UGP Stock Price Prediction

Ultrapar Participacoes SA

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4.170

+0.04(0.969%)1D

Should I Buy Ultrapar Participacoes SA Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UGP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

UGP stock price ended at $4.17 on Friday, after rising 0.97%

The Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock price increased by 0.97% on the last trading day (07 Nov 2025), rising from 4.09 to 4.17. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.33% , ranging from a day low of $4.085 to a day high of 4.18. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 7.75% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -730.27K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.33M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 5.49M.

UGP Technical Signals

UGP(Ultrapar Participacoes SA Corp) has 4 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-10-30. The total price change during this trend is +5.84%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of UGP over the last 5 trading days is 6.92M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

UGP Moving Average Analysis

Ultrapar Participacoes SA's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Sunday, November 9, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $4.22, and $4.36. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $3.77, and $3.64. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

UGP Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Ultrapar Participacoes SA(UGP) as of 07 Nov 2025 is 10.70%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 4.13 to 4.17. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.105

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.3

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.0624

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

4.17

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

97.519

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

208.124

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

100

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-1.961

Bearish

UGP Stock Forecast

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2035

Month	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI
Month	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI
No data

Unlock Free Stock Price Forecast

In 2026, Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.

Ultrapar Participacoes SA Stock Forecast 2026

UGP Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Ultrapar Participacoes SA(UGP), our algorithm predicts UGP's 1-month price at $4.46, with an 14.63%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.78%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock, as of Sunday, October 12, 2025 , forecasts a 14.63% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PTC.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.78%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

UGP

Future prediction

Up: 14.63%

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PTC

Up: 14.63%Similarity: 92.78%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

PTC.O

92.78%

+14.63%

MRTN.O

92.57%

+7.95%

SLNG.O

92.54%

+13.14%

FDS.N

92.30%

+1.91%

NVMI.O

92.24%

+0.93%

APTV.N

92.12%

+4.12%

BRKR.O

92.11%

+11.87%

VIV.N

92.10%

-3.78%

INSG.O

91.99%

+9.48%

HBI.N

91.98%

-4.82%

UGP Seasonality Analysis

Based on UGP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in November is61.54%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UGP. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at61.54%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Ultrapar Participacoes SA (UGP.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (61.54%), while May has the lowest probability (42.86%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Ultrapar Participacoes SA. (UGP)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.