Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market activity, here's a direct analysis of AUR stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock has shown significant volatility, dropping from $7.48 to $7.01 today (-5.59%) with high volume of 18.7M shares. The stock is currently trading at $6.975 in post-market, showing continued weakness (-0.36%).

Recent Performance

• The stock experienced two major moves recently:
• A significant decline (-21.18%) last week amid broader market weakness
• A strong surge (+41.53%) earlier in February after Q4 results

Key Developments Aurora Innovation is approaching a crucial milestone with plans to launch driverless trucks between Dallas and Houston in April 2025. This commercial deployment represents a significant step in validating their technology.

Technical Indicators

• RSI (14): 48.71 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD: Slightly positive with MACD (0.44) above signal line (0.37)
• Moving Averages: Trading below key SMAs, suggesting bearish short-term trend

Fibonacci Levels

• Support: $6.80 (S1), $5.78 (S2)
• Resistance: $10.13 (R1), $11.16 (R2)

Based on the technical analysis and recent developments, selling AUR stock appears more prudent at current levels. The stock shows bearish momentum after recent volatility, and while the upcoming commercial launch is promising, the current market conditions and technical indicators suggest potential further downside.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here is the price prediction for AUR stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

Current Market Position

• Current Price: $6.975 (Post-market on Feb 24, 2025)
• Recent High: $7.48
• Recent Low: $6.80
• Trading Volume: 18.75M shares (above average)

Price Target Analysis The stock is likely to reach $8.50-9.00 by end of 2025 based on:

1. Fibonacci levels indicate strong resistance at $10.13 with support at $6.80
2. Moving averages show upward momentum with SMA200 at $5.07 and SMA50 trending higher
3. RSI at 48.71 suggests room for upside without being overbought

Key Growth Drivers

• Strong Q4 2024 results reported recently
• Analyst consensus target raised to $6.30 with highest target at $10.00
• Growing AI capabilities and automotive technology partnerships

Risk Factors

• Recent market volatility affecting growth stocks
• Competition in autonomous driving sector
• Macro economic headwinds

The most probable scenario (60% probability) is AUR reaching $8.50-9.00 by end of 2025, driven by continued execution on autonomous technology development and strategic partnerships. A bearish case (25% probability) could see the stock test support at $6.80, while a bullish breakout (15% probability) could push it above $10.00.

The S1 support level for AUR Stock is $6.77 ,The R1 resistant level for AUR Stock is $10.1.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of AUR Stock was $7.07.

The target price for AUR Stock according to analyst rating is 7.50, with the highest price target at 10.00 and the lowest at 5.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on AUR Stock overall.

The market cap of AUR is $12.2B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of whether AUR is overvalued:

Aurora Innovation (AUR) appears significantly overvalued at current levels, with the stock showing concerning technical and fundamental signals.

The company reported zero revenue in 2023 compared to $68M in 2022, while continuing to generate substantial net losses (-$796M in 2023).

Technical indicators suggest overbought conditions with RSI-14 at 48.71 and the stock trading well above its key moving averages (SMA200 at $5.07 vs. current price around $7).

The stock has experienced extreme volatility, surging 41.53% after Q4 results before dropping 21.18% last week amid broader market weakness.

With no clear path to profitability and a market valuation that appears disconnected from fundamentals, the current price level around $7 seems unsustainable given the company's early commercial stage and significant execution risks.

Aurora Innovation, Inc. develops the Aurora Driver, which is designed as a platform to adapt and interoperate amongst a multitude of vehicle types and applications. The Company has integrated the Aurora Driver into numerous different vehicle platforms designed to meet its requirements: from passenger vehicles to light commercial vehicles to Class 8 trucks. By creating a common driver platform for multiple vehicle types and use cases. Its second core market focuses on passenger mobility, initially targeting the ride hailing space with Aurora Connect, its driverless ride hailing subscription service. The Aurora Driver will be delivered as a service via Aurora Horizon, its driverless trucking subscription service, and Aurora Connect, its driverless ride hailing subscription service. It also operates its self-driving test vehicle fleet in diverse weather and operating environments, across the Bay Area, Pittsburgh and Texas, allowing it to create a more robust self-driving system.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for Aurora Innovation (AUR) stock by 2030:

Technical Analysis & Current Position:

The stock is currently trading at $7.01, showing significant volatility in recent months with a strong upward momentum since late 2024. The RSI(14) at 48.71 indicates a neutral position, while the MACD shows positive momentum.

2030 Price Target Analysis:

Based on multiple sources and analysis:

• Base Case: $27.81 (Expected scenario)
• Bull Case: $32.50
• Bear Case: $16.03

The base case target of $27.81 by 2030 represents a 296.66% increase from current levels, driven by:

1. Autonomous Vehicle Market Growth: Aurora's continued success in autonomous trucking technology, with recent achievements in fault management systems and zero-intervention routes

2. Institutional Backing: Strong institutional ownership including T. Rowe Price, Vanguard, and Morgan Stanley demonstrates confidence in long-term prospects

3. Industry Transformation: The autonomous driving sector is expected to see significant growth through 2030, supported by:

   • Increasing driver shortages
   • Technology maturation
   • Regulatory support

Key Growth Drivers:

• Successful deployment of Aurora Driver technology
• Expansion of autonomous trucking routes
• Strategic partnerships with major logistics companies
• Technology advancement in fault management systems

The price target is supported by the company's strong technical position and institutional backing, though investors should note that autonomous vehicle stocks can be highly volatile.

AUR has a total of 1800 employees.