ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$
18.900
Line
|
Candle
1D
5D
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
High
19.165
Open
18.920
VWAP
18.95
Vol
1.18M
Mkt Cap
15.20B
Low
18.870
Amount
22.34M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
7.14
Total Shares
806.67M
EV
13.97B
EV/OCF(TTM)
9.64
P/S(TTM)
2.41
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.
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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2026Q1
FY2025Q4
FY2025Q3
12.39B
+13.73%
3.061
+12.95%
13.95B
+7.97%
2.967
-8.43%
11.91B
+11.59%
2.509
-13.78%
Estimates Revision
Stock Price
Go Down
-5.26%
In Past 3 Month
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ZTO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZTO is 23.00 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 25.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 18.900
Low
20.00
Averages
23.00
High
25.00
Current: 18.900
Low
20.00
Averages
23.00
High
25.00
BofA
Fan Tso
Neutral
downgrade
$22 -> $20
2025-09-08
Reason
BofA
Fan Tso
Price Target
$22 -> $20
2025-09-08
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
BofA analyst Fan Tso lowered the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $20 from $22 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after weekly data from China's Ministry of Transport suggested that express delivery volume growth slowed to about 10% year-over-year in August. The firm likes ZTO for its "best-in-class" unit net profit, but sees a lack of near-term consolidation opportunities in the market, the analyst noted.
BofA
Neutral
maintain
$19 -> $22
2025-08-20
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$19 -> $22
2025-08-20
maintain
Neutral
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $22 from $19 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Following ZTO's Q2 report, the firm lowers its FY25 core EPS forecast by 7%, but lifts its FY26-27 core EPS views by 1%-3% on higher ASP assumed and rolls its valuation basis to FY26.
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
downgrade
2025-07-02
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
2025-07-02
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $24.20 from $24.60 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm expects ZTO's "cost" of market share gain to gradually reduce in the coming quarters, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$21
2025-05-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$21
2025-05-29
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan upgraded ZTO Express to Overweight from Neutral with a $21 price target.
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$23 -> $21
2025-05-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$23 -> $21
2025-05-29
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
Citi
Buy
downgrade
2025-05-22
Reason
Citi
Price Target
2025-05-22
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $22.60 from $26.40 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Amid more intense than expected price competition, product structure change and volume incentives may continue to impact ZTO's selling prices, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says that while ZTO's April faced some challenge in volume growth, recent May parcel volume growth was around 20% year-over-year.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO.N) is 11.83, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.48. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average PE
18.48
Current PE
11.83
Overvalued PE
25.79
Undervalued PE
11.16
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
10.88
Current EV/EBITDA
6.91
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
15.05
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
6.70
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average PS
4.07
Current PS
134.61
Overvalued PS
12.42
Undervalued PS
-4.28
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+10.45%
1.64B
Total Revenue
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-23.83%
333.95M
Operating Profit
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-25.65%
267.97M
Net Income after Tax
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-25.58%
0.32
EPS - Diluted
FY2025Q2
N/A
Free Cash Flow
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-26.25%
24.89
Gross Profit Margin - %
FY2025Q2
N/A
FCF Margin - %
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-31.88%
16.60
Net Margin - %
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-7.53%
11.06
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
Volume
0
3-6
Months
0.0
Volume
0
6-9
Months
59.7K
Volume
1
0-12
Months
2.6M
Volume
1
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
Volume
Months
3-6
0
0.0
Volume
Months
6-9
2
408.5K
Volume
Months
0-12
2
1.2M
Volume
Months
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
8.0K
USD
1
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
ZTO News & Events
Events Timeline
2025-08-19 (ET)
2025-08-19
18:20:28
ZTO Express Revises FY25 Parcel Volume Forecast Downward to 38.8B-40.1B from Previous Estimate of 40.8B-42.2B
2025-08-19
18:18:52
ZTO Express announces Q2 adjusted ADS of RMB2.48, down from RMB3.38 a year ago
2025-05-27 (ET)
2025-05-27
08:32:47
Alibaba considering options to reduce ZTO Express stake, Bloomberg reports
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events
News
9.5
10-24NewsfilterZTO Scheduled to Release Q3 Financial Results for 2025 on November 19, 2025, Eastern Time
8.0
09-26NASDAQ.COMUpcoming Ex-Dividend Dates for Curbline Properties, ZTO Express, and FirstService
4.0
08-30NASDAQ.COMDaily Upgrade Report for Validea's Benjamin Graham Strategy - August 30, 2025
Sign Up For More News
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FAQ
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) stock price today?
The current price of ZTO is 18.9 USD — it has increased 0.05 % in the last trading day.
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s business?
What is the price predicton of ZTO Stock?
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s revenue for the last quarter?
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?
What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s fundamentals?
How many employees does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO). have?