Should I Buy TSCO? TSCO 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

51.840

1 Day change

-5.98%

52 Week Range

63.990

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown positive financial growth in Q3 2025 and has seen significant hedge fund and congress member buying, the stock faces multiple headwinds, including downgraded analyst ratings, reduced price targets, and limited positive catalysts in the near term. Additionally, technical indicators suggest the stock is overbought, and options data reflects bearish sentiment. It would be prudent to monitor the stock further and wait for more favorable entry conditions.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. However, the RSI is at 81.268, signaling the stock is overbought. The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 54.204, R2: 55.343), suggesting limited upside potential in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Hedge funds have significantly increased their buying activity, with a 15983.33% increase over the last quarter.
Congress members have made two purchase transactions recently, indicating confidence in the stock.
Positive Q3 2025 financial performance, with revenue, net income, and EPS all showing YoY growth.
Increased web traffic ahead of Winter Storm Fern suggests strong demand for winter supplies.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Multiple analysts have downgraded the stock and reduced price targets, citing weaker-than-expected Q4 sales and limited positive catalysts.
Options data indicates bearish sentiment, with a high put-call volume ratio of 1.
The RSI indicates the stock is overbought, suggesting potential for a pullback.
The company's Q4 performance is highly dependent on weather conditions, adding uncertainty.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, Tractor Supply Co reported revenue growth of 7.23% YoY, net income growth of 7.37% YoY, and EPS growth of 8.89% YoY. Gross margin also improved slightly to 34.02%. These metrics indicate solid financial health and growth trends.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have recently downgraded the stock and reduced price targets. The current price targets range from $50 to $64, with most analysts maintaining Hold or Neutral ratings. Analysts cite weaker-than-expected Q4 sales and limited positive catalysts as reasons for their cautious outlook.

20 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TSCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TSCO is 59.82 USD with a low forecast of 6.92 USD and a high forecast of 70 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

13 Buy

7 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 55.140

Low

6.92

Averages

59.82

High

Current: 55.140

Low

6.92

Averages

59.82

High

Stephens

Jeff Lick

Equal Weight

downgrade

$59 -> $53

AI Analysis

2026-01-22

Reason

Stephens

Jeff Lick

Price Target

$59 -> $53

AI Analysis

2026-01-22

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Stephens analyst Jeff Lick lowered the firm's price target on Tractor Supply to $53 from $59 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares ahead of the company reporting Q4 earnings on Thursday, January 29. Based on Bloomberg Second Measure data, the firm believes Tractor Supply's Q4 revenue growth is 200 to 300 basis points lower than the firm or the Street estimated going into the quarter, the analyst tells investors in a preview.

TD Cowen

Hold

downgrade

$62 -> $55

2026-01-20

Reason

TD Cowen

Price Target

$62 -> $55

2026-01-20

downgrade

Hold

Reason

TD Cowen lowered the firm's price target on Tractor Supply to $55 from $62 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the hardlines group. Planet Fitness is TD's top idea, followed by Home Depot and O'Reilly Automotive.

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TSCO Should I Buy

TSCO Should I Buy

Should You Buy Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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