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  3. ZTO
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ZTO

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
High
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Open
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VWAP
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Vol
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Mkt Cap
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Low
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Total Shares
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EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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P/S(TTM)
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Financial AI Agent
Financial AI Agent

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
14.15B
+9.52%
3.139
-3.12%
11.98B
+9.98%
3.110
+14.74%
13.10B
+10.68%
2.879
+16.08%
Estimates Revision
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+14.56%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast ZTO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZTO is 22.33 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 23.80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ZTO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZTO is 22.33 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 23.80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 21.010
sliders
Low
20.00
Averages
22.33
High
23.80
Current: 21.010
sliders
Low
20.00
Averages
22.33
High
23.80
BofA
Fan Tso
Neutral
downgrade
$22 -> $20
2025-09-08
Reason
BofA
Fan Tso
Price Target
$22 -> $20
2025-09-08
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
BofA analyst Fan Tso lowered the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $20 from $22 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after weekly data from China's Ministry of Transport suggested that express delivery volume growth slowed to about 10% year-over-year in August. The firm likes ZTO for its "best-in-class" unit net profit, but sees a lack of near-term consolidation opportunities in the market, the analyst noted.
BofA
Neutral
maintain
$19 -> $22
2025-08-20
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$19 -> $22
2025-08-20
maintain
Neutral
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $22 from $19 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Following ZTO's Q2 report, the firm lowers its FY25 core EPS forecast by 7%, but lifts its FY26-27 core EPS views by 1%-3% on higher ASP assumed and rolls its valuation basis to FY26.
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
downgrade
2025-07-02
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
2025-07-02
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $24.20 from $24.60 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm expects ZTO's "cost" of market share gain to gradually reduce in the coming quarters, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$21
2025-05-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$21
2025-05-29
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan upgraded ZTO Express to Overweight from Neutral with a $21 price target.
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$23 -> $21
2025-05-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$23 -> $21
2025-05-29
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
Citi
Buy
downgrade
2025-05-22
Reason
Citi
Price Target
2025-05-22
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on ZTO Express to $22.60 from $26.40 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Amid more intense than expected price competition, product structure change and volume incentives may continue to impact ZTO's selling prices, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says that while ZTO's April faced some challenge in volume growth, recent May parcel volume growth was around 20% year-over-year.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO.N) is 12.40, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.13. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
18.13
Current PE
12.40
Overvalued PE
25.32
Undervalued PE
10.95

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
10.62
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
14.68
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
6.57

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
3.46
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
4.50
Undervalued PS
2.43
AI Stock Picker
AI Stock Picker

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Intellectia AI SwingMax
Intellectia AI SwingMax

ZTO News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-19
17:06:49
ZTO Express announces Q3 adjusted EPS of RMB3.06, surpassing consensus estimate of RMB2.51
select
2025-08-19 (ET)
2025-08-19
18:20:28
ZTO Express Revises FY25 Parcel Volume Forecast Downward to 38.8B-40.1B from Previous Estimate of 40.8B-42.2B
select
2025-08-19
18:18:52
ZTO Express announces Q2 adjusted ADS of RMB2.48, down from RMB3.38 a year ago
select
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events

News

[object Object]
Preview
6.5
12-04NASDAQ.COM
Top Income Stocks to Consider Purchasing on December 4

  • ZTO Express Overview: ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has a Zacks Rank of #1, with a 5.9% increase in the current year earnings estimate and a dividend yield of 2.8%, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.0%.

  • Bunge Global Overview: Bunge Global SA also holds a Zacks Rank of #1, with a 4.6% increase in its current year earnings estimate and a dividend yield of 2.9%, again surpassing the industry average of 0.0%.

  • Investment Recommendations: Zacks Investment Research has highlighted these two stocks as strong income opportunities, along with a list of top-ranked stocks and expert recommendations for potential high returns.

  • Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.

[object Object]
Preview
9.5
11-21NASDAQ.COM
ZTO Express Reports Year-over-Year Increase in Q3 Earnings, Lowers 2025 Parcel Volume Forecast

  • ZTO Express Earnings and Guidance: ZTO Express reported third-quarter 2025 earnings of 43 cents per share and total revenues of $1.66 billion, but lowered its parcel volume guidance for 2025 to 38.2-38.7 billion due to current market conditions.

  • Revenue Breakdown: The core express delivery business saw an 11.6% year-over-year revenue increase, while freight forwarding services declined by 7.4%. Gross profit decreased by 11.4%, and total operating expenses rose to RMB550.9 million.

  • Delta Air Lines Performance: Delta Air Lines reported third-quarter 2025 earnings of $1.71 per share, exceeding estimates, with revenues of $16.67 billion, reflecting a 6.4% year-over-year increase driven by low fuel costs and improved air-travel demand.

  • United Airlines Mixed Results: United Airlines reported adjusted earnings of $2.78 per share, beating estimates, but revenues of $15.2 billion fell short of expectations despite a 2.6% year-over-year increase, with passenger revenues rising by 1.9%.

[object Object]
Preview
6.5
11-21NASDAQ.COM
5 High ROE Stocks to Consider for Profits Amid Market Volatility

  • Market Volatility and AI Concerns: The equity market experienced significant volatility, influenced by NVIDIA's strong quarterly performance and concerns over the valuation of AI firms, leading to expectations of a market correction.

  • Federal Reserve Rate Cut Speculations: Investors are uncertain about potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, especially after a stronger-than-expected jobs report, which has led to a cautious approach in the market.

  • Importance of Return on Equity (ROE): ROE is highlighted as a crucial metric for investors to identify financially healthy companies, distinguishing between profit-generating firms and those that are not effectively utilizing their capital.

  • Highlighted Stocks with High ROE: Stocks such as TE Connectivity, ZTO Express, Corning, Assurant, and VICI Properties are noted for their high ROE and potential for strong returns, making them attractive options for investors.

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People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) stock price today?

The current price of ZTO is 21.01 USD — it has increased 1.74 % in the last trading day.

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s business?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a holding company that provides express delivery services and other value-added logistics services through a nationwide network. The express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and route transportation. The Company provides express delivery services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers. The Company also provides freight forwarding services.

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What is the price predicton of ZTO Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast ZTO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZTO is 22.33 USD with a low forecast of 20.00 USD and a high forecast of 23.80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s revenue for the last quarter?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 1.66B USD, increased 11.23 % YoY.

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.43 USD, increased 7.50 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising No Change the revenue expectations for ZTO for , with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by % over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 14.56%.
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How many employees does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO). have?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) has 24477 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) market cap?

Today ZTO has the market capitalization of 16.69B USD.

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