeyBanc's revised natural gas price forecast. In addition, the firm increases capitalized G&A and interest expenses to account for the recent upward trends.
William Blair
Neal Dingmann
Outperform
initiated
$70
2025-08-25
Reason
William Blair
Neal Dingmann
Price Target
$70
2025-08-25
initiated
Outperform
Reason
William Blair analyst Neal Dingmann initiated coverage of Matador with an Outperform rating. The firm believes Matador continues to benefit from the aptitude of founder and CEO Joe Foran and team, with Foran demonstrating similar operational and financial success as at his predecessor companies. William Blair notes shares trade at a 3.2-times EV/EBITDAX multiple and a 13% free cash flow yield using its 2026 estimates of $2.5B in EBITDAX and $1.0B in free cash flow, compared to the group average of 3.5-times and 10%. In Blair's view, the company's successful historical track record coupled with leading operational efficiencies deserves a premium versus similarly sized peers. It believes Matador could trade as high as a 5.0-times multiple and 11% yield, suggesting an equally weighted fair value of $70 per share, or 51% upside.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Matador Resources Co (MTDR.N) is 9.44, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.02. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Matador Resources Co 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Overvalued
5Y Average PE
7.02
Current PE
9.44
Overvalued PE
8.50
Undervalued PE
5.54

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.09
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
4.65
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
3.52

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
2.00
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
2.41
Undervalued PS
1.58
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Financial AI Agent
Financial AI Agent

MTDR News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-10-22
10:01:21
Matador Experiences a 9.4% Decline
select
2025-10-21 (ET)
2025-10-21
16:20:39
Matador increases FY25 production forecast to 205,500-206,500 BOE/d
select
2025-10-21
16:18:56
Matador anticipates production growth to 210,000 BOE daily by 2026.
select
Sign Up For More Events
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News

[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-27NASDAQ.COM
Significant Options Trading on Wednesday: WMT, KALV, MTDR
  • KalVista Pharmaceuticals Options Activity: KalVista Pharmaceuticals Inc (KALV) has seen a significant options volume of 10,031 contracts today, equating to about 1.0 million underlying shares, which is 74.6% of its average daily trading volume over the past month.

  • High Volume Put Option for KALV: The $12.50 strike put option expiring on December 19, 2025, has particularly high activity, with 10,013 contracts traded, representing approximately 1.0 million underlying shares.

  • Matador Resources Options Activity: Matador Resources Co (MTDR) has recorded an options volume of 13,784 contracts today, representing around 1.4 million underlying shares, or 72.9% of its average daily trading volume over the past month.

  • High Volume Put Option for MTDR: The $67.50 strike put option expiring on January 16, 2026, has seen notable trading with 5,460 contracts, which corresponds to approximately 546,000 underlying shares.

[object Object]
Preview
4.0
11-19TipRanks
Analysts Identify 3 "Strong Buy" Value Stocks with Potential Upside Exceeding 20% – 11/18/2025
  • Value Stocks Overview: Value stocks are considered undervalued compared to their true worth, often trading at lower price-to-earnings or price-to-book ratios, and can yield significant gains when market sentiment shifts.

  • Wyndham Hotels (WH): This hotel franchising company has a Strong Buy rating with a price target of $90.94, indicating a 27.21% upside potential, although Wells Fargo has a Hold rating due to concerns over high current estimates.

  • Matador Resources (MTDR): An independent energy firm with a Strong Buy consensus and a price target of $57.67, suggesting a 40.11% upside; the company recently reported strong quarterly results and raised its future guidance.

  • Copa Holdings (CPA): This airline group has a Strong Buy rating and a price target of $155.25, reflecting a 26% upside potential, supported by strong performance and positive traffic trends according to recent analyst ratings.

[object Object]
Preview
4.5
11-12MarketWatch
This yearly tax-saving strategy has discounted these 7 stocks.
  • November Effect Explained: The "November effect" suggests that stocks, previously depressed by tax-loss selling in October, typically rebound in November as selling pressure diminishes.

  • Current Market Performance: This year, the November effect has not materialized as expected, with significant stock-market weakness observed, particularly in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which both declined by several percentage points in early November.

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People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is Matador Resources Co (MTDR) stock price today?

The current price of MTDR is 44.63 USD — it has increased 0.79 % in the last trading day.

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What is Matador Resources Co (MTDR)'s business?

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company. The Company is engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. It operates through two segments: exploration and production and midstream. The exploration and production segment are engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States and is focused primarily on the oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. The midstream segment conducts midstream operations in support of the Company’s exploration, development and production operations and provides natural gas processing, oil transportation services, oil, natural gas and produced water gathering services and produce water disposal services to third parties.

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What is the price predicton of MTDR Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast MTDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTDR is 57.25 USD with a low forecast of 46.00 USD and a high forecast of 67.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Matador Resources Co (MTDR)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Matador Resources Co revenue for the last quarter amounts to 915.12M USD, increased 6.39 % YoY.

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What is Matador Resources Co (MTDR)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Matador Resources Co. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 1.42 USD, decreased -28.64 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Matador Resources Co (MTDR)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Matador Resources Company (MTDR) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -3.12% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -7.48%.
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How many employees does Matador Resources Co (MTDR). have?

Matador Resources Co (MTDR) has 452 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Matador Resources Co (MTDR) market cap?

Today MTDR has the market capitalization of 5.55B USD.

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