Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of ZTO stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock shows a clear upward momentum with recent price action forming higher lows and higher highs. ZTO has risen from around $15.50 in early February to current levels around $18.60, representing a gain of approximately 20% in just a few weeks.

Key Technical Indicators

• RSI (14) at 64.81 indicates bullish momentum without being overbought
• MACD is positive with bullish crossover (MACD: 0.35, Signal: 0.16)
• Stock is trading above both 5-day and 10-day moving averages, confirming short-term uptrend

Recent News Impact According to recent reports, ZTO Express revised its annual guidance and cited challenges in the operating environment, including weaker consumer spending. However, the company still expects:

• 11.6%-12.3% year-over-year parcel volume growth
• 2.4% YoY ASP growth
• Continued cost efficiencies

Current Market Position The stock is currently trading near $18.60, showing strong momentum above key support levels. The Bollinger Band analysis (BBP: 0.86) suggests the stock is trading in the upper range but not yet extremely overbought.

Recommendation Based on the technical strength and fundamental outlook, ZTO appears positioned for continued upside despite recent guidance adjustments. The stock's current momentum and positioning above key moving averages suggest maintaining existing positions or initiating new ones could be favorable at current levels.

Based on technical analysis and market sentiment, ZTO Express stock is projected to reach $24-25 by end of 2025, driven by strong momentum indicators (RSI at 64.81 and positive MACD) and continued growth in China's express delivery market. The stock shows solid support at the 200-day moving average of $21.05, with Fibonacci resistance levels suggesting potential upside to $22.55 in the near term before reaching the year-end target. According to Wall Street analysts' broader market outlook, the positive sentiment for Asian logistics stocks in 2025 further supports this bullish price target for ZTO.

The S1 support level for ZTO Stock is $19.43 ,The R1 resistant level for ZTO Stock is $20.92.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of ZTO Stock was $19.67.

The target price for ZTO Stock according to analyst rating is 22.50, with the highest price target at 25.00 and the lowest at 20.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on ZTO Stock overall.

The market cap of ZTO is $15.9B.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, ZTO Express appears fairly valued at current levels. The company's valuation metrics have improved significantly from 2022 to 2023, with P/E dropping from 21.49 to 14.45 and EV/EBITDA decreasing from 13.44 to 9.15, suggesting better value. Recent news indicates challenges with ZTO lowering its growth forecast due to weaker consumer spending and shifts in parcel mix, which has impacted the stock negatively. The company's fundamentals remain solid with improving margins (net margin increased from 18.82% to 22.79%) and healthy balance sheet metrics, though current technical indicators showing RSI at 64.81 suggest the stock is approaching overbought territory. The ongoing price war in China's express delivery industry presents a significant headwind that could pressure margins and growth in the near term.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a China-based company principally involved in the provision of express delivery services through its nationwide network as well as other value-added logistics services. Its express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and line-haul transportation. The Company directly provides express delivery services to certain enterprise customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, in connection with the delivery of their products to end consumers. The Company conducts its businesses in domestic and overseas markets.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for ZTO Express (ZTO) by 2030:

ZTO stock is projected to reach $32-35 by 2030, representing a 60-75% upside from current levels around $19.84, driven by China's expanding e-commerce market despite near-term competitive pressures. The recent price war in China's express delivery industry has created temporary headwinds, but ZTO's market leadership position and operational efficiency should enable long-term growth recovery.

Recent analyst downgrades and price target cuts suggest short-term challenges, but the company's infrastructure investments and automation initiatives position it well for the next 5-year growth cycle in Chinese logistics.

ZTO has a total of 23554 employees.