Stock Price & Analysis

Buy MTDR stock as it has a Strong Buy analyst consensus with a $76.21 average price target, supported by positive insider sentiment and improving financial performance.

MTDR stock is predicted to reach $76.21 by 2025, based on strong analyst consensus and company performance. Positive insider activity and revenue growth support this target.

The S1 support level for MTDR Stock is $44.35 ,The R1 resistant level for MTDR Stock is $51.2.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-14, the price of MTDR Stock was $48.52.

The target price for MTDR Stock according to analyst rating is 76.93, with the highest price target at 90.00 and the lowest at 62.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on MTDR Stock overall.

The market cap of MTDR is $6.1B.

Analysis and Insights

Valuation Metrics

MTDR's valuation metrics suggest it may be overvalued. The stock has a high P/E ratio of 48.81 and an EV/EBITDA of 7.88, indicating a premium relative to its earnings and cash flow generation.

Financial Performance

While MTDR reported strong revenue growth ($978.28 million in Q4 2024 vs. $860.14 million in Q3 2024), its net income and margins have declined. Net income fell to $237.95 million in Q4 from $272.67 million in Q3, and both gross and net margins have decreased.

Analyst Sentiment

Analysts are mixed, with a consensus rating of Strong Buy but varying price targets. Raymond James lowered its target to $67, while Truist Securities raised it to $80. The average price target of $76.21 suggests significant upside potential.

Insider and Institutional Activity

Insiders have shown confidence with recent purchases, but institutional investors are divided, with more reducing positions than increasing them.

Technical Analysis

MTDR is trading below its Fibonacci pivot point of $48.81, with resistance at $52.70 and support at $44.91.

Conclusion

MTDR appears overvalued based on its high valuation multiples and declining margins. However, strong revenue growth and positive insider sentiment suggest potential upside. Investors should monitor margins and debt levels closely.

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company. The Company is engaged in in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. It operates through two segments: exploration and production and midstream. The exploration and production segment are engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States and is focused primarily on the oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. The midstream segment conducts midstream operations in support of the Company’s exploration, development and production operations and provides natural gas processing, oil transportation services, oil, natural gas and produced water gathering services and produced water disposal services to third parties.

MTDR stock is predicted to reach $85 by 2030, driven by strong analyst consensus and positive insider sentiment. The average analyst price target of $76.21 suggests significant upside, with energy sector tailwinds expected to boost growth.

MTDR has a total of 395 employees.