Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, here is a concise assessment of OWL stock:

Technical Analysis: The stock has shown weakness in recent trading sessions, falling from $23.34 to $22.13 (-4.20%) last Friday. The RSI reading of 20.53 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a potential technical bounce may occur.

Fundamental Strengths:

• Strong analyst consensus with a "Strong Buy" rating and average price target of $27.20 (22.91% upside)
• Recent quarterly revenue growth of 39.85% year-over-year
• Second largest publicly traded BDC by total assets with $18.4B in total assets

Key Concerns:

• Net margin of 4.96% lags industry averages
• Below average ROE of 1.59% and ROA of 0.29%
• Recent price weakness and negative technical signals

Analyst Sentiment:

• Barclays maintains Buy rating with $29 target
• JMP Securities raised target to $32 from $30
• Wells Fargo maintains Hold rating with $24 target

Recommendation: HOLD

While the long-term fundamental outlook remains positive given strong analyst support and revenue growth, the current technical weakness suggests waiting for price stabilization before establishing new positions. The oversold conditions may present a short-term trading opportunity, but investors should wait for confirmation of a trend reversal.

Based on the provided data and analyst reports, here's a concise 2025 price prediction for OWL stock:

Blue Owl Capital (OWL) is projected to reach $27-32 by end of 2025, driven by strong fundamentals and analyst optimism. The company's 20% dividend growth target and projected $450M in incremental management fees support this bullish outlook. JMP Securities recently raised their price target to $32, while the current analyst consensus shows a Strong Buy rating with an average target of $26.81.

The prediction is supported by three key factors:

1. Record Growth: $27.5B in equity raised in 2024 (75% YoY increase) and reaching $251B AUM milestone

2. Strong Financial Outlook: Mid-20% FRE growth expected with 57-58% FRE margin in 2025

3. Strategic Expansion: Recent acquisitions including IPI adding $14B in AUM and new product launches in alternative credit

The S1 support level for OWL Stock is $21.32 ,The R1 resistant level for OWL Stock is $24.05.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-25, the price of OWL Stock was $21.26.

The target price for OWL Stock according to analyst rating is 27.05, with the highest price target at 32.00 and the lowest at 23.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on OWL Stock overall.

The market cap of OWL is $32.7B.

Based on the technical indicators and fundamental data, here is a concise analysis of whether OWL is overvalued:

Blue Owl Capital (OWL) shows signs of being overvalued at current levels based on its RSI of 34.71 indicating oversold conditions and trading significantly above its 200-day moving average of $20.41 [Relevant Data].

The company's net income growth from -$9.29M in 2022 to $54.34M in 2023 demonstrates improving fundamentals, but the current valuation appears stretched given the premium pricing.

Recent analyst coverage suggests a moderate buy consensus with an average price target of $27.18, implying the stock is fairly valued at current levels around $22.50.

Technical indicators show the stock trading below key moving averages with weakening momentum, suggesting potential downside risk from current levels.

The private equity industry faces significant headwinds with fundraising challenges and market consolidation pressures, which could impact OWL's growth trajectory.

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an alternative asset management company. The Company deploys private capital across Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate platforms on behalf of institutional and private wealth clients. The Company has three major product platforms: Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate. Its Credit products offer private financing solutions to middle-market companies seeking capital solutions. Its Credit products are generally offered through a mix of business development companies, long-dated private funds, managed accounts and collateralized loan obligations. It primarily focused on acquiring equity stakes in or providing debt financing to private capital firms. Its Real Estate products are focused on acquiring triple net lease real estate occupied by investment grade or creditworthy tenants. Its Real Estate products are offered primarily through Permanent Capital vehicles, including its real estate investment trusts (REIT), and long-dated private funds.

Based on analyst projections and technical analysis, OWL stock is expected to reach $45-50 by 2030, driven by continued expansion in alternative asset management and strong growth in private credit markets. The company's strategic acquisitions and diversification into digital infrastructure, coupled with analyst consensus showing a strong buy rating with current price targets up to $32, support this long-term growth trajectory. Technical indicators and current market positioning suggest OWL has significant upside potential, with its permanent capital model and positioning in wealth channels providing sustainable competitive advantages.

OWL has a total of 685 employees.