1-Day-Price-Prediction
-0.55%
1-Week Prediction
-3.06%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that UGP stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $2.97, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $2.9. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $2.84. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $0.00, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $0.00. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Ultrapar Participacoes SA Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UGP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
UGP stock price ended at $2.93 on Thursday, after losing -2.01%
The Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock price decreased by -2.01% on the last trading day (17 Jul 2025), dropping from 2.97 to 2.93. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.23% , ranging from a day low of $2.91 to a day high of 2.975. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -11.21% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -1.10M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.86M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 5.46M.
UGP Technical Signals
UGP(Ultrapar Participacoes SA Corp) has 4 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-26. The total price change during this trend is -5.18%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of UGP over the last 5 trading days is 6.89M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
UGP Moving Average Analysis
Ultrapar Participacoes SA's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, July 18, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $3.47, and $3.66. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $2.85, and $2.66. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
UGP Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Ultrapar Participacoes SA(UGP) as of 16 Jul 2025 is 22.49%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 3.01 to 2.99. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
6
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
10.755
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-151.946
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
0
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-96
Bullish
6 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.0752
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.37
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.0158
Bearish
Closing price
close < fibonacci_S1
2.93
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 200-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
UGP Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.
Ultrapar Participacoes SA Stock Forecast 2026
UGP Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Ultrapar Participacoes SA(UGP), our algorithm predicts UGP's 1-month price at $5.61, with an 78.65%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.77%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock, as of Sunday, July 13, 2025 , forecasts a 78.65% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SLS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.77%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
UGP
No Data
SLS
Up: 78.65%Similarity: 96.77%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
SLS.O
96.77%
+78.65%
DRIO.O
96.48%
-20.25%
HOG.N
96.46%
-18.78%
UVE.N
96.35%
+67.51%
TBRG.O
96.11%
+1.17%
HVT.N
96.11%
+14.04%
CABO.N
96.09%
+7.94%
PNFP.O
96.03%
-0.32%
SRE.N
95.91%
-3.22%
WLKP.N
95.86%
-6.37%
UGP Seasonality Analysis
Based on UGP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UGP. In contrast,Decemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at61.54%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock in December has the highest probability of a positive return (61.54%), while September has the lowest probability (38.46%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Ultrapar Participacoes SA. (UGP)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock?
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