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ZTO Overview

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Intellectia

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High
25.350
Open
25.190
VWAP
24.72
Vol
2.53M
Mkt Cap
19.46B
Low
24.350
Amount
62.58M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
8.95
Total Shares
795.53M
EV
17.08B
EV/OCF(TTM)
10.23
P/S(TTM)
2.89
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.
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Events Timeline

(ET)
2026-02-04
08:30:00
ZTO Express Proposes Offering of $1.5B in Convertible Notes
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2026-02-04
05:20:00
Company Sees FY25 Gross Profit of RMB 12.15B to RMB 12.55B
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2025-11-19 (ET)
2025-11-19
17:06:49
ZTO Express announces Q3 adjusted EPS of RMB3.06, surpassing consensus estimate of RMB2.51
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2025-08-19 (ET)
2025-08-19
18:20:28
ZTO Express Revises FY25 Parcel Volume Forecast Downward to 38.8B-40.1B from Previous Estimate of 40.8B-42.2B
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News

seekingalpha
9.5
03-18seekingalpha
ZTO Express Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings with Strategic Focus
  • Parcel Volume Growth: ZTO Express reported a parcel volume of 10.56 billion in Q4 2025, marking a 9.2% year-over-year increase, with a 0.8 percentage point market share gain, underscoring the company's leadership and profitability in the industry.
  • Strong Financial Performance: Total revenue rose 12.3% to RMB 14.5 billion in Q4, with annual revenue reaching RMB 49.1 billion, and adjusted net income at RMB 2.7 billion, reflecting success in optimizing product mix and enhancing brand recognition.
  • Shareholder Return Policy: ZTO announced a new shareholder return policy aiming for no less than 50% of adjusted net income through dividends and buybacks by 2026, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder value.
  • Positive Future Outlook: The company anticipates parcel volume growth of 10% to 13% in 2026, exceeding the industry estimate of 8%, indicating ZTO's continued growth momentum and commitment to high-quality development amid market transitions.
Yahoo Finance
9.5
03-18Yahoo Finance
ZTO Express Q4 2025 Earnings Report Analysis
  • Parcel Volume Growth: ZTO Express achieved a parcel volume of 10.56 billion in Q4 2025, marking a 9.2% year-over-year increase, while also increasing its market share by 0.8 percentage points, indicating its strong position in a competitive delivery market.
  • Revenue and Profit: The adjusted net income stood at 2.69 billion RMB, yet income from operations fell by 7.6% year-over-year, reflecting pressure on profitability due to rising costs, with gross profit margin declining by 6 percentage points for the full year 2025, highlighting market challenges.
  • Shareholder Return Plan: ZTO announced a new $1.5 billion share buyback program and committed to returning at least 50% of adjusted net income to shareholders through dividends and buybacks starting in 2026, aimed at boosting investor confidence and enhancing shareholder value.
  • Future Outlook: The company anticipates an industry growth of 8% for 2026, with ZTO targeting a growth rate of 10-13%, focusing on integrating service quality and market share to further solidify its competitive advantage in the express delivery sector.
PRnewswire
9.5
03-17PRnewswire
ZTO Express Reports RMB 9.5 Billion Net Income for FY 2025
  • Strong Financial Performance: ZTO Express reported an adjusted net income of RMB 9.5 billion (approximately $0.39 per share) for FY 2025, reflecting a 10.1% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's robust performance and profitability in the express delivery sector.
  • Shareholder Return Plan: The company announced a new $1.5 billion share repurchase program combined with cash dividends, ensuring that at least 50% of adjusted net income is allocated for shareholder returns, highlighting its commitment to shareholder interests.
  • Significant Parcel Volume Growth: In 2025, parcel volume surged to 10.6 billion, marking a 13.3% year-over-year increase, which outpaced the industry average and indicates the company's sustained competitive edge in the market.
  • Operational Efficiency Improvement: The average daily non-retail parcel volume reached 9.8 million in Q4, up 38% year-over-year, enhancing customer satisfaction and market share through optimized operations and improved service quality.
seekingalpha
9.5
03-17seekingalpha
ZTO Express Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
  • Strong Earnings Report: ZTO Express reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.47, beating market expectations by $0.01, indicating the company's robust profitability in a competitive express delivery market.
  • Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $2.08 billion, a 17.5% year-over-year increase, surpassing expectations by $30 million, reflecting strong market demand and ongoing business expansion.
  • Future Outlook: Based on current market and operating conditions, ZTO expects parcel volume to increase by 10% to 13% year-over-year in 2026, projecting a parcel volume range of 42.37 billion to 43.52 billion, demonstrating confidence in future growth.
  • Financing Situation: ZTO Express raised $1.5 billion through convertible senior notes, enhancing its financial flexibility and providing funding support for future expansion and investments.
seekingalpha
9.5
03-16seekingalpha
ZTO Express Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 17
  • Earnings Announcement Schedule: ZTO Express is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on March 17 after market close, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.46, reflecting a 4.5% year-over-year increase, and revenue expected to reach $2.06 billion, up 16.4% year-over-year, indicating the company's ongoing growth potential.
  • Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, ZTO has surpassed EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, demonstrating a level of stability and reliability in its financial performance that could bolster investor confidence.
  • Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, ZTO's EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward revision, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, which may positively impact its stock price.
  • Financing Activity Overview: ZTO successfully raised $1.5 billion through convertible senior notes, a move that not only strengthens the company's capital structure but also provides funding for future expansion and investments, further solidifying its market position.
PRnewswire
9.5
02-27PRnewswire
ZTO Express to Release Q4 and Annual Financial Results
  • Earnings Release Schedule: ZTO Express will announce its unaudited financial results for Q4 and the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, after the U.S. market closes on March 17, 2026, which is expected to provide critical performance insights for investors.
  • Conference Call Timing: The management team will host an earnings conference call at 8:30 PM U.S. Eastern Time on March 17, 2026, translating to 8:30 AM Beijing Time on March 18, 2026, allowing for a comprehensive discussion of the financial results and investor Q&A.
  • Dial-in Information: The call-in details have been shared, including the U.S./Canada number at 1-888-317-6003 and Hong Kong at 800-963976, ensuring that investors can easily join the call and receive the latest updates.
  • Webcast and Replay Availability: The conference will be available via live and archived webcast on the company's investor relations website, with replay access through specific numbers, enhancing transparency and accessibility for investors seeking further insights.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO.N) is 12.75, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 17.07. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's fair value, Click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PE
17.07
Current PE
12.75
Overvalued PE
23.13
Undervalued PE
11.02

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
9.99
Current EV/EBITDA
7.04
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
13.34
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
6.64

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PS
3.30
Current PS
2.26
Overvalued PS
4.18
Undervalued PS
2.42

Financials

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Whales Holding ZTO

A
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Holding
ZTO
+13.00%
3M Return
E
Essence Fund Management Co., Ltd
Holding
ZTO
+0.15%
3M Return
R
Ruiyuan Fund Management Company, LTD
Holding
ZTO
-1.53%
3M Return
C
CSOP Asset Management Limited
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ZTO
-12.34%
3M Return
S
Shanghai Orient Securities Asset Management Co., Ltd.
Holding
ZTO
-12.48%
3M Return

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) stock price today?

The current price of ZTO is 24.46 USD — it has decreased -3.21

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s business?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.

What is the price predicton of ZTO Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast ZTO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZTO is USD with a low forecast of USD and a high forecast of USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 2.05B USD, increased 13.88

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.47 USD, increased 17.50

How many employees does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO). have?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) has 24477 emplpoyees as of March 22 2026.

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) market cap?

Today ZTO has the market capitalization of 19.46B USD.