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UGP Stock Price Prediction

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Intellectia
1-Day-Price-Prediction
-0.13%
1-Week Prediction
+0.8%
1-Month Prediction
+6.5%
2026 Prediction
0%
2030 Prediction
0%

UGP Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on our advanced algorithm, we have generated comprehensive UGP stock price predictions for multiple time horizons. Our models indicate potential volatility in the short term, with specific targets calculated for the 1-day and 1-week outlooks.

Looking further ahead, our analysts have pinpointed significant trend shifts in the longer-term data. We have exclusive projections available for the 1-month forecast, a detailed 2026 projection, and a long-range 2030 forecast that reveals potential upside or downside risks.

Unlock the full analysis to access these precise price targets and see exactly where our models predict UGP is heading. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our premium data-driven insights!

Should I Buy UGP Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UGP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

UGP stock price ended at $4.995 on Thursday, after losing -4.49%-4.49%

The Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock price decreased by -4.49% on the last trading day (12 Mar 2026), dropping from 5.21 to 5.23. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.32%, ranging from a day low of $5.165 to a day high of $5.285. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.38% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -737.61K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.25M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 11.77M.

Technical Signals Summary

UGP(Ultrapar Participacoes SA Corp) has 2 buy signal(s) and 4 sell signal(s) now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2026-03-10. The total price change during this trend is -4.42%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of UGP over the last 5 trading days is 15.66M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
2

Moving Average

Ultrapar Participacoes SA's overall moving average trend leans more Bearish as of Thursday, March 12, 2026, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being Above the SMA_60 signals a strong Bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $5.39, and $5.64. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $4.58, and $4.33. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

Swing

downNegative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

downNegative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

upPositive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

upPositive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

The short sale ratio of Ultrapar Participacoes SA(UGP) as of 10 Mar 2026 is 8.71%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 5.16 to 5.20. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals

2 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.0803

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.0768

Bullish
4 Bearish Signals

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.22

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

--

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 10-day SMA

--

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 20-day SMA

--

Bearish

UGP Seasonality Analysis

Based on UGP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in March is53.85%, suggesting it may be an ideal month to invest in UGP. In contrast, November offers the highest probability of positive returns at 63.64%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

AI Analysis
The radar chart shows that buying UGP stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while February has the lowest probability (46.15%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows UGP's annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.

UGP Stock Forecast

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MonthMin. PriceAvg. PriceMax. PricePotential ROI
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Our AI found 15 other tickers with similar historical breakout patterns. Don't miss the UGP next move.
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In 2026, Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.
Ultrapar Participacoes SA Stock Forecast 2026

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UGP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

Which months have the highest win rate for buying Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) stock in a year?

The radar chart shows that buying Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while February has the lowest probability (46.15%).

How has Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP)'s stock price performed over the past three years?

UGP's stock price fell by -50.11% in 2024,increased by 47.37% in 2025, and went up by 30.76%in 2026.

Which bullish technical signals does UGP have?

Bullish technical signals of UGP include: AO_5_34 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0.

Which bearish technical signals does UGP have?

Bearish technical signals of UGP include: MOM_10 < 0, Price crosses below 5-day SMA, Price crosses below 10-day SMA, Price crosses below 20-day SMA.

Is UGP a buy based on overall technical signals summary?

UGP has 2 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for UGP is Sell. Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of UGP

What is the trend of Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP)'s moving average?

Ultrapar Participacoes SA's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of March 12 2026, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.

What is price prediction for UGP stock next month?

The price prediction chart for Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock, as of March 08 2026, forecasts a 5.25%% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with VRRM stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.01%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

What is price prediction 2026 for Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) Stock?

In , Ultrapar Participacoes SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $NaN. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $NaN and a high of $NaN.

What is price prediction 2030 for Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) Stock?

In , Ultrapar Participacoes SA's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $NaN. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $NaN and a high of $NaN.