ZTO Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how ZTO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ZTO sees a -2.01% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.50% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.30%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
ZTO Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.49B
18.95%
0.61%
Gross Margin
31.24%
4.76%
-7.44%
Operating Margin
25.96%
-2.77%
-12.30%
Net Margin
22.29%
-13.90%
-8.54%
EPS
0.40
2.56%
-6.98%
No Data Available
ZTO Earnings Analysis
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share Corporation (ZTO.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Parcel Volume Growth: Total parcel volume reached 8.72 billion, representing a 15.9% year-over-year growth.
Adjusted Net Profit Achievement: Achieved adjusted net profit of CNY 2.39 billion, maintaining profitability ahead of peers.
Revenue Increase Highlights Performance: Total revenue increased 17.6% to CNY 10.7 billion, reflecting strong business performance.
Gross Profit Surge: Gross profit increased 23.2% to CNY 3.3 billion, with gross profit margin rising 1.4 points to 31.2%.
Operating Cash Flow Increase: Operating cash flow was CNY 3.1 billion for the quarter, an increase of 5.9%.
Negative
Minimal Profit Growth: Adjusted net profit increased only 2% to CNY 2.39 billion, indicating minimal growth despite a significant increase in parcel volume.
Rising Operational Costs: Total cost of revenue rose by 15.2% to CNY 7.3 billion, which outpaced revenue growth and suggests rising operational costs.
Parcel Volume Guidance Revision: The company revised its annual parcel volume guidance down to a range of 333 billion to 339 billion, reflecting a slowdown in expected growth.
Rising Income Tax Expenses: Income tax expenses surged to CNY 555 million from CNY 271 million year-over-year, indicating increased tax liabilities that could impact net income.
E-commerce Package Challenges: The increasing proportion of low-value e-commerce packages is expected to persist, posing challenges to overall corporate strategy and profitability.
ZTO FAQs
How does ZTO typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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ZTO Earning Call Sentiment
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
ZTO.N
0.72%Positive
The earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong financial performance, including a 17.6% revenue increase and a 23.2% gross profit growth. The volume growth guidance and increased gross profit margin are favorable. Despite competitive and regulatory challenges, the optimistic guidance and strategic focus on quality and service improvement support a positive sentiment. The Q&A section reveals a systematic approach to shareholder returns, but lacks clarity on execution timelines. Overall, the positive financial metrics and strategic plans outweigh potential risks, suggesting a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
