MTDR Valuation

Matador Resources Co

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48.360

+2.02(4.359%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

MTDR Relative Valuation

MTDR's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MTDR is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Matador Resources Co (MTDR) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 8.06 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 7.40. The fair price of Matador Resources Co (MTDR) is between 34.01 to 67.35 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

34.01-67.35

Current Price：48.36

Fair

8.44

Trailing

Forward

4.01

EV/EBITDA

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.01. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 4.13. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.93, Undervalued between 2.93 and 3.53, Fairly Valued between 4.74 and 3.53, Overvalued between 4.74 and 5.34, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.34. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.01 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.55

EV/EBIT

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) has a current EV/EBIT of 7.55. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 6.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.42, Undervalued between 2.42 and 4.47, Fairly Valued between 8.59 and 4.47, Overvalued between 8.59 and 10.65, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.65. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 7.55 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.56

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) has a current PS of 1.56. The 5-year average PS is 1.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.04, Undervalued between 1.04 and 1.51, Fairly Valued between 2.43 and 1.51, Overvalued between 2.43 and 2.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.89. The current Forward PS of 1.56 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.58

P/OCF

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) has a current P/OCF of 2.58. The 5-year average P/OCF is 3.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.87, Undervalued between 1.87 and 2.46, Fairly Valued between 3.64 and 2.46, Overvalued between 3.64 and 4.23, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.23. The current Forward P/OCF of 2.58 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.85

P/FCF

Matador Resources Co. (MTDR) has a current P/FCF of 6.85. The 5-year average P/FCF is 8.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.57, Undervalued between 1.57 and 5.27, Fairly Valued between 12.67 and 5.27, Overvalued between 12.67 and 16.37, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.37. The current Forward P/FCF of 6.85 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Matador Resources Co (MTDR) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.77 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -39.64% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.96, the current P/B ratio is about -45.54% higher. Matador Resources Co (MTDR) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 7.70%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 7.37%, the current FCF yield is approximately 4.50% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.24% , the current FCF yield is about 244.15% lower.

1.12

P/B

Median3y

1.77

Median5y

1.96

7.65

FCF Yield

Median3y

7.37

Median5y

2.24

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MTDR's competitors is 1.69, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Matador Resources Co Corp (MTDR) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.56, which is -7.91% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 8.24%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

California Resources Corp

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of MTDR decreased by 14.74% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 6.52 to 7.11.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 8.24%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of MTDR in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

8.24%

855.20M → 925.68M

Revenue Growth

-31.93%

28.94 → 19.70

Margin Expansion

8.95%

6.52 → 7.11

P/E Change

-14.74%