UGP

Ultrapar Participacoes SA

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Advanced Chart

3.960

+0.02(0.508%)1D

Line

Candle

YTD

High

3.970

Open

3.940

VWAP

3.94

Vol

1.16M

Mkt Cap

4.42B

Low

3.890

Amount

4.59M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

6.01

Total Shares

1.09B

41.16B

EV/OCF(TTM)

17.50

P/S(TTM)

0.17

Ultrapar Participacoes SA is a Brazil-based company primarily engaged in the automotive fuel retail. The Company operates in five segments: Gas distribution (Ultragaz), which distributes liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to residential, commercial and industrial consumers in the South, Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil; Fuel distribution (Ipiranga), which operates the distribution and marketing of gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles and lubricants, as well as provides related activities across the Brazilian territory; Chemicals (Oxiteno), which produces ethylene oxide, as well as its primary derivatives and fatty alcohols; Storage (Ultracargo), which operates liquid bulk terminals, primarily in the Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil, and Drugstores (Extrafarma), which trades pharmaceutical, hygiene and beauty products through its drugstore chain in the states of Para and Piaui, among others.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q2

32.44B

-2.66%

0.000

-100%

34.45B

-2.67%

0.000

-100%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 2.23% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 30.26%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+2.23%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+11.46%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+30.26%

In Past 3 Month

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast UGP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UGP is 4.25 USD with a low forecast of 4.00 USD and a high forecast of 4.50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 3.960

Low

4.00

Averages

4.25

High

4.50

Current: 3.960

Low

4.00

Averages

4.25

High

4.50

BTG Pactual

Neutral -> Buy

upgrade

$26

2025-09-04

Reason

BTG Pactual

Price Target

$26

2025-09-04

upgrade

Neutral -> Buy

Reason

BTG Pactual upgraded Ultrapar to Buy from Neutral with a R$26 price target.

Grupo Santander

Rodrigo Reis de Almeida

Neutral -> Outperform

upgrade

2025-08-14

Reason

Grupo Santander

Rodrigo Reis de Almeida

Price Target

2025-08-14

upgrade

Neutral -> Outperform

Reason

Grupo Santander analyst Rodrigo Reis de Almeida upgraded Ultrapar to Outperform from Neutral with a $4 price target. The firm cites the company's "robust" portfolio and attractive valuation for the upgrade.

Scotiabank

Sector Perform -> Outperform

upgrade

R$22

2025-07-28

Reason

Scotiabank

Price Target

R$22

2025-07-28

upgrade

Sector Perform -> Outperform

Reason

Scotiabank upgraded Ultrapar to Outperform from Sector Perform with a R$22 price target.

Scotiabank

Sector Perform

Outperform

upgrade

2025-07-28

Reason

Scotiabank

Price Target

2025-07-28

upgrade

Sector Perform

Outperform

Reason

Scotiabank upgraded Ultrapar to Outperform from Sector Perform with a price target of R$22, up from R$21. The firm says Petrobras' pricing policy has created arbitrage opportunities that have been exploited by small players in Brazil's diesel market, driving sharp losses for the three main distributors - Vibra, Raizen, and Ultrapar. However, Ultrapar's decision to focus on higher-loyalty costumers has paid off, and the company is much less exposed to market price swings than Vibra, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Scotiabank believes Ultrapar is currently the best positioned player regarding unfair competition from smaller players.

Goldman Sachs

Bruno Amorim

Hold

Maintains

$4.8 → $4.1

2025-01-16

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Bruno Amorim

Price Target

$4.8 → $4.1

2025-01-16

Maintains

Hold

Reason

JP Morgan

Rodolfo Angele

Hold

Buy

Upgrades

n/a

2025-01-07

Reason

JP Morgan

Rodolfo Angele

Price Target

n/a

2025-01-07

Upgrades

Hold

Buy

Reason

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) is 9.96, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 15.08. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Ultrapar Participacoes SA 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE
Forward EV/EBITDA
Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

15.08

Current PE

9.96

Overvalued PE

20.64

Undervalued PE

9.52

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

6.59

Current EV/EBITDA

5.78

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

7.91

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

5.26

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PS

0.22

Current PS

21.30

Overvalued PS

1.40

Undervalued PS

-0.96