Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis of WDS stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing bearish signals with:

• RSI-14 at 38.14 indicating weakening momentum
• MACD line at -0.19 with negative divergence
• Price trading below both 200-day SMA ($16.63) and 250-day SMA ($17.00)
• Current price ($18.40) is near the bottom Bollinger Band, suggesting oversold conditions

Fundamental Analysis

Recent financial performance shows concerning trends:

• Revenue declined from $16.8B in FY2022 to $14.0B in FY2023 (-16.8%)
• Net income dropped significantly from $6.5B to $1.7B (-74.5%)
• Gross margin deteriorated from 60.2% to 44.9%
• Net margin declined from 39.1% to 12.3%

Recent Developments

• BofA upgraded WDS to Buy with a price target of A$27.10 (up from A$25.50) in January 2025, citing higher oil price assumptions
• Citi maintains a Sell rating with A$23.00 price target, below current trading levels
• CEO Meg O'Neill recently warned about Australia's competitive challenges in energy markets compared to the U.S.

Recommendation

SELL for the following reasons:

1. Deteriorating financial metrics
2. Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
3. Mixed analyst sentiment with more bearish near-term outlook
4. Operational challenges in Australian market affecting competitiveness

Entry/Exit Points:

• Current resistance: $18.67 (Fibonacci R1)
• Support levels: $14.68 (Fibonacci S1)
• Stop loss suggested at $14.38 (Fibonacci S2)

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for WDS stock in 2025:

WDS stock is expected to reach $17.50 by end of 2025, representing a potential upside of 18% from current levels. This projection is supported by the company's strong financial fundamentals with healthy gross margins of 43.42% and net margins of 32.93%, combined with technical indicators showing the stock is currently oversold with RSI at 38.14.

The stock has been consolidating between $14-16 range recently, with strong support at $14.42 (lower Bollinger Band) and resistance at $16.20 (upper Bollinger Band). A breakout above $16.20 could accelerate the upward momentum toward the target price.

The broader market sentiment remains bullish for 2025, with the S&P 500 expected to gain 9-12% according to Wall Street consensus. This positive macro environment, combined with WDS's solid balance sheet showing current ratio of 1.24 and manageable debt-to-equity of 20.56%, supports the bullish price target.

The S1 support level for WDS Stock is $14.63 ,The R1 resistant level for WDS Stock is $15.7.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of WDS Stock was $15.515.

The market cap of WDS is $29.4B.

Based on the technical indicators and recent analyst reports, WDS appears to be overvalued at current levels. The RSI-14 reading of 38.14 indicates oversold conditions, but the MACD shows a bearish trend with negative values (-0.19). Citi analyst maintains a Sell rating with a price target of A$23.00, suggesting significant downside from current levels. The company faces increasing challenges in maintaining its position as a major energy supplier due to higher taxes and regulatory pressures compared to competitors. The stock is trading below all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day SMAs), indicating persistent bearish momentum. The Bollinger Band analysis shows the price near the lower band with a weak bullish percentage (0.10), suggesting continued downward pressure.

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is a global energy company. Its segments include Australia, International and Marketing. The Australia segment is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production and sale of liquified natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate and natural gas liquids in Australia. The International segment is engaged in exploration, evaluation, development, production and sale of pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate and natural gas liquids in international jurisdictions outside of Australia. The Marketing segment is engaged in marketing, shipping and trading of its oil and gas portfolio. Its projects include Pluto LNG, the North West Shelf Project, Macedon, the lower carbon ammonia project in Texas, and others. The Greater Angostura field is an offshore conventional oil and gas field located 38 km northeast of Trinidad. It has Woodside Louisiana LNG, which is an under-construction LNG production and export terminal in Calcasieu Parish, Louisiana.

Based on the available data and market analysis, Woodside Energy (WDS) stock is projected to reach $22-24 by 2030, representing a moderate decline from current levels due to challenging market conditions in Australia's energy sector and increasing global competition, particularly from the U.S. energy market. The bearish outlook is supported by Citi's recent sell rating and concerns about Australia's diminishing competitiveness in energy markets due to higher taxes, labor costs, and environmental regulations. The company's CEO has warned about Australia "losing on every front" to the U.S. in terms of energy production capabilities and regulatory environment.

WDS has a total of 4667 employees.