Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Matador Resources Co(MTDR) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Matador Resources Co earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-10-21 | After Hours | 1.23 | 1.36 | +10.57 | 865.33M | 939.02M | +8.51 | -9.63 | -10.20 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-07-22 | After Hours | 1.25 | 1.53 | +22.40 | 910.77M | 895.31M | -1.70 | -1.16 | +3.20 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-04-23 | After Hours | 1.74 | 1.99 | +14.37 | 956.57M | 1.01B | +6.00 | -0.22 | +0.44 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-02-18 | After Hours | 1.74 | 1.83 | +5.17 | 967.10M | 970.37M | +0.34 | -2.02 | -9.24 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-10-22 | After Hours | 1.75 | 1.89 | +8.00 | 830.25M | 899.78M | +8.37 | +0.85 | +0.32 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-07-23 | - | 1.75 | 2.05 | +17.14 | 822.53M | 847.14M | +2.99 | -2.82 | -4.07 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-04-23 | - | 1.48 | 1.71 | +15.54 | 734.27M | 787.69M | +7.28 | +0.71 | +2.27 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-02-20 | - | 1.75 | 1.99 | +13.71 | 799.20M | 836.13M | +4.62 | -0.99 | +3.58 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-10-24 | - | 1.59 | 1.86 | +16.98 | 701.84M | 772.29M | +10.04 | -1.46 | -5.58 |
| - | 2023-07-25 | - | 1.28 | 1.42 | +10.94 | - | - | - | -0.32 | -1.92 |
MTDR Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Matador Resources Co reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-21. The company achieved an EPS of 1.36, compared to analyst estimates of 1.23 by 10.57% . Revenue for the quarter reached 939.02M compared to expectations of 865.33M by 8.51% .
The stock price reacted with a -9.63% one-day change and a -10.20% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Matador Resources Co growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
MTDR Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Matador Resources Co(MTDR) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 832.16M and an EPS of 1.02.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -3.12%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -7.16%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -9.02% . These revisions correlate with a -7.48% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Matador Resources Co long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between MTDR's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-3.12%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-7.16%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-9.02%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-7.48%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.60B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.85
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Stock Price44.63
MTDR Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Matador Resources Co revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-21,After Hours):
EPS: 1.36 (Actual) vs.1.23 (Estimate) (10.57%)
Revenue: 939.02M (Actual) vs. 865.33M (Estimate) (8.51%)
Price Reaction: -9.63%(1-Day), -10.20%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-22,After Hours):
EPS: 1.53 (Actual) vs.1.25 (Estimate) (22.40%)
Revenue: 895.31M (Actual) vs. 910.77M (Estimate) (-1.70%)
Price Reaction: -1.16%(1-Day), 3.20%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-23,After Hours):
EPS: 1.99 (Actual) vs.1.74 (Estimate) (14.37%)
Revenue: 1.01B (Actual) vs. 956.57M (Estimate) (6.00%)
Price Reaction: -0.22%(1-Day), 0.44%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MTDR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MTDR sees a -1.95% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -4.49% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.19%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -9.63% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -11.75% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Matador Resources Co (MTDR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-22
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance with record retained earnings, a low leverage ratio, and significant debt reduction. The company announced a 20% dividend increase and opportunistic share buybacks, signaling confidence in financial health. While there are risks, such as market dependency and strategic execution, management's flexibility and efficiency gains provide a positive outlook. The Q&A session reinforced management's strategic approach and commitment to efficiency, despite some unclear responses. Overall, these factors suggest a positive stock price reaction over the next two weeks.
Matador Resources Co (MTDR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-24
The earnings call presents a positive outlook with several key factors: increased processing capacity, a significant debt repayment, and an active share repurchase program. Despite a slight production dip, the company expects a 17% growth by year-end. The Q&A section reinforced the company's growth plans and strategic flexibility. The management's confidence in share buybacks and debt reduction suggests a positive sentiment. However, unclear responses about buyback criteria and hedging activities indicate some caution. Overall, these factors point to a potential positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-23
The earnings call summary presents strong financial performance with a 15% revenue increase and a 20% rise in net income. The Ameredev acquisition is performing well, and a share repurchase program is announced, both positive indicators. However, the stock offering may dilute shares, a potential negative. The Q&A section shows optimism in production growth and rational market opportunities, although some responses lacked clarity. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, suggesting a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Matador Resources Co (MTDR) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-24
The earnings call highlights strong operational growth, with production increasing significantly and potential reserve expansion through the Ameredev acquisition. Management's confidence in future performance and operational efficiencies is promising. However, the lack of a shareholder return plan and some operational challenges, such as weather conditions, temper the outlook. The Q&A reveals sustained production growth and cost efficiencies, further supporting a positive sentiment. The absence of a share buyback program is a minor negative, but overall, the strategic initiatives and financial health suggest a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8%.
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FAQ
What were the key highlights of MTDR’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
How did MTDR’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MTDR for 2025/Q4?
How does MTDR’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
What should investors expect from MTDR’s next earnings report?