UGP Stock Price Prediction
-
$
0.000
1-Day-Price-Prediction
-1.92%
1-Week Prediction
-0.74%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that UGP stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $4.28, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $4.3. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $4.36. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $0.00, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $0.00. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Ultrapar Participacoes SA Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UGP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
UGP stock price ended at $4.36 on Thursday, after rising 3.07%
The Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock price increased by 3.07% on the last trading day (04 Dec 2025), rising from 4.32 to 4.36. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.10% , ranging from a day low of $4.29 to a day high of 4.38. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 5.57% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.79M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.19M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 13.81M.
UGP Technical Signals
UGP(Ultrapar Participacoes SA Corp) has 5 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-11-26. The total price change during this trend is +5.83%. Recently, the price has increased significantly while volume increased, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of UGP over the last 5 trading days is 8.86M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
UGP Moving Average Analysis
Ultrapar Participacoes SA's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, December 5, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $4.41, and $4.57. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $3.90, and $3.75. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
UGP Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Ultrapar Participacoes SA(UGP) as of 02 Dec 2025 is 7.24%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 3.99 to 4.15. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.122
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.23
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.056
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
4.36
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
80.842
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
180.41
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
81.358
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-4.878
Bearish
UGP Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.
Ultrapar Participacoes SA Stock Forecast 2026
UGP Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Ultrapar Participacoes SA(UGP), our algorithm predicts UGP's 1-month price at $4.40, with an 7.17%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.71%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock, as of Sunday, November 30, 2025 , forecasts a 7.17% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PII.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.71%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
UGP
No Data
PII
Up: 7.17%Similarity: 96.71%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
PII.N
96.71%
+7.17%
HE.N
95.56%
-6.78%
AMKR.O
95.43%
+4.88%
FUTU.O
95.26%
-8.31%
USAU.O
95.19%
-7.70%
CLMT.O
95.14%
-2.11%
SRPT.O
95.00%
+38.53%
LOAN.O
94.87%
+3.76%
NEN.A
94.85%
+14.08%
SII.N
94.79%
-8.56%
UGP Seasonality Analysis
Based on UGP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is64.29%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UGP. In contrast,Decemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at64.29%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock in December has the highest probability of a positive return (64.29%), while May has the lowest probability (42.86%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Ultrapar Participacoes SA. (UGP)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
People Also Watch
FAQ
Should I buy Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock?
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock in a year?
How has Ultrapar Participacoes SA. (UGP)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bullish technical signals does UGP have?
Which bearish technical signals does UGP have?
Is UGP a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP)'s moving average?
What is price prediction for UGP stock next month?
What is price prediction 2026 for Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) Stock?