VLRS

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Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Line

Candle

YTD

High

3.710

Open

3.590

VWAP

3.63

Vol

1.64M

Mkt Cap

332.29M

Low

3.4902

Amount

5.96M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

3.71

Total Shares

115.15M

68.66B

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

0.14

Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV is a Mexico-based company engaged in the airline passenger transportation sector. The Company operates as an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC). Its activities are divided into two geographical regions: Mexico (national operations), as well as the Unites States and Central America (international operations). The Company offers direct, point-to-point flights. The Company serves through secondary, lower cost airports and provides a single class of service. Its fleet includes a number of Airbus aircrafts, such as A319, A320 and A321. The Company operates through Comercializadora Volaris SA de CV, Servicios Corporativos Volaris SA de CV and Servicios Operativos Terrestres Volaris SA de CV, among others.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q2

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q4

662.24M

-8.7%

-0.824

-1015.56%

795.14M

-1.92%

-0.121

-137.92%

797.30M

-3.92%

0.090

-76.84%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. (VLRS) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 2.02% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -57.99%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+2.02%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+157.28%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-57.99%

In Past 3 Month

6 Analyst Rating

232.34% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast VLRS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VLRS is 12.23 USD with a low forecast of 11.00 USD and a high forecast of 14.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

232.34% Upside

Current: 3.680

Low

11.00

Averages

12.23

High

14.00

232.34% Upside

Current: 3.680

Low

11.00

Averages

12.23

High

14.00

Barclays

Pablo Monsivais

Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$12 → $4.5

2025-04-29

New

Reason

Barclays

Pablo Monsivais

Price Target

$12 → $4.5

2025-04-29

New

Downgrades

Buy

Hold

Reason

Barclays analyst Pablo Monsivais downgraded Volaris to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $4.50, down from $12. The firm says a weaker Mexico trans-border visual flight rules market is driving its cautious stance on the shares. U.S. immigration policy is impacting travel demand, and the company is facing "navigating in uncharted waters," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays believes that if the weakness persists, Volaris' results "may be on the softer side this year."

JP Morgan

Fernando Abdalla

Buy

Maintains

$15 → $13

2025-04-21

Reason

JP Morgan

Fernando Abdalla

Price Target

$15 → $13

2025-04-21

Maintains

Buy

Reason

Citigroup

Stephen Trent

Strong Buy

Maintains

$13 → $11

2025-03-05

Reason

Citigroup

Stephen Trent

Price Target

$13 → $11

2025-03-05

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

Citi lowered the firm's price target on Volaris to $11 from $13 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's 2025 margin guidance is below what it reported last year, the analyst tells investors in a research note. However, the firm says Volaris' 2025 high-single-digit EBIT margin outlook is well above levels at which its U.S.-based discount peers should come in. Citi finds it "hard to understand why the market appears" to be viewing Volaris "through the lens of a distressed carrier."

UBS

Alberto Valerio

Strong Buy

Maintains

$10 → $14

2025-01-07

Reason

UBS

Alberto Valerio

Price Target

$10 → $14

2025-01-07

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

JP Morgan

Fernando Abdalla

Buy

Maintains

$17 → $17

2024-11-12

Reason

JP Morgan

Fernando Abdalla

Price Target

$17 → $17

2024-11-12

Maintains

Buy

Reason

Barclays

Pablo Monsivais

Buy

Maintains

$12

2024-10-24

Reason

Barclays

Pablo Monsivais

Price Target

$12

2024-10-24

Maintains

Buy

Reason

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV (VLRS.N) is 1.79, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 246.64. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

246.64

Current PE

1.79

Overvalued PE

1299.71

Undervalued PE

-806.44

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

5.14

Current EV/EBITDA

3.75

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

7.17

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

3.12

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average PS

0.50

Current PS

0.13

Overvalued PS

0.76

Undervalued PS

0.25