Based on the provided data and analysis, here is a price prediction for OWL stock by 2030:
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) is projected to reach $45-50 by 2030, representing approximately 70-90% upside from current levels around $26.68. This forecast is supported by three key factors:
The company's strong execution in growing assets under management (AUM) from $45 billion in 2020 to $235 billion by Q3 2024, demonstrating exceptional 400%+ growth in just 4 years. This proven ability to scale suggests continued robust AUM expansion ahead.
Management's successful strategy focused on permanent capital and fee-based revenues provides high visibility into future earnings growth, with analysts projecting 18% average annual EPS growth over the next three years. Extending this growth trajectory supports the 2030 target.
The company's positioning in alternative investments and private credit markets remains favorable, with secular tailwinds from increasing institutional allocation to alternatives and growing demand for private credit solutions.
This price target assumes OWL maintains its current valuation multiple while executing on its growth strategy. Key risks include a severe recession impacting fundraising and potential redemptions from institutional investors.