Technical Analysis:
Based on the latest market data, TSCO is showing mixed technical signals:
- RSI-14 at 53.07 indicates neutral momentum
- MACD (0.52) and Signal (0.24) lines are both positive, suggesting bullish momentum
- Stochastic RSI (85.79) indicates overbought conditions
- Price is trading between Bollinger Bands (BBL: 50.60, BBM: 55.82, BBU: 61.04)
News Impact:
- Recent positive news: TSCO announced a 4.5% dividend increase and $1 billion share repurchase authorization on Feb 13
- However, stock dropped 5% after Q4 earnings release due to weaker-than-expected profits despite revenue growth
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Target Levels:
- Resistance: $57.71 (Fibonacci R1)
- Support: $53.46 (Fibonacci S1)
Based on technical indicators and recent news:
- Most likely scenario (60% probability): Price consolidation between $55-57 range
- Bullish case (25%): Break above $57.71 could push price to $59.02 (Fibonacci R2)
- Bearish case (15%): Break below $53.46 could see price test $52.15 (Fibonacci S2)
Trading Recommendation:
SELL with target entry at $57.50
- Stop loss: $58.50
- First target: $55.50
- Second target: $53.50
Rationale:
- Overbought conditions on stochastic indicators
- Price near upper Bollinger Band
- Recent earnings disappointment could continue to pressure stock
- Current price ($56.37) is in resistance zone
Technical Analysis:
Based on the latest market data, TSCO is showing mixed technical signals:
- RSI-14 at 53.07 indicates neutral momentum
- MACD (0.52) and Signal (0.24) lines are both positive, suggesting bullish momentum
- Stochastic RSI (85.79) indicates overbought conditions
- Price is trading between Bollinger Bands (BBL: 50.60, BBM: 55.82, BBU: 61.04)
News Impact:
- Recent positive news: TSCO announced a 4.5% dividend increase and $1 billion share repurchase authorization on Feb 13
- However, stock dropped 5% after Q4 earnings release due to weaker-than-expected profits despite revenue growth
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Target Levels:
- Resistance: $57.71 (Fibonacci R1)
- Support: $53.46 (Fibonacci S1)
Based on technical indicators and recent news:
- Most likely scenario (60% probability): Price consolidation between $55-57 range
- Bullish case (25%): Break above $57.71 could push price to $59.02 (Fibonacci R2)
- Bearish case (15%): Break below $53.46 could see price test $52.15 (Fibonacci S2)
Trading Recommendation:
SELL with target entry at $57.50
- Stop loss: $58.50
- First target: $55.50
- Second target: $53.50
Rationale:
- Overbought conditions on stochastic indicators
- Price near upper Bollinger Band
- Recent earnings disappointment could continue to pressure stock
- Current price ($56.37) is in resistance zone