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  3. ZTO
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ZTO

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0.000(0.000%)
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Low
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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P/S(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q2
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q4
12.01B
+11.96%
2.904
-14.08%
12.22B
+14.5%
2.479
-14.8%
14.43B
+11.67%
2.781
-14.16%
Estimates Revision
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-13.86%
In Past 3 Month
7 Analyst Rating
up Image0
Wall Street analysts forecast ZTO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZTO is 21.23 USD with a low forecast of 19.00 USD and a high forecast of 24.00  USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
up Image0
Current: 17.210
sliders
Low
19.00
Averages
21.23
High
24.00
up Image0
Current: 17.210
sliders
Low
19.00
Averages
21.23
High
24.00
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$21
2025-05-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$21
2025-05-29
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan upgraded ZTO Express to Overweight from Neutral with a $21 price target.
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$23 -> $21
2025-05-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$23 -> $21
2025-05-29
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan upgraded ZTO Express to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $21, down from $23. As the leading Tongda player, ZTO is positioned to "remain resilient" and benefit from industry consolidation in the second half of 2025, the analyst tells investors in a research note. In addition, the Hang Seng Index has confirmed the inclusion of ZTO Express as a blue-chip stock, effective after market close on June 6, which will increase liquidity and improve investor sentiment, contends JPMorgan. The firm sees an improved risk/reward at current share levels.
Citi
Buy
downgrade
2025-05-22
Reason
Citi
Price Target
2025-05-22
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $22.60 from $26.40 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Amid more intense than expected price competition, product structure change and volume incentives may continue to impact ZTO's selling prices, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says that while ZTO's April faced some challenge in volume growth, recent May parcel volume growth was around 20% year-over-year.
BofA
Fan Tso
Buy
to
Neutral
downgrade
$24 -> $19
2025-05-22
Reason
BofA
Fan Tso
Price Target
$24 -> $19
2025-05-22
downgrade
Buy
to
Neutral
Reason
BofA analyst Fan Tso downgraded ZTO Express to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $19, down from $24, after an "uninspiring" Q1 report. The firm sees limited catalysts ahead as price competition looks stiffer than expected, the analyst tells investors.
HSBC
Parash Jain
Hold
to
Strong Buy
Upgrades
$22
2025-04-14
Reason
HSBC
Parash Jain
Price Target
$22
2025-04-14
Upgrades
Hold
to
Strong Buy
Reason
HSBC upgraded ZTO Express to Buy from Hold with a $22 price target.
JP Morgan
Lin Chen
Buy
to
Hold
Downgrades
$25 → $23
2025-03-20
Reason
JP Morgan
Lin Chen
Price Target
$25 → $23
2025-03-20
Downgrades
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
JPMorgan downgraded ZTO Express to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $23, down from $25. The firm cites the recent share price rebound for the downgrade. While ZTO's fiscal 2024 results were a beat, the company's strategic shift to focus more on volume growth is creating challenges by potentially diluting margins and possibly risking its market proposition, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan now sees a balanced risk/reward and believes ZTO's commitment to shareholder returns through repurchase plans and dividends limits absolute downside.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO.N) is 11.94, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 20.05. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 's fair value, click here.
    Forward PE
    Forward EV/EBITDA
    Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Undervalued
5Y Average PE
20.05
Current PE
11.94
Overvalued PE
28.07
Undervalued PE
12.04

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
11.91
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
16.74
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
7.08

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
3.85
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
5.10
Undervalued PS
2.61

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

    Insider
    Hedge Fund
    Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought

ZTO News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-05-27
08:32:47
Alibaba considering options to reduce ZTO Express stake, Bloomberg reports
select
link
2025-05-20 (ET)
2025-05-20
18:06:45
ZTO Express reaffirms FY25 parcel volume view 40.8B-42.2B
select
2025-05-20
18:05:37
ZTO Express reports Q1 EPS RMB2.71 vs. RMB2.68 last year
select
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events

News

Preview
1.0
06-17Newsfilter
ZTO Express Announces Results of Annual General Meeting

  • Shareholder Meeting Outcomes: ZTO Express held its annual general meeting in Hong Kong, where shareholders approved several resolutions including the re-election of directors, the appointment of auditors, and mandates for share issuance and repurchase.

  • Company Overview: ZTO Express is a leading express delivery company in China, leveraging a scalable network partner model to support e-commerce growth, while managing critical transportation and sorting operations.

Preview
6.0
05-30NASDAQ.COM
JP Morgan Upgrades ZTO Express (ZTO)

  • JP Morgan Upgrade: On May 29, 2025, JP Morgan upgraded ZTO Express's outlook from Neutral to Overweight, with an average one-year price target suggesting a potential increase of 51.56% from its current price of $17.86/share.

  • Institutional Holdings: There has been a decrease in institutional ownership in ZTO Express by 13.77% over the last quarter, with notable reductions from firms like Goldman Sachs and Platinum Investment Management, while some firms like Harding Loevner increased their allocations slightly.

Preview
4.0
05-29Benzinga
JP Morgan Upgrades ZTO Express (Cayman) to Overweight, Lowers Price Target to $21

  • Real-time Trading Intelligence: Benzinga Pro offers the fastest and most accurate stock market news alerts to help traders succeed in their investments.

  • Community of Traders: Over 10,000 serious traders are part of the Benzinga Pro community, benefiting from exclusive stories and insights generated by Benzinga reporters.

Sign Up For More News

People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) stock price today?

The current price of ZTO is 17.21 USD — it has increased 0.88 % in the last trading day.

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s business?

ZTO Express Cayman Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services. The Company mainly operates within the domestic market.

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What is the price predicton of ZTO Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast ZTO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZTO is 21.23 USD with a low forecast of 19.00 USD and a high forecast of 24.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 1.50B USD, increased 8.02 % YoY.

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.33 USD, increased 37.50 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising No Change the revenue expectations for ZTO for , with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by % over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -13.86%.
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How many employees does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO). have?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) has 24477 emplpoyees as of June 23 2025.

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) market cap?

Today ZTO has the market capitalization of 13.84B USD.

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