UGP Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how UGP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, UGP sees a -0.44% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -4.93% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.80%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
UGP Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
6.38B
-4.18%
2.79%
Gross Margin
6.45%
-26.87%
-1.07%
Operating Margin
3.05%
-36.72%
14.23%
Net Margin
1.98%
-27.74%
30.26%
EPS
0.11
-31.25%
37.50%
No Data Available
UGP Earnings Analysis
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. Corporation (UGP.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
EBITDA Decline Analysis: Recurring EBITDA totaled BRL 1.506 billion in the third quarter of '24, 24% lower than that of the third quarter of '23, mainly due to Ipiranaga's lower EBITDA year-over-year.
EBITDA Growth Analysis: The accumulated EBITDA for '24 is BRL 4.93 billion, 4% higher than that of the previous period.
Net Income Increase: The net income year-to-date is BRL 1.645 billion, 17% higher than the previous period.
Investment Increase Q3 2024: Investments in its turn totaled BRL 519 million in the third quarter of '24, up 37% compared to that of the third quarter of '23, mainly driven by higher investments in Ipiranaga.
Operating Cash Flow Generation: We had an operating cash flow generation of BRL 780 million in the third quarter of '24.
Negative
EBITDA Decline Analysis: Recurring EBITDA totaled BRL 1.506 billion in the third quarter of '24, 24% lower than that of the third quarter of '23, mainly due to Ipiranaga's lower EBITDA year-over-year.
Net Income Decline: Ultrapar's net income was BRL 698 million, 22% lower year-over-year due to the lower EBITDA, partially offset by lower net financial expenses.
Cash Flow Decline: The cash flow generation was 59% lower than that of the third quarter of '23, mainly due to lower EBITDA and higher investments in working capital.
Net Debt Increase: We ended the third quarter with a net debt of BRL 7.968 billion, an increase of BRL 268 million compared to June '24, mainly due to the reduction of BRL 240 million on the direct discount balance in the quarter.
EBITDA Decline Analysis: The recurring EBITDA totaled BRL 936 million, 34% lower year-over-year.
UGP FAQs
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UGP Earning Call Sentiment
Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
UGP.N
2.08%Positive
The earnings call highlights several concerns: Ipiranga's EBITDA is significantly lower YoY, indicating competitive pressures. Regulatory compliance issues and higher costs at Ultragaz could further strain profitability. The Q&A session reveals management's vague responses and lack of clarity on strategic impacts and competitive dynamics. Despite some positive aspects like higher accumulated EBITDA and dividends paid, the overall sentiment is negative due to declining margins, increased leverage, and unclear strategic direction. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to react negatively, falling in the -2% to -8% range.
