Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the technical and fundamental analysis of TEAM stock, here's a concise assessment:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing bearish signals with RSI at 45.84 and MACD turning negative (-3.79). The stock is trading below its 5-day moving average of $303.35, suggesting short-term weakness.

Fundamental Analysis

• Revenue growth has been decelerating, with projected growth of 16.6% for FY2025 compared to previous years' 20%+ growth rates
• Increased R&D expenses (up 33.9% YoY) are pressuring margins
• Customer growth has slowed to 14.7% CAGR between FY2020-2024, down from 30% CAGR in FY2016-2020

Recent Insider Activity

• CEO Michael Cannon-Brookes sold 50 shares on Feb 20, 2025
• Institutional investors: 415 increased positions while 402 decreased in the latest quarter

Recommendation: SELL

The stock appears vulnerable at current levels due to:

1. Decelerating growth metrics
2. Margin pressure from rising R&D costs
3. Intensifying competition from tech giants like Microsoft, Broadcom, and Salesforce
4. Technical indicators showing bearish momentum

While Atlassian remains a leader in enterprise collaboration software, the current valuation appears stretched given the growth deceleration and competitive pressures.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here is my price prediction for TEAM stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock has shown strong momentum since late 2023, rising from around $190 to current levels near $287. Key technical indicators suggest continued upward trend:

• Currently trading above both 50-day and 200-day moving averages
• Strong support level established around $250
• RSI at 45.84 indicates room for further upside before becoming overbought

Fundamental Drivers

Several fundamental factors support higher prices in 2025:

• Strong cloud revenue growth of 30% year-over-year
• Improved operating margins and guidance for FY2025
• Ongoing transition from Data Center to Cloud services expected to drive substantial growth
• Pricing power remains strong in core products

Analyst Price Targets

Major Wall Street firms have recently raised their price targets:

• Mizuho: $355
• Jefferies: $400
• Morgan Stanley: $370
• Oppenheimer: $380
• Wells Fargo: $375

2025 Price Prediction

Based on the technical and fundamental analysis, combined with analyst expectations, I predict TEAM stock will reach:

• Base case: $355-365 by end of 2025 (+24% from current levels)
• Bull case: $400+ if cloud growth accelerates further
• Bear case: $280-300 if macro conditions deteriorate

The most likely scenario is the base case, supported by:

1. Continued strong cloud adoption driving revenue growth
2. Margin expansion from operational efficiency
3. Successful pricing strategies maintaining profitability

The S1 support level for TEAM Stock is $281.05 ,The R1 resistant level for TEAM Stock is $319.72.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of TEAM Stock was $285.9.

The target price for TEAM Stock according to analyst rating is 345.18, with the highest price target at 400.00 and the lowest at 255.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on TEAM Stock overall.

The market cap of TEAM is $74.5B.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis of TEAM's valuation:

TEAM appears overvalued at its current price of $287.51 considering several key metrics. The company's P/S ratio of 12.17 (FY2023) remains significantly high despite improving from 16.94 in FY2022. The company continues to operate at a loss with negative net margins of -13.77% in FY2023, though improving from -18.53% in FY2022. Technical indicators show RSI at 45.84, suggesting neutral momentum but with potential weakness as the stock trades above its 200-day SMA of $205.70. The current valuation appears stretched given the company's persistent unprofitability and high debt-to-equity ratio of 152.69%.

Atlassian Corporation designs, develops, licenses, and maintains software and provisions software hosting services. The Company’s products include Jira Software and Jira Work Management, Confluence for content creation and sharing, and Jira Service Management for team service, management, and support applications. The Jira Software and Jira Work Management provides a project management system that connects technical and business teams. Confluence provides a connected workspace that organizes knowledge across all teams to move work forward. Jira Service Management is a service desk product for creating and managing service experiences for a variety of service team providers, including information technology, legal, and human resources teams. The Atlassian platform is the common technology foundation for its products that drives connections between teams, information, and workflows. Its Loom platform is a video messaging platform that helps users to communicate through shareable videos.

Based on recent analyst reports and market trends, Atlassian (TEAM) stock is projected to reach $450-500 by 2030, driven by strong cloud revenue growth and enterprise segment expansion. The company's strategic shift towards cloud services and pricing power, combined with analyst upgrades including Mizuho's recent $355 target and Jefferies' $400 target, supports this bullish outlook. The company's clear growth targets, including plans to achieve double-digit revenue growth from 2027 onward and improved EBITDA margins of 44-45%, suggest sustained long-term value creation potential.

TEAM has a total of 10726 employees.