Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market activity, here's a concise analysis for TSCO stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $54.225 during regular market hours, showing a +2.41% gain today. However, the RSI at 36.97 indicates the stock is approaching oversold territory, suggesting potential for a technical bounce.

Recent Performance & Events TSCO reported disappointing Q4 results on January 30th, with:

• EPS of $0.44 vs $0.45 expected
• Comparable store sales growth of only 0.6%
• Stock dropped over 4% following results

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show mixed but generally positive sentiment:

• Wells Fargo maintains Buy rating with $60 target
• Mizuho upgraded to Buy with $60 target
• B of A Securities remains bearish with $53 target

Forward Outlook The company guided for FY25:

• EPS of $2.10-$2.22
• Net sales growth of 5-7%
• Comparable store sales growth of 1-3%

Fibonacci Levels Current key levels:

• Support: $53.00 (S1)
• Resistance: $57.93 (R1)
• Pivot: $55.47

Recommendation SELL - The stock appears vulnerable to further downside given:

1. Weak Q4 results and conservative 2025 guidance
2. Technical indicators showing weakness
3. Trading below key moving averages
4. Multiple analyst price target reductions

Based on the recent data and analyst reports, here's a price prediction for TSCO stock in 2025:

TSCO is expected to reach $60 by mid-2025, representing a 10.6% upside from current price of $54.23. This target is supported by Wells Fargo's recent price target of $60 and consensus analyst expectations averaging $59.56. The projection is driven by improving comparable store sales throughout 2025 as macro headwinds abate, coupled with 5-7% projected revenue growth and 1-3% comparable store sales growth guidance from management.

The S1 support level for TSCO Stock is $52.88 ,The R1 resistant level for TSCO Stock is $57.82.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-11, the price of TSCO Stock was $55.

The target price for TSCO Stock according to analyst rating is 58.72, with the highest price target at 67.00 and the lowest at 47.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on TSCO Stock overall.

The market cap of TSCO is $29.4B.

Based on the provided data and current market context, here's a comprehensive analysis of TSCO's valuation:

Valuation Analysis TSCO appears to be fairly valued to slightly overvalued based on several key metrics:

• P/E ratio of 26.7x (Q4 2024) is above the retail sector average
• EV/EBITDA of 16.1x suggests premium valuation compared to peers
• P/S ratio of 1.98x indicates reasonable pricing for retail sector
• P/B ratio of 12.84x is relatively high, reflecting strong market premium

Recent Performance & Fundamentals According to recent earnings report:

• Q4 2024 EPS of $0.44 missed estimates of $0.46
• Revenue grew 3.1% to $3.77B but missed $3.78B consensus
• Comparable store sales increased only 0.6%
• Gross margin declined 9 basis points to 35.2%

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show mixed views:

• Melius Research lowered PT to $62 from $70 but maintains Buy
• JP Morgan maintains Hold with $59 PT
• Telsey Advisory maintains Buy with $67 PT, seeing 23.2% upside
• B of A Securities maintains Sell with $53 PT

Growth Outlook Management guidance for 2025:

• EPS guidance of $2.10-2.22 vs $2.21 consensus
• Net sales growth of 5-7%
• Comparable store sales growth of 1-3%
• CEO expects macro headwinds to abate through 2025

Conclusion TSCO appears overvalued at current levels considering:

1. Premium valuation multiples
2. Slowing growth metrics
3. Recent earnings miss
4. Mixed analyst sentiment
5. Macro headwinds impacting near-term performance

Tractor Supply Company is a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The Company is focused on supplying the needs of recreational farmers and ranchers. It operates retail stores under the names Tractor Supply Company and Petsense by Tractor Supply. Its stores are located in towns outlying various metropolitan markets and in rural communities. It also offers an expanded assortment of products through the Tractor Supply mobile application and online at TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com. The Company's selection of merchandise consists of various product categories, including livestock, equine and agriculture; companion animal; seasonal and recreation; truck, tool, and hardware, and clothing, gift, and decor. Its brands include 4health, American Farmworks, Bit & Bridle, Blue Mountain, C.E. Schmidt, Country Lane, Countyline, and others. The livestock, equine and agricultural products include livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals.

Based on analyst projections and technical analysis, TSCO stock is expected to reach $75-80 by 2030, driven by continued expansion in rural markets and successful execution of "Life Out Here" strategic initiatives. The stock shows strong fundamentals with multiple analysts maintaining Buy ratings and an average price target of $67 in early 2025, suggesting a solid growth trajectory. Technical indicators and market positioning indicate TSCO has potential for sustained long-term growth, though macro pressures may create near-term headwinds through 2025-2026.

TSCO has a total of 25000 employees.